London Broncos vs Castleford Tigers Predictions: 9/2 for healthy Cas win

 | Thursday 11th July 2024, 10:07am

Thursday 11th July 2024, 10:07am

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London Broncos take a home game on the road again on Friday night when they entertain Castleford Tigers at Ebbsfleet United FC’s Kuflink Stadium in what has become a fascinating Betfred Super League fixture (kick-off 20:00 BST, Sky Sports Arena).

The two sides’ results last week saw London push Leeds Rhinos to golden-point extra-time and Cas stunningly take only a second win away from St Helens in the last 32 years, teeing up a clash of two sides with momentum behind them. My London Broncos vs Castleford Tigers predictions will have to take into account improved form for both.

London Broncos vs Castleford Tigers Tips

  • Castleford to win by 16-20 points @ 9/2
  • Joe Westerman anytime tryscorer @ 3/1

London Broncos vs Castleford Tigers Odds

Given the way things have gone for London on the whole this season, it’s no shock to see them priced at 4/1 for the home win in Northfleet. Cas are not worth backing for the 80-minute win at 2/11, but the draw at 22/1 is intriguing given the two sides’ close results of late. The Tigers are 8/11 to win by 13 or more points, that implies a 57.9% chance of coming in.

Team News

Broncos head coach Mike Eccles makes a single change to the squad which so nearly recorded a second win of the season at Leeds last time out, with Jordan Williams making way for the returning Jack Campagnolo.

The 26-year-old Italy international hasn’t featured since the round-five loss to Warrington Wolves at Plough Lane in March, and his recovery from injury could be timely.

It gives Eccles extra options in the halves, with Oli Leyland and James Meadows having occupied the spots for the majority of the season. Leyland could revert to full-back if Campagnolo starts at stand-off.

Rugby League Odds

Craig Lingard understandably makes only one alteration to the side which stunned St Helens last week, bringing Sam Hall into the squad to replace Daniel Hindmarsh among the options beyond the 18 selected for the matchday side last Friday.

Beyond the result, further good news at Langtree Park was the return of George Lawler, who got through his first appearance in over three months following a seizure resulting from a bleed on the brain which had many fearing for his career at one stage.

Castleford by 16-20 points @ 9/2

I’m hesitant to tip too big a victory for Cas given what the Broncos have managed at times this season. They pushed Salford Red Devils at home, troubled Hull FC away and beat them comfortably at Plough Lane, and of course most recently took Leeds to extra-time.

But Castleford are a changed prospect of late, with Lingard really starting to have his desired effect on the side. Over the last few rounds, they have been edged out by two points against Wigan Warriors, lost by a drop goal to Hull Kingston Rovers and then beat St Helens by a margin of two.

This one should be a slightly more comfortable experience though, with the strike of Tex Hoy, Innes Senior and Corey Hall in the backs giving them wonderful options off the half-back pairing of Rowan Milnes and Jacob Miller.

And even when the Broncos showed fight against Huddersfield Giants, the 26-6 loss showed that there are points to be had for visitors to the capital, so I can see Cas pulling away somewhat even if the might is a largely tight affair.

Castleford by 16-20 @ 9/2

Joe Westerman anytime tryscorer @ 3/1

One thing that has been a common trait for sides coming up against the Broncos this season has been the success through the middle. Forwards have had an absolutely field day in the tryscoring department.

Matt Whitley, Sam Luckley, Tariq Sims, Harvie Hill, Adam Holroyd and James Batchelor have all scored try doubles against London from the pack already this season, a remarkable stat given that they have combined for only three tries between them in every other game they’ve played in 2024.

I can see Cas’ pack getting in on the action on Friday, and it’s really a split decision on who I land on. But I can well imagine captain Joe Westerman crossing for his first try since March and continuing the trend of tryscoring forwards against the Broncos this term.

Joe Westerman anytime tryscorer @ 3/1

You can read all our latest Rugby League Betting Tips at our dedicated Betfred Insights Rugby League content hub.

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