Eurovision Odds 2025: Sweden 5/4 Favourites to win Song Contest

As we head into the first round of the semi-finals next week, excitement is building for what promises to be another spectacular season of the Eurovision song contest. With national selections wrapped up and rehearsals well underway, all eyes are on Basel as fans across the continent and beyond are gearing up to watch some of Europe’s most dynamic musical talent take to the stage. The competition is already heating up, and as always, the betting markets are alive with speculation and shifting odds.

So, how are the favourites looking as we head into the semi-finals? Here’s a look at the current Eurovision Odds 2025 and a rundown of this year’s top five frontrunners. From returning fan favourites to exciting newcomers making their Eurovision debut, these acts have been turning heads with their impressive performances, chart-topping tracks, and their all-important ability to win over both the juries and the public vote. Let the Eurovision race begin!

*You can get all the latest Eurovision 2025 Odds over on betfred.com

Sweden @ 5/4

Sweden remain the favourites to take the Eurovision 2025 crown at 5/4, having held a tight grip on the top spot since betting opened—and it’s not hard to see why. This year’s entry, KAJ, encapsulates everything fans love about Eurovision. They’re bold, energetic, and effortlessly entertaining, striking the perfect balance between catchy pop and playful performance. With a polished stage presence and a song that sticks, they’ve become the standout act in a field full of strong contenders.

That said, while Sweden may appear a safe bet on paper, recent history reminds us that nothing is certain in Eurovision. Just last year in Malmö, Croatia’s Baby Lasagna dominated the betting charts in the lead-up to the final, only to be overtaken at the last hurdle by Switzerland’s Nemo. Although KAJ currently enjoy a clearer lead, with the market showing a modest but notable majority in their favour, things could tighten dramatically after Tuesday night’s semi-final. As we’ve seen before, live performances can quickly change the narrative—and the odds.

Austria @ 9/4

While Sweden may be leading the pack, the real battle appears to be unfolding just behind them—and Austria have carved out a strong position as the ones to watch. With odds currently sitting at 9/4, Austria have pulled ahead of other close contenders like France and Israel, securing a firm grip on second place in the betting markets. Since the odds opened, there’s been movement among the runner-up hopefuls, but in the weeks leading up to the semi-finals, Austria have brought a sense of consistency and momentum that’s clearly resonating with punters.

Tuesday night’s performance will be a make-or-break moment, likely setting the tone for how Austria’s Eurovision journey plays out. Should Sweden falter under the spotlight, Austria are well-placed to seize the top spot—and it wouldn’t be the first time a front-runner was overtaken in the final stretch. On the flip side, a lukewarm performance could see their odds slip, opening the door once more for France or Israel to challenge. Either way, Austria are undoubtedly one to keep an eye on as the competition intensifies.

France @ 10/1

Another strong contender to win in Basel this year is France, with odds of a French victory currently sitting at 10/1. This surge in favorability is largely attributed to the selection of Louane as France's representative. Her song, "Maman," is a heartfelt ballad that delves into personal themes of family and loss, resonating with both juries and audiences alike. 

Louane's established reputation in the French music industry adds to the anticipation surrounding her Eurovision entry. Having previously achieved significant success, her participation brings a level of credibility and excitement. The emotional depth of "Maman" is expected to make a strong impact during live performances, potentially swaying both jury members and viewers.

France's recent Eurovision history also contributes to their current standing. After a series of near wins, including a runner-up position in 2021, the nation is eager to clinch its first victory since 1977. The combination of a compelling artist, a powerful song, and a strategic presentation positions France as a formidable competitor in this year's contest.

While Sweden and Austria are also leading the betting odds, France's unique blend of emotional storytelling and musical prowess makes them a noteworthy contender for the Eurovision 2025 title. As the contest approaches, all eyes will be on Louane's performance and its reception across Europe.

Israel @ 12/1

Israel are currently priced at 12/1, reflecting their strong but somewhat unpredictable position in this year’s Eurovision race. Much like Croatia, Israel were on the cusp of victory last year, and their history at the competition is filled with impressive results. Known for consistently ranking highly, Israel is always a serious contender on the Eurovision stage, with a reputation for powerful performances that captivate audiences.

This year, Israel is represented by Yuval Raphael, whose entry, "New Day Will Rise," is an emotional power ballad that resonates deeply with themes of resilience and hope. While political tensions and controversies surrounding Israel's participation may impact their overall chances, they remain a solid option for those looking to back an act likely to land in the top five. With Raphael’s powerful vocals and heartfelt performance, Israel is well-placed to be a key contender, even if a win seems just out of reach.

Czech Republic @ 20/1 

Czechia may be sitting further down the odds at 20/1, but they’ve quietly become one of the most compelling dark horses in this year’s Eurovision race. Representing the country is Slovak artist Adonxs, whose commanding vocals and distinctive stage presence have already turned heads ahead of the live shows. His entry, Kiss Kiss Goodbye, is a slick, emotionally charged pop track that brings both style and substance—delivering a performance that’s as visually striking as it is sonically polished.

While Czechia’s Eurovision track record has been modest so far, with a best result of sixth place, the buzz around Adonxs suggests that could be about to change. Internally selected by Czech Television with the input of both an international jury and a demoscopic panel, his song carries broad appeal and credibility. If Tuesday’s semi-final performance lands as expected, Czechia could easily climb the odds and push into serious contention—especially if any of the current frontrunners falter. Quietly gaining momentum, this is one act that shouldn't be underestimated.

Netherlands @ 20/1

Also priced at 20/1 are the Netherlands. While their position in the market is competitive, it’s important to note that the Dutch entry also comes with its share of challenges. Last year, the Netherlands were poised for a strong finish until Joost Klein’s disqualification at the final hurdle, following what had been a hugely successful campaign. His song, Welcome to Europa, became a viral sensation with millions of streams, setting a tough precedent for whoever would follow.

This year, Claude has taken on the responsibility of filling Joost’s shoes. Although his song holds promise, recent rehearsal footage has sparked some criticism, with fans raising concerns over his vocal performance and stage presence. Nevertheless, Claude’s overall appeal and the Netherlands’ consistent track record in Eurovision mean they’re still a team to watch. With the odds tied with Czechia, a strong live performance could see them rise rapidly in the rankings, making them a potential surprise contender as the competition progresses.

You can follow all our Eurovision Betting Tips over on Betfred Insights right up until the final on May 17.