Football Accumulator Tips: Jamie goes for his 4th straight Weekly Win

Another great winner last week saw Jamie Pacheco secure three winning columns in a row for the first time this season, taking profits for the column past the 15-point mark. But Jamie’s work is never done.     

This week’s selections are made up of two ‘yes’ BTTS selections and one of Europe’s giants to score at least three goals. Let's see what his Football Accumulator Tips for this edition of the 3-3-3 column are...

Welcome to the 3-3-3 betting column. Why is it called that? Glad you asked.  It’s not a formation to play when you’ve had a man sent off but rather: 

3 - The number of different selections making up the acca. 

3 - The number of different (non-English) European Leagues the selections are taken from every week. 

3 - The minimum odds (3/1) or 4.0 if you prefer, that the acca will come to it every week. 

And it really is as simple as that. The selections can be from any betting markets, as long as they meet the criteria set out above.  And to round things off, every week I’ll leave you with a cool (or at least I think so) bit of trivia involving one of the teams featured in the acca. Simples... 

Current P and L: +15.254 pts  

To paraphrase a well-known revamp of a highly successful 1990s TV show featuring four female New York-based friends…’and just like that’… we won for the third week in a row to take our profit for the season to over 15 points. Suffice to say three in a row had never been done before, that this is by far our biggest profit for the season and that…I’m pretty happy with it all. Now it really is the case that even if all our columns lose till the end of the season, we’ll still be in excellent profit.  

Just as quick recap: our long-winded explanation for why ‘no’ should come good in Fiorentina v Atalanta was worth it as it ended 1-0, Barcelona won easily and 1-2 meant both teams scored in Estoril v Porto.  

What’s also worth noting is that a strategy of having two selections at around evens and one at far shorter price (rather than three at around the 4/6 mark) has worked well, so we’ll persist with it.   

Monza vs Como   

Saturday, April 5 14:00  

Selection: Back ‘Yes’ on both teams to score @ 1/1 (Evens)   

Como have a highly impressive 80% strike rate for BTTS matches at home and it’s now all of their last seven in a row at home that have been winners with an interesting blend of home wins, defeats and draws, the last two games here ending 1-1. Sadly, Como aren’t at home this week to take full advantage of that record but their potential for BTTS matches isn’t to be ignored on the road, either. It’s a respectable 53% and would have been a winner in their last five home and away games and 10 of their last 12.  

Opponents Monza have a 60% strike rate for BTTS matches on home soil and 53% away so all the stats suggest we’re getting a good price at evens. 

If you’re expecting a mention of BTTS scores in recent results between the two, sadly you’re not going to get one because these two sides have never met in Serie A before. So let’s hope that this becomes the first of them.   

Real Madrid vs Valencia   

Saturday, April 5 15:15  

Selection: Back ‘Yes’ on both teams to score @ 10/11   

Despite all of Real’s heroics over the past few weeks that have seen them beat Man City and Atlético Madrid in the Champions League and win most of their matches in the league, they’ve certainly been conceding enough.  

Here are their last seven: 1-2, 2-1, 2-1, 0-1, 2-1, 3-2 and 4-4 so it’s a good thing they’ve been scoring plenty or else results wouldn’t have been so good. So 6/7 for BTTS matches over the past few weeks.  

They face Valencia this weekend, a side who love games at both ends themselves. Their strike rate away from home for the season is 64% and they’ve now scored at least once in 15 of their last 17. Assuming Real get one of their own (!), you’d think that the 15/17 stat may stand up here as they grab at least one. For good measure, the last three results between these two have been 1-2, 2-2 and 5-1 so that’s another plus point.  

PSG vs Angers   

Saturday, April 5 16:00  

Selection: Back over 2.5 Home Goals @ 1/2  

For our shorter-priced pick of the week, we’re going with PSG goals. 14th-placed Angers are coming to town and they’re going to have a serious job on their hands if they’re to contain Vitinha, Dembele and co.  

PSG are averaging 2.92 goals a season so far this campaign and that includes considerably tougher fixtures than this one.  

Looking at their last 10 matches in all competitions, this is how many goals PSG have scored in them: 7,3,7, 4, 0, 4, 1, 3, 6 and 4. The 0 and 1 by the way were against Liverpool in the Champions League so it’s perfectly understandable that they didn’t get many there. Either way, even including those two ties against Liverpool, it’s still 8/10 where they got three goals themselves. Let’s hope that becomes 9/11, which is a 1/2 chance.  

James’ Fun Fact  

If you’re one of Real Madrid’s big-name stars (well, they almost are) you’d be well-advised to keep your cool when facing Valencia this weekend. Earlier this season Vinicius was sent off against them, the same player also getting his marching orders in a fixture in May 2023 against Valencia, while at the back end of last season, it was Jude Bellingham who was dismissed this time.