US Horse Racing Tips: Saturday’s selections come from Turf Paradise and Keeneland

Our US Racing expert Paul Quigley has analysed all the races on offer across the pond, and is looking to land a few winners to this weekend.

Check out his US Racing Tips below.

21:55 Turf Paradise (Race 3) - Go Go Sadie @ SP

All but one of the players in this race ran in two similar events here on February 20 and March 22.

In the latest, Go Go Sadie (1) ran second with Blessed Angel (5) only a neck behind her. The last named probably ran the best, pressing the all the way winner from the get-go. The slightly shorter distance today should suit. She has to be reckoned with, but faces competition for the lead again. Go Go Sadie (1) can finish strongly. She seems to get a good setup and gets the vote

Lets Declare Peace (7) ran flat in that March 22 event. She may be better judged on her head victory over Blessed Angel (5) and Asena (2) in February.

Then she got pace to chase down and got there in the last stride. Cutting back to five-and-a-half furlongs doesn’t play to her strength. That said, the likely race flow certainly does. She is the one to fear if she returns to her best.

As well as Lets Declare Peace (7), in-form trainer Howard Gibson has Blue Spirit (4) entered. She has looked much improved since moving to Turf Paradise and joining Gibson. Ma maiden win was followed by a five-length score at the level below this one. She could be softened up in a speed duel, but has stalked and run her race in the past.

Grease Missile (3) was used up on the front end when well behind Go Go Sadie (1) in February. She may add to the speed mix.

22:16 Keeneland (Race 9) - Missed the Cut @ SP

The worthy favourite here is Limited Liability (6). The question for punters is what is an acceptable price. He has been ridden more aggressively early on since Frankie Dettori has taken over the riding. He sauntered home in a two-mile stake at Kentucky Downs in September. In his two subsequent starts, both over shorter distances, he has been placed. In the latest in a Grade 3 at Gulfstream in January, he was beaten by a neck. He is two from three on the turf track at Keeneland.

Grand Sonata (2) is likely to be the clear second-favourite. Take out his runs against top horses in Grade 1’s, and he looks a nice fit class-wise with this field. He missed by a neck in a Grade 2 at Gulfstream last March with a couple of these behind him. Like Limited Liability (6), he has the tactical speed to get a good early position no matter what the pace scenario.

Two runners who had troubled trips behind Grand Sonata (2) are worth considering. Missed the Cut (9) was shut off on the first turn. He was only beaten two-and-a-half lengths. That was his first run since June. His last two victories have come in graded stakes against softer competition at Santa Anita.

His runner-up try in this race last year is a contending effort. Anglophile (7) who comes out of the same Grand Sonata (2) race will be a bigger price. He could make the frame with more racing luck.

The last time Balnikhov (12) ran over today’s distance, he ran a close-up second in a Grade 2 at Del Mar. He adds depth to this race. So too does Rebel Red (1). He finished only a nose behind Limited Liability (6) in a Grade 2 at Aqueduct in November. That was his first run over an extended distance. His comeback can be ignored as Ben Curtis on Idratherbeblessed (11) stole the race. Second time back and more ground makes him interesting.

Take out a run on Tapeta, and Verstappen (4) is a possible upsetter. The last time he raced on turf, he missed by a nose in a stake over today’s distance at Sam Houston.

22:48 Keeneland (Race 10) - Piroli @ SP

Like all of these, Duke of Love (6) has worries about him. In his last two starts of 2023, he won a Grade 3 and was only beaten three lengths in a Grade 1 at Saratoga. A repeat of that sort of form would crush this field. He missed all of last year and didn’t reappear until last month. Although not running badly by any means, he didn’t scream out next time out graded stakes winner. He may have needed that race badly, and seven furlongs was probably too short.

Uno Mas Bourbon (7) also made his comeback at Gulfstream last month, but had only been away since November. He stayed on from the rear in a race that didn’t suit his closing kick. Last year he showed progressive form, winning a stake in Louisiana and placed in a pair of graded events in Kentucky. The worry with him is being parked behind likely sedate early fractions. Likewise, Time for Trouble (4) who has gone a long time since he last won.

San Siro (1) caught a deep field in a Grade 2 at The Fair Grounds last month. This is a more winnable spot. Piroli (5) has been freshened up since a poor run at Turfway in January. His career best effort came when a clear-cut winner here last October. That came after some time away following a heavy defeat. He should be a price and gets a tepid vote.

There is a lack of speed in this race. That makes the likely leader Prince of Power (2) dangerous at a big price. He couldn’t go the pace in a swiftly run Grade 3 over seven furlongs here 11 days ago. He has form over this sort of distance when bossing things that give him a chance. He may be worth a saver at least.

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Paul Quigley is a long-time US racing fan and tipster. He provides US Horse Racing Tips for Betfred Insights as well as working for Betfred TV...