Eurovision Odds 2026: Finland early favourites to win Euro crown…

The Eurovision 2026 semi-finals are basically around the corner and the hype is getting real. Vienna is hosting the 70th edition this year, which is wild enough on its own, but the energy online is already giving “most chaotic and competitive year in ages.” All the entries are locked in, rehearsal clips are leaking and the betting markets are doing backflips. Eurovision Odds 2026 are shortening, drifting and reshuffling every five minutes like they are trying to keep up with TikTok trends. 

Everyone is watching the outright market to see who is pulling ahead before the live shows hit. Finland is sitting at the top for now, but it is not exactly a comfortable lead. France, Denmark, Australia and Greece are all right behind, picking up steady support and a few dark horse acts are starting to get that quiet “wait… are they actually a contender?” buzz. 

This is exactly the point in the Eurovision cycle where everything can flip overnight. Staging teasers, vocal surprises and fan reactions can send the odds into meltdown. With both jury taste and televote chaos playing a role, 2026 is looking wide open. Basically, buckle up because the run-up to the semis is about to get messy in the best way. 

Finland @ 6/4 

Finland are still the ones to beat for the Eurovision 2026 crown at 6/4 and they have basically been welded to the top of the odds since day one. Their entry, Liekinheitin by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, literally means flamethrower and honestly that is exactly the energy it is serving. It is loud, slick, unshakeably catchy and the staging potential has fans and bettors acting like they have already seen the winning performance in a dream. 

Eurovision loves chaos and being the favourite in April means nothing once the stage lights hit. Last year proved that when Austria stormed in and won with Wasted Love by JJ even though they were not lounging at the top of the odds pre-event. One killer performance flipped the entire script and reminded everyone that rehearsals, staging choices and jury vibes can rewrite the whole narrative in a single night. 

So yes, Finland are chilling at the front of the pack right now, but that spot is never safe. Once rehearsals start and the semi-finals creep closer, momentum can swing fast and early favourites can suddenly feel the pressure. Finland are setting the pace for the moment, but Eurovision history loves a plot twist and being the betting frontrunner is only one tiny piece of the beautiful chaos that decides who actually wins. 

Greece @ 6/1 

Greece at 6/1 have fully escaped dark horse territory and stepped straight into serious contender status. They are right at the top of the conversation now and one sharp rehearsal could send those odds shrinking fast. Our traders clearly see the momentum building. 

They are sending Akylas with Ferto, a sleek contemporary pop track soaked in Mediterranean flavour. It blends polished modern production with traditional melodic touches, giving it a real edge in a field crowded with predictable pop and emotional ballads. It feels built to charm televoters while still keeping juries on side. 

Greece have a strong Eurovision legacy, even if recent years have been chaotic. Ferto feels like a statement entry and could mark a big return to form if the staging lands. With the right visuals and a strong live performance, this could easily become one of the standout moments of the contest. 

Denmark @ 6/1 

Denmark at 6/1 are no longer hiding in the shadows. They are fully in the mix now and shaping up as one of the more intriguing contenders. Our traders are picking up the signals and the buzz is getting louder by the day. Denmark feel like the kind of entry that could blow up the moment rehearsals start. 

They are sending Søren Torpegaard Lund with Før vi går hjem, an emotional pop ballad built on strong vocals, heartfelt lyrics and that soft, understated charm that can really hit on the Eurovision stage. It is gentler than the big noisy entries, but that contrast could be their secret weapon if the live performance lands. 

Denmark are firmly in contender territory. If rehearsals deliver a standout vocal and a staging moment that sticks, those odds could tighten fast. If not, they risk getting drowned out by the louder acts. Right now though, Denmark look like a contender with another gear still waiting to kick in. 

France @ 7/1 

France at 7/1 are still planted firmly near the top of the market. Monroe's REGARDE ! is still buzzing loudly and our traders are not treating France like anything other than a real contender. 

The chasing pack keeps reshuffling, but France stay put for a reason. REGARDE ! is polished, modern and hits that sweet spot between jury respect and televote appeal. It has identity, quality and enough mainstream pull to cut through the noise. 

France sit firmly in that tense zone where they can absolutely pounce if rehearsals go well. One big live moment could tighten those odds fast. But if the staging or vocals wobble, the momentum could disappear just as quickly. 

Australia @  9/1 

Australia at 9/1 are still hovering in that dangerous outsider zone where anything can ignite fast. Betfred traders clearly still rate their chances and with live shows approaching, Australia remain one of the entries everyone is keeping an eye on. 

They are sending Delta Goodrem with Eclipse, a glossy, polished pop track with big jury appeal and enough melody to hook the televote too. Delta's name recognition gives Australia extra star power, but the song itself stands strong as a sleek, emotional contender with clear staging potential. 

Eclipse still feels like a genuine threat if the live performance lands. A standout rehearsal could tighten those odds quickly, while flat staging could see them drift behind the flashier acts. For now though, Australia look very much in the hunt. 

Israel @ 12/1 

Israel have drifted to 12/1, but they are still sitting in that dangerous chasing pack where one strong rehearsal can flip the whole market. They remain close enough to the frontrunners to matter and unpredictable enough that traders will be watching every move. 

They are sending Noam Bettan with Michelle, a contemporary pop track with mainstream appeal, a strong hook and clear staging potential. It is exactly the kind of entry that could surge if a rehearsal clip lands well. 

At 12/1, Israel are still firmly in the mix, but they need a standout live moment to close the gap. Their staging record keeps them on the radar, though broader public sentiment around current geopolitical events can sometimes influence contest buzz and voting behaviour. If the performance lands cleanly, they still have room to climb. 

United Kingdom @ 66/1 

The UK sit at 66/1 with Eins, Zwei, Drei by Look Mum No Computer, leaving them as clear outsiders in this year's Eurovision 2026 market. At that price, our traders are basically giving the UK a gentle pat on the head and saying "you tried your best" while fully expecting any points to arrive via sympathy vote or divine intervention. 

One colleague in the Betfred ivory towers even declared it "the worst song he'd ever heard." Good luck UK, you might need a miracle, a plot twist and possibly a continental power outage.

You can follow all our Eurovision Betting Tips over on Betfred Insights right up until the final on May 16.