Eurovision Final Betting Tips: Sweden evens to win tight song contest

As we gear up for the grand final of Eurovision 2025, the competition feels more open than ever. Thanks to a new scoring system introduced for this year’s semi-finals—one that gives greater weight to the public televote—the playing field has noticeably shifted. What had been shaping up to be a one-horse race for Sweden has suddenly levelled out into a far more unpredictable contest, with several countries now in with a real chance of taking home the crown.

Here are our showbiz expert Kayley Cornelius' Eurovision Final Betting Tips...

The two semi-finals delivered plenty of surprises and standout performances. Tuesday night saw powerhouse entries from Italy and Ukraine sail through with ease, both acts impressing with slick staging and strong vocal showings. Thursday's semi-final brought even more drama, with Latvia and Greece exceeding expectations, while Austria and Israel also secured their places with confident, polished routines.

As we head into the final, current odds suggest it’s a 50/50 chance of where the ball could swing for Sweden. With their victory hanging in the balance, here’s a look at the frontrunners, current markets, and everything else we might expect from Saturday night’s glitter-soaked showdown…

*You can get all the latest Eurovision 2025 Odds over on betfred.com

🇸🇪Sweden @ 1/1  

Still favourites, but only just. Sweden head into the Eurovision 2025 final still holding onto their position as favourites to win, with odds sitting at 1/1 implying a 50/50 chance of victory. While they’re still very much in contention, the momentum has undeniably shifted in recent days. What once looked like a near-certain win for KAJ has been called into question following Tuesday’s semi-final, where their performance didn’t quite land as strongly as expected.

The drop in odds reflects that wobble. Although KAJ delivered a polished routine, it lacked the standout impact many were hoping for, particularly in a night filled with bold, dynamic entries from the likes of Ukraine and Italy. The performance has left punters and fans alike wondering whether Sweden’s winning streak might be in jeopardy.

Much of the uncertainty stems from this year’s new scoring format, which gives more weight to the public televote. Tuesday night proved just how influential viewers can be, and while KAJ may still score highly with the jury, it won’t be enough on its own. Without equal enthusiasm from the voting public, there’s every chance we could see history repeat itself—with the bookies' favourite being overtaken at the final hurdle.

🇦🇹Austria @ 11/4

Where Sweden falter, Austria could be poised to swoop in. Currently priced at 11/4, Austria have emerged as serious contenders heading into Saturday night’s final, thanks in large part to JJ’s standout performance of Wasted Love in Thursday’s second semi-final. The track resonated powerfully with both fans and commentators alike, combining emotional depth with sleek, contemporary staging that clearly struck a chord with viewers.

JJ’s momentum has been building steadily, but Thursday night marked a turning point—cementing Austria as more than just a dark horse in this year’s competition. With Wasted Love already generating strong streaming numbers and positive social media buzz, it’s clear the entry is landing where it matters most: with the audience.

Given the new emphasis on the public vote, Austria’s odds reflect growing confidence that JJ could outperform more traditional favourites like Sweden. If the juries follow suit, Austria could well find themselves in pole position by the time the final scores roll in. In a contest where timing, tone, and connection are everything, Austria might just have struck the perfect balance.

🇳🇱Netherlands @ 14/1

The Netherlands head into the final at 14/1 in the outright market, and while a win might still be a stretch, Claude’s performance in Tuesday night’s semi-final has breathed new life into the Dutch campaign. After a rocky start in rehearsals—which sparked concern among fans and critics alike—Claude delivered a composed, emotionally charged performance that felt like a true redemption arc. It was a moment that not only silenced the early doubts but firmly placed the Netherlands back on the map as one to watch.

His ballad, delivered with quiet confidence and heartfelt sincerity, brought a welcome sense of intimacy to an otherwise high-energy night. The turnaround from rehearsal to live show was nothing short of impressive, and with the shadow of last year’s disqualification of Joost Klein still looming large, there’s a strong sense that Claude could be the one to restore Dutch pride on the Eurovision stage.

At 14/1, backing the Netherlands for an outright win might feel a touch ambitious—but that’s not where the real value lies. A punt on Claude to land in the top five could prove to be a smart, well-timed move, especially given the momentum now behind him. With a compelling narrative and a solid semi-final showing under his belt, the Netherlands could be quietly lining up for a strong finish.

🇫🇷 Top Big Five – France @ 1/7   

While the focus has largely been on Sweden and Austria, it’s worth keeping an eye on the Big Five—especially France, who are currently leading the charge within the group with odds of 8/1 to win outright. Sitting just behind the frontrunners in the betting markets, France’s entry this year is shaping up to be one of their strongest in recent memory.

Louane’s emotional track Maman has struck a genuine chord with audiences and juries alike, blending raw vulnerability with polished production. Her haunting, heartfelt performance has positioned her as a serious contender, and there’s a growing sense that this could finally be the moment France reclaims Eurovision glory. A win would mark their first since 1977, breaking a nearly five-decade-long drought.

At 1/7 odds for France to land as the top Big Five country, there’s definite value in this market—particularly if Louane can maintain the momentum into Saturday’s final. While other members of the Big Five have taken a more subdued approach this year, France stands out as a potential scene-stealer. In a contest known for the unexpected, a Big Five victory—led by Louane—might not be such a long shot after all.

What about the UK? United Kingdom @ 8/1 to rank within the top 10 🇬🇧

Once again, the odds appear stacked against us when it comes to clinching a win in Basel. With odds of 100/1 in the outright market, our chances of taking home the trophy are looking slim to none. Still, a little patriotism never hurts. For those keen to support the homeland, a more realistic punt may lie in backing the UK to secure a top 10 finish—where odds are currently more promising at 8/1.

Thursday night’s semi-final gave viewers a chance to reflect on Remember Monday’s performance, which received a mixed response. While staging and vocals were solid, questions remain around whether it was memorable enough to make an impression on the wider European vote. That said, stranger things have happened at Eurovision, and a strong final performance could yet tip the scales in our favour.

Could a surprise performance be on the cards? Celine Dion @ 5/1 to perform live at the Eurovision final in Basel 🇨🇭

The Canadian superstar has a long-standing connection with Eurovision, having famously won the contest back in 1988. Representing Switzerland, Celine delivered a powerful performance of Ne partez pas sans moi, which went on to secure first place by just one point—a dramatic victory that helped launch her international career. Her Eurovision success remains one of the most iconic moments in the competition’s history.

During Tuesday night’s semi-final, the legendary singer made a virtual appearance via a pre-recorded video, sparking excitement among fans. While odds of 5/1 suggest a live performance remains unlikely, Eurovision has always been full of surprises—so perhaps it's a case of never say never!