Tennis Betting Tips: Comeback queen Coco can do it all over again on Centre Court

The first women's singles semi-final of Wimbledon 2026 takes place at Centre Court on Thursday between World No. 10 Karolina Muchova and World No. 7 Coco Gauff.

Below are my Tennis Betting Tips for Thursday 9 July as I preview the match and pick out my two best bets from Betfred's Pick Your Punt markets.

Pick Your Punt - 10+ total aces (Muchova vs Gauff) @ 6/4

This, in my opinion, is a cracking price for two players who have, generally, been serving well throughout the tournament.

Gauff's double faults (29) have stacked up, as they usually do, and she now leads the way with 226 this season (Jelena Ostapenko is second with 179), but she's also fired 25 aces across her five matches, including 10 in her second-round victory over Solana Sierra and seven in her quarter-final win on Centre Court against World No. 4 Jessica Pegula, who is a solid returner.

The 22-year-old has only been aced four times herself, but only Pegula (sixth - 176) is in the WTA top 50 for aces in 2026 of the five opponents she has faced at this year's Wimbledon.

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Muchova, meanwhile, ranks 22nd with 111, and at The Championships, she's recorded 36 aces, including at least seven in all but one of her matches (10, 9, 1, 9, 7). Naomi Osaka fired nine aces in their quarter-final tie on Tuesday, meaning the total count was 16, and 10+ has landed in four of their five contests, only failing in the 10th seed's third-round success over Mananchaya Sawangkaew.

Only one of the seven previous head-to-heads between Muchova and Gauff have seen 10+ aces, but none of those matches were on grass, with six on hard and one on clay.

With the way these two have been serving in SW19, 10+ looks easily achievable, especially if they go to a deciding set, which I think they will.

Pick Your Punt (Muchova vs Gauff) - Gauff to win the match from a set down @ 6/1

Gauff's route to the final four has been far from plain sailing.

The 2023 US Open and 2025 French Open champion blitzed Tamara Korpatsch 6-2, 6-1 in the first round but has been taken to three in her last four matches against Sierra (6-3, 3-6, 7-6), Claire Liu (6-3, 6-7, 6-2), Belinda Bencic (4-6, 6-3, 6-4) and Pegula (4-6, 6-3, 6-3). Against the latter two, the American was a set down, but showed her brilliant powers of recovery to battle back and win the contest.

Muchova has made light work of her opponents in SW19 this year, triumphing in straight sets four times, only needing a third to edge out fellow Czech and 2024 Wimbledon champion Barbora Krejcikova (7-5, 5-7, 6-3) in the fourth round.

Including her title run in Bad Homburg last month, the 29-year-old has won her last nine matches, dropping just two sets, and she'll be eyeing up her first Grand Slam title this week with Gauff the only remaining champion in the draw.

If anyone can stop Muchova, though, it's Gauff, whose athleticism and will to win can counteract her opponent's apparent surface superiority.

Gauff is looking better on the grass now, too, and even if she goes a set down on Thursday, I'll still be backing her to claim victory.

I think it will be a close contest, and Gauff to win the match from a set down at 6/1 looks like real value after landing in her last two outings.