England vs New Zealand Prediction: All Blacks can edge out improving England

New Zealand have not been at their best in 2025, but they are still the team that other Rugby Union sides are judged on, with England next to face the mighty All Blacks on Saturday (kick-off 15:10, live on TNT Sports 1).

Warren Ashurst provides his best bets in his England vs New Zealand predictions piece, as well as the crucial team news and match odds for the clash at the Allianz Stadium.

Team News

England have decided to go with the experience of George Ford at fly-half, while Freddie Steward will start at full-back.

Captain Maro Itoje will return to the starting XV having come off the bench to score a try in last weekend’s 38-18 win over Fiji.

Tom Roebuck is fit again after an ankle problem and will replace the injured Tommy Freeman on England’s right wing.

New Zealand have been hit by the news that two loose forwards have had to leave the camp, with Samipeni Finau heading home due to family issues while Luke Jacobson suffered a head injury.

Three players have been drafted into the All Blacks squad to cover for the absentees, with Crusaders loose-forward Christian Lio-Willie, winger Caleb Tangitau and lock Josh Beehre all called up.

England vs New Zealand Odds

After winning five games in a row, England have been made 5/6 favourites to win Saturday’s clash at Twickenham.

Fresh from their win over Scotland, New Zealand can be backed at 21/20, while the draw is available at 18/1.

New Zealand to win @ 21/20

You have to go back to 2019 for the last time England beat the All Blacks and although Steve Borthwick’s men have made steady improvement, New Zealand could edge them out again.

It is 13 years since the Red Rose last defeated the New Zealanders on home soil and a win on Saturday would give them a huge lift heading into 2026.

Scott Robertson’s position as head coach was under pressure earlier this year, after finishing second in the Rugby Championship - losing to South Africa and Argentina.

It’s worth noting though that the All Blacks have won each of their last six fixtures against Northern Hemisphere teams, including victories over both Ireland and Scotland this month.

Winning Margin - New Zealand win by 1-5 Points Inclusive @ 11/2

England faced the All Blacks three times in 2024, running their South Hemisphere opponents close in all three Tests.

New Zealand won the two matches on home soil by three and seven points respectively and that has been the story of recent meetings between the sides.

Last Autumn’s clash at Twickenham finished in 22-24 success for the All Blacks, while the 2022 encounter in London finished in a 25-25 draw.

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