Over 2.5 Goals Tips: Weekend Premier five-fold nets over 8/1

I'm so thrilled to have the Premier League back that I'm going to cuddle and cherish it to the exclusion of all others at weekend, apart from the odd race or nine. As for this over 2.5 goals accumulator, on current form Liverpool will probably manage it single-handedly by half-time, but I'm reminded that sport can be a fickle mistress. Master. (Insert noun of choice).

Here we go then - with fingers crossed for a cavalcade of goals to illuminate our pre-Chrimbo entertainment, as November morphs effortlessly into December. With all this chilly and decidedly damp weather around we deserve a net-bulging weekend tonic. Throw a gin in with mine and we're laughing.

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Football Odds

Brentford vs Leicester City @ 8/15

Brentford, bless 'em, are serial offenders in this category as around 83% of their home matches exceed 2.5 goals. Their visitors might struggle to contribute too many to the tally but that 8/15 price-tag looks about right to me.

Five league spots and seven points separate the sides ahead of weekend, and Leicester have just let manager Steve Cooper go after a poor trot. Is it Ruud awakening time?

Brentford are a little inconsistent but have found the net on 22 occasions so far - more than Arsenal, and as many as Manchester City. They're a breath of fresh air. They're in my acca. I see the game as a potential 3-1, 4-1 affair in the round so on we go.

Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town @ 5/6

Forest have surprised a few fair judges this term, sit seventh in the League, but are not prolific scorers - hence one of the reasons for this decent-looking price, in isolation. However - visitors Ipswich have impressed in recent weeks without always getting the results they deserve (AND they did beat Spurs in London).

If Town's Liam Delap was still in Manchester I bet he'd be getting minutes, and he looks a real handful. Forest striker Chris Wood meanwhile is arguably in career-best order.

Both sides will target this surely as a can-win, and an open contest can ensue. A potential exit from the relegation places is a carrot for the Tractor boys, too.

Stats-wise, the case isn't compelling. However - the day I make decisions purely and simply on the scriptures in the book of averages is one I'll happily never see. Nice match-up of clubs with ambition on the day - so every chance.

Wolves vs Bournemouth @ 8/13

83% of Wolves' home encounters have produced over 2.5 goals. 50% of Bournemouth's matches away from their coastal base have done similar. I like the direction of travel.

Wolves languish in 17th as I write, but have scored a respectable 20 goals. Bournemouth are six points better off but have scored four fewer. I've long been of the opinion that Matheus Cunha is deserving of arguably a bigger stage than Molineux, as the 25-year-old Brazilian has dazzled on several occasions, most notably when helping himself to a couple in a recent 4-1 win at Fulham.

Bournemouth have scored seven goals in six games on their travels, winning just once. I'm disinterested for the purposes of my bet whether they ultimately prevail, but I'm encouraged that they consistently contribute. Long may that continue - to include weekend at the very least.

Spurs vs Fulham @ 2/5

Another ringing endorsement from the stat pack - 83% of Tottenham Hotspur home matches produce over 2.5 goals. They are the league's heaviest goalscorers with 27, and are cock-a-hoop (ouch) from thrashing Manchester City at the Etihad last week.

Fulham enjoy a comfortable mid-table slot, 17 goals for, but don't impress statistically when it comes to taking part in over 2.5 contests on the road. However - with the form being shown by Spurs just now I'm happy to welcome any contributions from the visitors whilst expecting the home side to, in all probability, net on three occasions or more themselves.

Maddison, Son, Johnson, Kulusevski; all are in prime nick right now and I wouldn't want to be in the business of trying to stop them on Sunday.

Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 8/15

Our second offering on the Sabbath; and the last match of an intriguing Premier League weekend. Club-in-crisis Manchester City visit Anfield a matter of days after Real Madrid no less were readily turned away in the Champions League (2-0, cosy), and at a time the Reds enjoy a yawning eight-point advantage over the stuttering champions.

Only half of their PL clashes on Merseyside have produced over 2.5 goals thus far, surprisingly to me at least, but Slot's machine is purring away nicely right now better than at any point previously; which includes a surprise home reverse to Nottingham Forest.

As for City, it's hard to know what to expect. So many factors are behind this current alarming decline - with the enormity of what they achieved last term (that unprecedented four in a row) weighing now like a wet parachute.

Injuries, including to the peerless Rodri, have taken their toll. Phil Foden looks a shadow of last season's much-garlanded gunslinger. Despite travelling at around a goal a game, Erling Haaland is missing plenty and looking slightly out of kilter.

To digress for a moment; Liverpool are 11/10 to win this match. If I might be allowed to be a little on the bold side, in my humble opinion that's like getting a bit of evens that night will indeed follow day. If City escape with anything other than a hiding I'll be very, very surprised. As for over 2.5 - Liverpool will manage that quite nicely on their own.

Over 2.5 goals accumulator pays 8.74/1

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