West Ham vs Tottenham Hotspur Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips: Card for Kudus on London Stadium return

Thomas Frank takes charge of his first London derby as Tottenham Hotspur head coach on Saturday (17:30 BST, Sky Sports Main Event), when his side heads to the London Stadium to take on Graham Potter's West Ham United.

Below are my West Ham vs Tottenham Hotspur Stats-Based Bet Builder Tips, with an ex-Hammer predicted to make a lively return to his old stomping ground, as part of a 16/1 four-fold.

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Derbies between West Ham and Spurs rarely lack for goals; in fact, both teams have scored in nine of the last 11 competitive contests, including the last four spread across the previous two Premier League seasons.

At the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last October, Spurs came from a goal down to win 4-1, and in the reverse fixture at the London Stadium in May this year, the sides drew 1-1.

BTTS-Yes hasn't been a winner for Spurs yet in the league this term, but the selection did land in Frank's first competitive game in charge, the Uefa Super Cup final against Paris Saint-Germain in Bergamo, Italy, where the French giants triumphed on penalties after a 2-2 draw in regulation time.

Premier League Odds

Two of West Ham's first three league games this season have seen one team fail to score, but both were away from home, and in their only home outing so far, BTTS-Yes was a winner, albeit in a harrowing 5-1 defeat to another London rival, Chelsea.

Four days after that defeat in east London, the Irons were involved in a five-goal thriller in the Carabao Cup second round at Molineux, where they lost 3-2 to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Potter's side made it five goals in two games five days later as they beat Nottingham Forest 3-0 at the City Ground, so there should be some confidence back in the ranks, just as there should be at Spurs, who beat Burnley 3-0 (H) and Manchester City 2-0 (A) before their 1-0 loss to AFC Bournemouth (H) last time out.

This should be another entertaining encounter between the two teams, with both capable of extending the BTTS-Yes streak.

Mateus Fernandes (WHU) Total Shots - 1+

I added the other three selections first, which took the odds to 12/1, and was pleasantly surprised to see this fourth pick up the price to 16/1.

Mateus Fernandes made his debut for West Ham at Forest on August 31, following a protracted summer chase, starting and playing 82 minutes before being withdrawn for Crysencio Summerville. There's a chance Summerville starts on Saturday following his lively cameo at the City Ground, but should Fernandes get the nod, he's likely to record at least one shot, in my opinion.

The 21-year-old averaged 1.2 shots per game for Southampton in last season's Premier League, scoring twice. One of his goals came against Spurs in a 3-1 defeat at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where he shot five times in total.

Fernandes didn't try his luck on his West Ham bow, but he shot at least once in all three EFL Championship appearances for the Saints before sealing a switch from the South Coast.

Spurs have conceded 44 shots across three league games this season, 14 to Burnley, 10 to Man City, and 20 to Bournemouth, and so the Irons should fancy their chances of getting into double figures for efforts on Saturday. If they record 10+, I'd be surprised if Fernandes wasn't responsible for at least one.

Player Shown Any Card - Lucas Paqueta (WHU)

West Ham playmaker Lucas Paqueta was strongly linked with a move away during the summer, but whether it was due to a lack of serious bids or a desire to reward the club and its supporters with a show of loyalty, he remains a Hammer and is a guaranteed starter on Saturday after scoring in his last three games at club level.

The 28-year-old, though, is as well known for his indiscipline as his silky skills. Since joining West Ham from Lyon at the start of the 2022/23 season, Paqueta has picked up 25 Premier League yellow cards - five in his debut campaign, and 10 in his second and third.

West Ham vs Tottenham Hotspur Odds

Paqueta averaged 1.6 fouls per game in last season's top flight, so his card numbers aren't a big surprise, and while he's yet to be booked for the Irons this term, he's averaging 1.7 fouls per Premier League game. He committed a single foul against Sunderland and Chelsea, before conceding three free-kicks at Forest last time out.

The Brazilian has been booked in 60% (three) of his five appearances against Spurs, including both meetings last season, so he's a standout candidate in the player card market this weekend.

Player Shown Any Card - Mohammed Kudus (TOT)

I'm also adding in a card for Paqueta's former teammate at the London Stadium, Mohammed Kudus, who crossed the divide earlier this summer.

The Ghana international was a popular figure amongst Hammers during his first season at the club, scoring eight league goals and providing six assists, but his form tailed off in his second campaign, as he directly contributed to just eight Premier League strikes (five goals, three assists).

Today's Football Fixtures

Kudus is likely to receive a hot reception on his return to east London, so we may see him fired-up, looking to silence the boo-boys.

The 25-year-old only picked up two yellows and one red last season, but the dismissal came in this fixture, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium last October, in a game he had opened the scoring in. His final caution for West Ham was also against Spurs, at the London Stadium in May.

Kudus was booked six times in his maiden Premier League campaign, too, so he's not adverse to a caution, and considering this is a London derby against his former side, the conditions look good for another Kudus card on Saturday.

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