NAP of the Day: 11/4 shot should relish Redcar test

 | Monday 27th May 2024, 17:40pm

Monday 27th May 2024, 17:40pm

Owen McMahon's NAP of the Day

On an extremely busy Tuesday featuring seven meetings across the UK & Ireland, we go to the seaside town of Redcar for my NAP of the Day.

Carrying the weight of expectation is a class-dropper who looks to have been found a fair opportunity to get off the mark at the seventh attempt.

NAP of the Day

  • 15:35 Redcar - Mach Ten @ 11/4

Google tells me that Mach 10 is a scientific term for the velocity of around 10 times the speed of sound. I understand that to be over 7000mph. Very fast, basically.

Karl Burke's MACH TEN is therefore inaptly-named. Respectfully.

Despite being by Group 1-winning sprinter Ten Sovereigns, the selection looks a dour stayer. Even over 1m4f, he's appeared slow.

So, I expect him to relish the extra two furlongs, on ground described as soft (heavy in places) at time of publication, he gets in this maiden handicap.

Click the link for 15:35 Redcar Odds

The three-year-old is unlikely to ever live up to his lofty price tag of 150,000gns, but I do believe he could be a fairly well-handicapped stayer off his current mark of 72.

The first three starts of his career, all in novice company, followed the same script - start slowly, get outpaced and then stay on strongly. Like clockwork.

He was gelded in January and reappeared a couple of months later off a mark of 76 in a 0-90 handicap over 1m2f at Doncaster. He ran no race, but that effort was left way behind when he was subsequently stepped up in trip for a competitive affair at Wolverhampton and finished only a length-and-a-half behind the winner.

Dropped again to 73, he then went to Chester but his race was all but over before it got going as he broke slowly and had to be pushed along from the get-go, which is very tough to recover from on the Roodee.

The fact he was able to keep on into an admittedly remote fourth was promising, though, as he tackles the longest trip of his career on slow ground.

He also drops quite significantly in class - from a competitive affair at a big meeting to a midweek contest for horses yet to win a single race.

The only one of selection's six rivals that I really fear is William Haggas' Candle Wax for The King & Queen. He's also bred to be a lot better than what he's showed to date and an extremely low mark of 51 could be ridiculed if he's improved over the summer following a gelding op.

However, that's the chancy option as opposed to the standard-setter Mach Ten who goes for a yard operating at a 20% strike rate and fresh off the back of two Classic successes (German & Irish 1000 Guineas).

Mach Ten to win the 15.35 Redcar at 11-4

Find our NAP of the Day here at Betfred Insights

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