Brumbies vs Waratahs Prediction: Tahs set for another derby defeat

There is a huge Super Rugby Pacific clash taking place at the GIO Stadium on Friday, when the third-placed Brumbies take on fierce rivals the Waratahs in seventh (08:35, live on Sky Sports+).
Read on for my Brumbies vs Waratahs prediction, complete with the latest team news and match odds.
Brumbies vs Waratahs Betting Tips
*odds correct at time of publication
The Brumbies are the firm 1/4 favourites to pick up the win, with the draw priced at 20/1 and the Waratahs 10/3 to claim the spoils.
There have been 57 or more points in the last two meetings between these two and it is 10/11 for that bet to come in again.
Team News
The Brumbies have made three changes from the side that beat the Chiefs, with Ollie Sapsford coming in for Kye Oates on the wing and David Feliuai taking over in the centres for Hudson Creighton, who drops to the replacements. In the forwards, Lachie Shaw replaces Nick Frost in the second row.
Starting XV: 15. Andy Muirhead, 14. Ollie Sapsford, 13. Kadin Pritchard, 12. David Feliuai, 11. Corey Toole, 10. Declan Meredith, 9. Ryan Lonergan; 8. Charlie Cale, 7. Rory Scott, 6. Rob Valetini, 5. Cadyern Neville 4. Lachie Shaw, 3. Darcy Breen, 2. Billy Pollard, 1. James Slipper.
Replacements: 16. Liam Bowron, 17. Blake Schoupp, 18. Tevita Alatini, 19. Toby Macpherson, 20. Luke Reimer, 21. Klayton Thorn, 22. Tane Edmed, 23. Hudson Creighton.
The Waratahs have made one alteration from the defeat to the Blues, with Andrew Kellaway returning from injury and starting on the wing in place of Harry Potter, who is absent with a quad issue.
Starting XV: 15. Sid Harvey, 14. Andrew Kellaway, 13. Joey Walton, 12. Lawson Creighton, 11. Max Jorgensen, 10. Jack Debreczeni, 9. Jake Gordon, 8. Pete Samu, 7. Jamie Adamson, 6. Clem Halaholo, 5. Miles Amatosero, 4. Matt Philip, 3. Daniel Botha, 2. Ethan Dobbins, 1. Tom Lambert
Replacements: 16. Folau Faingaa, 17. Jack Barrett, 18. Siosifa Amone, 19. Angus Blyth, 20. Charlie Gamble, 21. Angus Scott-Young, 22. Teddy Wilson, 23. Triston Reilly.
Brumbies to win by over 12 points @ 5/6
Friday brings the latest instalment of this 30-year rivalry and the Brumbies will be the more confident of the two heading into this contest.
Stephen Larkham's side snapped a two-game losing run with a 33-24 home success over the Chiefs last Friday, their fourth win of the season, leaving the team just a point off top spot.
After winning their first two games, the Waratahs have been going in a different direction with three defeats in a row against the Hurricanes, Reds and the Blues, seeing them slip outside of the top six.
Two of those defeats have been by more than 12 points and the Brumbies, who are the leading scorers in Super Rugby Pacific with 227 points, can deliver another heavy loss.
The Brumbies have won 14 of their last 15 Super Rugby Pacific games against the Waratahs and they can keep their hands firmly on the Dan Vickerman Cup, awarded to the winner of this match.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Ryan Lonergan anytime tryscorer @ 2/1
Brumbies scrum-half Ryan Lonergan has looked in good form and he heads into this clash looking to register a third try in a row.
The 27-year-old has crossed the whitewash against Fijian Drua and the Chiefs and he can take his tally to the season to four, having also touched down in round one against Western Force.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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