The 2023 US Open Women’s singles final sees Coco Gauff pit her wits against Aryna Sabalenka on Saturday.
Gauff has now reached two singles finals in her young career – at Roland Garros in 2022, and now here at Flushing Meadows, while Sabalenka completed an epic comeback over American Madison Keys to reach her maiden US Open final.
Sabalenka is guaranteed to become world No 1 on Monday regardless of the result here, and she is after her second Grand Slam title of the year on the hard courts after she opened the 2023 season with an Australian Open title.
Saturday’s showdown will mark the sixth time Gauff and Sabalenka have met in their careers – Gauff holds a 3-2 advantage in the series.
Set Betting – Coco Gauff to win 2-1 @ 10/3
As mentioned, Saturday will mark Gauff’s second major final after she made the final of Roland Garros in 2022.
The 19-year-old lost in straight sets to Iga Swiatek on that occasion but I think that loss could prove to be a vital learning experience ahead of this showdown against Sabalenka.
In addition, the American crowd will be firmly in Gauff’s favour as she is bidding to become the fourth American woman to win the US Open this century after Serena Williams, Venus Williams and Sloane Stephens. I could see that home support getting her over the line in what I’m expecting to be an tightly-contested encounter.
Three of Gauff’s six matches so far this tournament have gone the distance, proving she is capable of handling long-winded contests and doesn’t get fatigued in the latter stages.
Sabalenka hadn’t dropped a set until she was bageled in the semi-final first set against Madison Keys, and was 5-3 down in the second, but she shown resilience to fight back and take the match into a deciding set 10-point tiebreak. The newly-crowned world No 1 has already stunned a home favourite in Keys and will be looking to do it again here.
I think Gauff will draw on the series advantage she has over Sabalenka, and edge this one to win her maiden Grand Slam.
First set total over 9.5 games @ 10/11
As mentioned, I can see this being an intense battle, as both players bid to lift their first US Open crown.
This bet has landed in two of each of Sabalenka’s and Gauff’s matches so far this tournament, and I can see it coming in once more on Saturday.
Both players will know the importance of holding serve early doors and break points could be few and far between – just as they were when the pair met at the Indian Wells quarter-finals back in March, where Sabalenka won the opening set 6-4.