Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Prediction: Denmark to narrowly come out on top?

Following an explosive first Semi-Final, Eurovision 2026 is back tonight live from Vienna for Semi-Final 2. Semi-Final 1 gave us shock exits, surprise qualifiers and enough online discourse to power the Wiener Stadthalle for a week.  

Fans spent the night debating everything from the flat crowd vibes to production hiccups, as well as standout performances from Finland, Greece and Serbia. Now 15 more countries are fighting for the final 10 spots in Saturday’s Final and the pressure is officially on.  

Expect big vocals, big drama and at least one moment that sends the timeline into meltdown. Here are our Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Betting Tips… 

With the semi-finals decided entirely by public vote, the pressure on performers has gone from high to nuclear. Every act knows they need to grab viewers instantly with eye catching staging, big vocals and at least one moment that makes people stop scrolling long enough to send a televote their way for Saturday's Final.  

As tonight's semi-final kicks off, both fan favourites and potential surprise packages are stepping onstage hoping to leave a mark, spark some disarray and lock down one of the 10 remaining spots in this weekend's final. Here's how the frontrunners are shaping up heading into the show... 

Denmark @ 6/4

Denmark sits at 6/4 to win Thursday's second semi with Søren Torpegaard Lund's 'Før vi går hjem' now sitting comfortably as the favourite with Betfred. It has been climbing steadily across betting markets and Eurovision fan spaces, slowly turning into the entry everyone keeps circling back to in a semi that is getting tighter by the day. 

Lund's track is soft, emotional and intentionally stripped back. It is giving calm in a sea of chaos and that contrast might be exactly what makes it pop. While other acts are going full lights and lasers, Denmark is serving sincerity and grounding the whole semi. Sometimes that is the exact energy viewers latch onto when everything else feels like sensory overload. 

At 6/4, Denmark is leading the market, but it is not cruising. The gap between it and the rest is tiny and this semi is messy enough that anything can swing. Denmark still needs to land the moment on the night and turn all that quiet hype into real televote power. If it hits the emotional sweet spot, it could lock in that Grand Final spot without breaking a sweat.

Australia @ 9/4

Australia has tightened up fast in the odds, with Delta Goodrem's 'Eclipse' now sitting at 9/4 to win which puts it firmly in the Semi-Final 2 frontrunner squad. Goodrem is a global name with serious pop history and that instant star power has given Australia a head start in the betting markets from day one. 

Once rehearsal clips started circulating, Eclipse began climbing quickly. Our traders locked onto the polished vocals and the emotional punch the track carries and Goodrem's reputation for clean and controlled live performances has only boosted confidence. 

At 9/4, Australia is now seen as a legit contender rather than a novelty pick. It sits just behind Denmark in a tightly packed market. Australia's shot at the final basically comes down to whether casual viewers lock into it enough to turn that interest into real televotes on the night.

Latvia @ 50/1

Latvia sits at 50/1 for Semi Final 2 which puts it deep in outsider territory. Betfred traders clearly think qualification is a 50/50 shot at 4/5, in a semi packed with louder and more mainstream acts, so Latvia is entering as the wildcard of the bunch. 

The entry is 'Ēnā' by Atvara, a dark and atmospheric track that gives moody vibes. It is not chasing instant hooks or shiny pop moments. Instead, it builds a whole impression that feels different from anything else in the line-up. It is artsy, brooding and very much doing its own thing which can either tank or pop depending on how viewers respond. 

At 50/1, expectations are low and Latvia probably needs a moment on the night that makes people sit up and go oh wait this is actually kind of cool. Eurovision has a long history of rewarding entries that carve out their own lane, especially when they bring something weird or unexpected into a crowded semi-final. However, do not sleep on them just yet because songs like this can suddenly take off when viewers finally connect with it.

You can follow all our Eurovision Betting Tips over on Betfred Insights right up until the final on May 16.