Germany vs Luxembourg Prediction: Hosts can put on a show

Germany have had a mixed start to their Fifa World Cup qualifying campaign having experienced one win and one loss so far. Julian Nagelsmann's side will look to start building some real momentum when they host Luxembourg in Group A on Friday (19:45 BST, Prime Video) in Sinsheim.
The visitors have lost their opening two matches and this trip to face the 2014 World Cup winners is expected to be very difficult. Below you will find my Germany vs Luxembourg predictions, featuring the latest team news and match odds.
Germany vs Luxembourg Betting Tips
Odds correct at time of publication
Team News
Following goalkeeper Manuel Neuer's retirement from international football in August, Hoffenheim's Oliver Baumann was deployed between the sticks in Die Mannschaft's first two qualifiers in September, and he is expected to keep his place in the side on Thursday.
If Nagelsmann continues with the 3-4-2-1 shape that he used in the victory over Northern Ireland, Waldemar Anton and Robin Koch may line up in defence again. Antonio Rudiger is out injured so he'd need replacing in the back line, meaning Jonathan Tah may be promoted to the XI.
David Raum and Jamie Lewelling might be utilised as wing-backs again. Pascal Gross is not part of this squad, so Joshua Kimmich will need an new partner in midfield, and his Bayern Munich teammate Leon Goretzka may be the leading candidate.
Serge Gnabry and Florian Wirtz will hope to keep their places in attack, with the latter needing a confidence lift after his first couple of months at Liverpool have been a bit of a struggle following his club-record move in the summer.
Nick Woltemade should lead the line again, and he heads into this camp in good form for Newcastle United.
Luxembourg have no fresh injury concerns heading into Friday's match.
Captain Laurent Jans is his country's most-capped player of all time and the defender is set to make his 117th appearance here.
Former Norwich City and Huddersfield Town forward Daniel Sinani will hope to have an impact in the final third, having scored 14 goals in 75 outings for Luxembourg.
Germany vs Luxembourg Predicted Line-ups
- Germany - Baumann; Koch, Anton, Tah; Lewelling, Kimmich, Goretzka, Raum; Gnabry, Wirtz; Woltemade
- Luxembourg - Moris; Dzogovic, Mahmutovic, Jans, Carlson; Olesen, Barreiro; Sinani, Moreira, Dardari; Muratovic
Germany are the 1/25 favourites to win this clash and they have won 11 of their 12 historic meetings with the visitors. The past three head-to-heads have seen the hosts win by at least a four-goal margin and they are 13/10 (implied probability of 43.5%) to prevail with a -3 handicap.
The draw is priced at 12/1, while it is 50/1 for Luxembourg to pull off an upset.
Germany have kept clean sheets in their last three matches against the visitors and they are 3/10 to record a shut out here, while both teams to score - no is valued at 1/3.
Germany vs Luxembourg Stats
- Germany have scored at least four goals in their last three meetings with Luxembourg
- Nick Woltemade (GER) has scored in his last three club matches
Over 3.5 Germany goals @ 1/1
Having already been beaten in this qualifying campaign, Germany will be determined that they pick up maximum points from this international break. Luxembourg may have lost their first two fixtures but they are yet to be completely steamrolled.
I think this can change on Thursday, however, given the abundance of quality on offer in Germany's ranks. Die Mannschaft will likely look to lay down a marker this month and against Luxembourg, a side who they have historically scored a lot of goals against, I think they can deliver a ruthless attacking display.
The last three meetings between the two teams have seen Germany post two 7-0s and one 4-0. They have plenty of options to choose from in the final third and I believe it will prove too much for the visitors to handle.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Nick Woltemade anytime goalscorer @ 8/11
Unlike Wirtz, Woltemade has had a bright start to life in the Premier League. He has scored three times in the top flight for Newcastle United in four appearances, while he has four goals in seven matches across all competitions for the Magpies.
The German striker has struck in each of his last three matches heading into the international break, and he is likely going to continue up front for Nagelsmann's side. He should be filled with confidence and his combination of skill and physique are likely going to cause all sorts of problems for Luxembourg, and I think he is the standout candidate to get on the scoresheet in this contest.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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