Azerbaijan vs France Prediction: Routine win for rotated French

France head to Azerbaijan on Sunday (17:00, live on Prime Video) having already secured their place at the 2026 World Cup by finishing top of UEFA qualifying Group D. The 2022 runners-up will be one of the main contenders in North America next summer.
Read on for my Azerbaijan vs France predictions, complete with the latest match odds and team news.
Azerbaijan vs France Predictions
*odds correct at time of publication
Team News
Azerbaijan could ring the changes following a poor 2-0 home defeat to Iceland on Thursday in their penultimate qualifier.
The hosts are set to end 2025 without a victory unless they can get a positive result on Sunday, while they have scored only three times across their nine matches this year, meaning changes in attack are likely.
France have lost Manu Kone to suspension for this game, but the visitors are likely to completely rotate with nothing on the line. That could lead to starts for Chelsea’s Malo Gusto and Liverpool’s Hugo Ekitike.
The French have also lost Eduardo Camavinga to injury, while Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue aren’t in the squad.
Azerbaijan vs France Predicted Lineups
- Azerbaijan: Bayramov, Badalov, Mustafazade, Krivotsyuk, Huseynov, Makhmudov, Khaybulaev, Abbasov, Akhmedzade, Aliyev, Akhundzade
- France: Chevalier, Gusto, Konate, Saliba, Hernandez, Zaire-Emery, Kante, Nkunku, Cherki, Barcola, Ekitike
France are heavy favourites for this clash, priced at 1/10 to secure a win and finish unbeaten in the group. The hosts are at 22/1 to record what would be a famous victory, while the draw is available at 17/2.
With Azerbaijan priced at 11/10 just to score, they’re clearly facing a massive challenge to get anything from this game.
Azerbaijan vs France Stats
- France have won four of their last five matches, while Azerbaijan are winless in their last five (4L, 1D)
- Hugo Ekitike has six goals in 16 appearances for club and country this season
France -2 @ 5/6
While France are top of the standings and already qualified, there will still be plenty to play for on Sunday, especially if Deschamps does opt to make wholesale changes.
With one of the deepest squads in the world, the players who come into the French side aren’t guaranteed a place on the plane and they will be desperate to prove their worth.
France’s second string includes some world class players, so expect them to make short work of an Azerbaijan side who have conceded 13 goals across five games in this group.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Hugo Ekitike to score anytime @ 4/6
Ekitike scored his first France goal in midweek, netting in the 4-0 win over Ukraine. He should get the chance to impress from the start on Sunday, as he looks to build on a good start to the campaign with Liverpool.
The Reds marksman has six goals for his club this term, while he’s set to start in attack against a poor Azerbaijan defence. With some world class creators around him, the 23-year-old is good value to score anytime on Sunday.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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