NAP of the Day: Take 13/8 about fast-improving jumper

 | Monday 24th June 2024, 18:00pm

Monday 24th June 2024, 18:00pm

Owen McMahon's NAP of the Day

Following a tricky Royal Ascot, I'm mixing things up on Tuesday and focusing on the jumps card at Newton Abbot for my NAP of the Day.

Emma Lavelle sends one to the Devon venue who gets my vote to back up his previous win.

NAP of the Day

  • 15:00 Newton Abbot - Ramensky @ 13/8

As the 15:00 Newton Abbot Odds suggests, this novices' hurdle over an extended 2m5f is a modest affair.

Our traders reckon it's highly-likely that Ramensky, Huelgoat or Cindysox oblige, with nothing more than a slim chance given to the other nine runners.

Huelgoat sets the standard but he's completely exposed at this point and his most recent success over course and distance was his first in 10 attempts over flights. He was 1/4f too, which says everything about the race's quality.

He's very beatable, let alone the rest of the field.

I think RAMENSKY - a four-year-old son of Cracksman for Emma Lavelle - has an outstanding chance here.

Click the link to find the latest odds for all Today's Horse Races

He was solid for William Haggas on the level but made a disappointing start to life over jumps, finishing a remote fourth in a Plumpton maiden back in April.

However, he took an almighty step forward at Hereford a month later, beating an odds-on shot for Jonjo & A J O'Neill by 10 lengths. That horse had already earned a rating of 121 and has won since, so it's fair to say the form of that victory looks pretty strong in the context of Tuesday's contest.

The improvement showed between those runs suggests there should be a lot more to come from the selection, who also looks sure to appreciate this further step up in trip.

On a line through a mare called Lacken Lady, Lavelle's gelding comfortably has the beating of third favourite Cindysox. The latter was over six lengths behind the former in an earlier race at Huntingdon, while Ramensky had Lacken Lady trailing by 11 lengths at Hereford. It's hard to see that form being reversed, frankly.

What about the others? It's hard to know what to expect from All Night Parking who's done all his racing between the flags, but he'd have to rate the main danger for on what they've achieved to date, the other eight are a long way away from winning races.

Find our NAP of the Day here at Betfred Insights

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