Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips: 13/2 shot the NAP on tricky Thursday

 | Wednesday 19th June 2024, 17:27pm

Wednesday 19th June 2024, 17:27pm

Royal Ascot Tips

It's been a fantastic Royal Ascot so far and there's no letting up on Thursday, with another highly-competitive card to enjoy between 14:30-18:15.

My Royal Ascot Day 3 tips are headlined by an 11/2 NAP in the day's penultimate contest.

Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips

  • 14:30 - Aesterius @ 9/1
  • 15:05 - City Burglar e/w @ 28/1
  • 15:45 - Diamond Rain @ 13/8
  • 16:25 - Trawlerman @ 13/2
  • 17:05 - Qirat @ 8/1
  • 17:40 - Bracken's Laugh @ 13/2
  • 18:15 - Billyjoh e/w @ 22/1

14:30 - Aesterius @ 9/1

I came into Royal Ascot with the intention of backing Aidan O'Brien's Whistlejacket in the Norfolk, but his form has taken a couple of knocks over the last 48 hours and I'm concerned about him over this trip on such quick ground, so I'm taking him on instead.

Wathnan Racing have enjoyed a brilliant couple of days with their juveniles and I'm hoping AESTERIUS can follow suit in this Group 2 over the minimum trip.

Archie Watson's two-year-old made a winning debut at Bath last month and while that form doesn't look particularly strong, the £380,000 breeze-up purchase did have a lot in hand and has untapped potential.

Watson is an expert with these young horses, saddling the runner-up in the Coventry on Tuesday, and he was quoted pre-Ascot saying the selection "is already a proper stakes sprinter". That'll do for me.

Aesterius to win the 14.30 Royal Ascot at 9-1

15:05 - City Burglar e/w @ 28/1

Next up is the King George V Stakes, a highly-competitive handicap (1m4f) for three-year-olds.

You could make a case for many of these, but I feel the standout value is Ralph Beckett's CITY BURGLAR.

The son of Cracksman bumped into some very good horses as a juvenile when racing over inadequate trips and I am hopeful he'll come into his home this term over more suitable distances.

His return over 1m2f here at Ascot last month was promising, finishing a narrow second to a well-handicapped type with his nearest rival, who has since run well too, two lengths behind.

A rise of four pounds looks manageable, Beckett is in top form and Silvestre De Sousa is riding out of his skin, so there's lots to like about his chances.

This is an Extra Place Race, so Betfred are paying 5 places instead of 4 at 1/5 the odds for all each-way bets - and we're offering your stake back (up to £10) as a free bet if your selection in the 15:05 finishes 2nd.

City Burglar each-way for the 15.05 Royal Ascot at 28-1

15:45 - Diamond Rain @ 13/8

Racing is rarely straightforward, but I found DIAMOND RAIN to be an easy pick for the Ribblesdale.

Charlie Appleby's unbeaten three-year-old was impressive in winning a Listed affair at Newbury this time last month on just her second start and that form has been franked by the runner-up, who was beaten by over two lengths, bolting up subsequently.

She looks a highly-progressive filly who should relish the step up to 1m4f against rivals who all bring a similar level of form to the table.

The daughter of Shamardal is already the highest-rated in the field and for me she has the most scope too, so I see no reason to complicate this fillies' Group 2 over 1m4f.

Diamond Rain to win the 15.45 Royal Ascot at 13-8

16:25 - Trawlerman @ 13/2

Exactly 40 minutes later is the feature race - the Gold Cup - which sees star stayer Kyprios take on nine rivals in his bid for a fifth Group 1 triumph.

He's the class act in the field, but he's won a couple of modest races over the last couple of months having been beaten on both his two appearances last season.

It was John & Thady Gosden's TRAWLERMAN who downed him in the Long Distance Cup on Champions Day - and I fancy a repeat is on the cards.

The six-year-old Golden Horn reappeared early this term, in the Dubai Gold Cup at Meydan, and he finished a respectable third, around three lengths behind Aidan O'Briens Tower Of London.

That was a good comeback and providing he's been kept up to his work since and therefore fit and ready to go here, I see no reason why he can't at least outrun his generous odds.

Betfred will return your stake (up to £10) as a free bet if your selection in the 16:25 finishes 2nd.

Trawlerman to win the 16.25 Royal Ascot at 13-2

17:05 - Qirat @ 8/1

He's priced accordingly, but I just can't get away from Ralph Beckett's QIRAT.

After a decent juvenile campaign, the three-year-old son of Showcasing returned this term with an authoritative victory in a competitive handicap at Goodwood last month off a mark of 88.

I think a four-pound rise for that is lenient. It was his first run after a gelding operation and he didn't get the best break before finding trouble in running. Once he was in the clear around the furlong pole, he did it rather snugly.

For me, he has a lot more than that in hand, especially now he makes the step up to a mile.

You need your fair share of luck in these big fields, but I'm confident the selection is a Group horse in a handicap and will hopefully have the class to justify favouritism.

Qirat to win the 17.05 Royal Ascot at 8-1

17:40 - Bracken's Laugh @ 13/2

I suspect King's Gambit will prove popular ahead of the Hampton Court - a Group 3, also for three-year-olds only, over 1m2f - but I prefer the claims of BRACKEN'S LAUGH.

Richard Hughes' colt has already beaten the favourite on his racecourse debut at Newbury in September last year. Yes, he was getting six pounds, but he was also a complete novice against a twice-raced horse with a win under his belt, so it at least evens itself out for me.

Since then, the selection has emerged with credit at the highest level over in France, before two solid runs back on home turf - culminating in a narrow second in the Dee Stakes at Chester's May Festival.

You could argue he was unlucky the last day. Ryan Moore dictated from the front on the winner Capulet and the selection could never reel him in. He was close at the line and a further few furlongs would probably have been the difference, but ultimately it wasn't to be.

This has been the target ever since then and with a better pace to aim at almost certain, I expect a career-best performance. He's the NAP.

Bracken's Laugh to win the 17.40 Royal Ascot at 13-2

18:15 - Billyjoh e/w @ 22/1

Hopefully we've had some joy earlier in the day, for I don't have the highest hopes about Thursday's finale.

Twenty nine go to post for the Buckingham Palace Stakes - a 0-105 handicap over seven furlongs - and it looks an incredibly tricky puzzle to solve.

My tentative vote goes to Michael Appleby's BILLYJOH.

The four-year-old gelding is probably the most consistent horse in the field. He's had 11 runs without a break since November last year and during that time his form reads like this: 41411247224. His mark has risen 19lbs over those seven months and he's in the form of his life at present.

The big question here regards the trip. He's never gone further than six furlongs, so it's a complete unknown, but for me he's been shaping like it will suit and therefore I'm keen to take a chance.

If his sprint form can translate over the further distance, he's an excellent each-way proposition given his incredible consistency.

Billyjoh each-way for the 18.15 Royal Ascot at 22-1

This is an Extra Place Race, so Betfred are paying 6 places instead of 4 at 1/5 the odds for all each-way bets.

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