Como vs Atalanta Prediction: 7/2 tip for Atalanta skid to continue

After three wins in their last four home fixtures, Como host Atalanta at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia on Saturday (15:00 local, 14:00 GMT) with memories of their stunning 3-2 win over the Bergamo side earlier in the Serie A season still fresh in the mind.

That come-from-behind success was the Lariani’s first top-flight victory in 21 years, and having climbed to 13th on the back of improved form, Cesc Fabregas’ side will be hopeful of completing a league double over the stuttering Orobici. Read on for my Como vs Atalanta predictions, complete with full preview and match odds.

Team News

The only real black mark to come out of Como’s sensational 4-1 victory over Udinese on Monday was the sending-off of centre-back Edoardo Goldaniga.

While they rallied with 10 players, and indeed saw the visitors’ Oumar Solet given his marching orders soon after, the Lariani will now have to shuffle their pack in Goldaniga’s absence through suspension.

Nineteen-year-old Brazilian Fellipe Jack came on for just his second senior appearance to fill the gap in defence last week, while Marc Oliver Kempf could move into the central slot he occupied when Goldaniga was suspended against Lazio a fortnight ago.

There’s no Alberto Moreno this time though, with the former Liverpool and Villarreal left-back still carrying a muscle issue, so Jack might be pushed into action.

Elsewhere, Sergi Roberto is still out with a calf issue and Ignace van der Brempt is unavailable after limping out with a flexor muscle problem early in that win over Udinese.

Dele Alli will be on option for Fabregas having arrived this week on an 18-month deal.

Atalanta are also missing a key centre-back through suspension, with Isak Hien banned for picking up his fifth yellow card of the campaign in the 3-2 loss to Napoli on Saturday.

Besides season-long absentee Gianluca Scamacca, who ruptured ligaments in pre-season, Gian Piero Gasperini is also currently shorn of Odilon Kossounou, with the Bayer Leverkusen loanee having recently suffered an adductor issue.

Nicolo Zaniolo is expected to be free to play having picked up a slight knock at the Gewiss last weekend.

Como vs Atalanta Odds

By just looking at the league table you can find justification for Como being 3/1 to win on home soil on Saturday, but given their recent improved form (10 points in six games, nine in three at the Sinigaglia), those odds immediately look tempting at their implied probability of 25%.

Similarly, the 5/6 being offered for Atalanta at 54.5% don’t tell the story of their four games without a win. It’s fair to say Betfred are backing on the Dea finding their stride sooner rather than later having fallen off the pace in the title race.

Maybe the draw looks the more likely outcome given Como’s form and Atalanta’s undoubted quality, and the 5/2 price available could be the way to go.

There could be goals in this one however it turns out, with Atalanta’s 21 matches so far featuring 70 goals (46 scored, 24 conceded – second only to Verona’s 71), and Como games being sixth on the total goals tally (60). It’s 4/6 (60% chance) for both teams to score on Saturday.

Draw & Both Teams to Score @ 7/2

Those goal stats are very persuasive. These two sides don’t hold back, and Atalanta’s 5-0 midweek Champions League win over Sturm Graz shows they’re in a goalscoring mood.

They have, though, been found out on a number of occasions since their 11-game winning league run came crashing to an end at Christmas.

Since last-December they have been dumped out of the Supercoppa Italiana by Inter as well as going on a four-game streak without victory.

And with Como currently riding a wave of positivity, I can see the home side causing a few more headaches. That’s why I think it’s worth adding the draw to the 4/6 available for BTTS and making the most of the 7/2 on offer with Betfred.

Football Odds

Mateo Retegui anytime goalscorer @ 11/8

If, like me, you have Serie A goal alerts set up, Mateo Retegui’s name likely pops up more often on your smartphone than even your nearest and dearest’s.

The Atalanta star’s 14 goals in 19 league games have sent him to the top of the Capocannoniere charts, and his back-to-back scoring appearances against Juventus and Napoli since returning from injury are proof enough that the 25-year-old has fallen straight back into his stride.

There’s a 42.1% probability implied within the 11/8 odds, but I make him a near-cert for a goal in a game I’ve already explained I expect to feature plenty of action at either end of the field.

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