The final match of the shortened 2023 Rugby Championship will take place at Ellis Park on Saturday as South Africa host Argentina.

The Springboks still have a slim chance of lifting the trophy, but they need to win regardless, in the hope that New Zealand have already lost to Australia earlier in the day.

Argentina also have something to play for as they can avoid the wooden spoon for the first time in six years.

South Africa vs Argentina Tips

  • South Africa -17.5 @ 4/6
  • South Africa to win by 16-20 points @ 6/1

Team news

South Africa coach Jacques Nienaber has made nine changes to his team for the clash in Johannesburg.

No.8 Duane Vermeulen will lead a new-look team after their 35-20 defeat to New Zealand, with Manie Libbok and Grant Williams named in a new half-back pairing.

Williams will start for the Springboks for the first time, while Vermeulen, Pieter-Steph du Toit and Marco van Staden will form a new back row.

Malcolm Marx replaces Bongi Mbonambi at hooker, while at lock, Lood de Jager is replaced by Marvin Orie.

Kurt-Lee Arendse, who scored a hat-trick against Australia, gets the nod over Makazole Mapimpi, and Jesse Kriel gets his first appearance of the season at centre.

Argentina will have a new look backline as Santiago Chocobares returns at centre in one of five changes.

Michael Cheika has also brought in Juan Cruz Mallia, Lautaro Bazan Velez, Lucas Paulos and Juan Imhoff, with Emiliano Boffelli, Rodrigo Isgro, Jeronimo de la Fuente, Gonzalo Bertranou and Matias Alemanno the ones to make way.

South Africa -17.5 @ 4/6

South Africa have only won the Rugby Championship once in the four-team era since it began in 2012, and that wait is likely to continue.

The Springboks will already know the result of Australia’s clash with New Zealand, but there is still added motivation for them to win.

Saturday’s fixture marks the final time they will play on home soil before the World Cup, so some of the team’s older players may be playing their last games at Ellis Park.

They have dominated the Pumas on home soil for the last decade, and they can win their second game of the tournament while covering the -17.5 handicap.

South Africa to win by 16-20 points @ 6/1

While Nienaber’s troops should eventually have too much class for their visitors, Argentina have proven to be a tough nut to crack. They recorded a famous 34-31 victory over Australia earlier this month, and the Pumas will be full of confidence as they try to upset the Springboks.

South Africa’s team boasts plenty of power up front, which should lay the platform for their victory, and they can secure the win by 16-20 points. They have won the last four meetings by a margin of 11-20 points, so we are chasing a little more value with our prediction.

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