Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe 2024 Antepost Tips: Value plays at 12/1 and 100/1

After a highly-informative weekend featuring the Betfred St Leger, Irish Champion Stakes and Arc Trials Day, it felt a good time to study the latest Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Antepost Odds.

I've picked out two Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 2024 antepost tips that I think represent good value ahead of the race at Longchamp on October 6.

Al Riffa @ 12/1

I think a few who ran at the weekend - namely Sosie, Los Angeles and Shin Emperor - enhanced their Arc claims, but as far as I'm concerned nothing stamped their authority on what's shaping up to be a wide-open renewal.

That's convinced me to back Joseph O'Brien's AL RIFFA at 12/1.

The four-year-old Wootton Bassett colt struggled to get a clear run last season, but his second to subsequent Arc hero Ace Impact in the G2 Prix Guillaume d'Ornano at Deauville in August is, it goes without saying, very strong form.

This year has been much smoother. He began nice and early in April, finishing less than a length off the pace in fourth in the G1 Prix Ganay over an extended 1m2f at Longchamp before an underwhelming effort at Saratoga. That can be easily forgiven, however, for it was over a furlong shorter on firm ground.

A big return to form followed, as he trailed City Of Troy - the Betfred Derby and Juddmonte International winner Aidan O'Brien calls the best he's ever trained - by just a length in the Eclipse at Sandown the following month.

He shaped like stepping up to 1m4f would suit, which was confirmed and then some when he won the G1 Grosser von Berlin - a race landed by Torquator Tasso and Alpinista on the way to winning the Arc in 2020 and 2021 respectively - by five widening lengths.

I think his form is comparable to any of the intended runners, he's had an excellent preparation and he remains lightly-raced, especially over this distance. I'll be pleasantly surprised if he's still double figures come raceday.

Deira Mile e/w @ 100/1

I'll also be having a couple of quid each-way on Owen Burrows' DEIRA MILE at 100/1. Yes, that's one hundred to one.

I can understand why the three-year-old Camelot colt is that price. Ultimately, he's won just one of eight starts which was a novice event at Windsor. Hardly screams Arc winner, does it? Hear me out...

First of all, it's been strongly suggested he will line up at Longchamp. Immediately after the Betfred St Leger at Doncaster last weekend - more on that shortly - his trainer said: "The owner is keen to have a crack at the Arc and why not."

I also don't think the selection has as much to find as the odds suggest, nor do I think we've seen the best of him yet.

His staying-on fourth in the Betfred Derby is good form and guess who was only a length-and-a-half in front of him? Los Angeles, who's currently 8/1 for the Arc.

His effort in the Betfred St Leger (finished third, placed fourth) was even better. In a slowly-run race dictated by the Aidan O'Brien trio, he travelled like the classiest horse and was closing on the front two with every stride. A line through Illinois, who was second to Arc favourite Sosie and ahead of 9/1 shot Delius in the Grand Prix de Paris earlier this year, again reads well for Deira Mile.

I think 1m4f on ground likely to be on the softer side will be absolutely perfect and there should be at least an honest pace on, which ought to suit also.

There's no denying that improvement is needed if he's to win one of, if not the most prestigious race on the calendar, but I think he's seriously overpriced at present and well worth an each-way play.

Find more Horse Racing Tips here at Betfred Insights