NAP of the Day: 11/4 very fair about Saturday’s best bet

 | Friday 5th July 2024, 18:23pm

Friday 5th July 2024, 18:23pm

Owen McMahon's NAP of the Day

It's been a frustrating week for followers of this NAP of the Day column, but I'm hoping for a change of fortune on Saturday.

It's across the Irish Sea we go in search of a welcome winner.

NAP of the Day - Saturday, July 6

  • 16:30 Naas - Mano Chicago @ 11/4

After studying Today's Horse Races, I've concluded that MANO CHICAGO at 11/4 for this two-year-old maiden over seven furlongs is the NAP.

Johnny Murtagh's colt fetched €40k at the sales back in September and nine months later made his racecourse debut at Gowran Park, finishing a staying-on third, beaten just under two lengths, in what looked a strong maiden.

It was Aidan O'Brien's The Parthenon who landed the spoils in County Kilkenny and he was coming off the back of a highly-promising debut in a Group 3 at the Curragh. Straight away, this gives the form a good look.

Both he and the runner-up Loch Tay hold entries for the G1 Vincent O'Brien National Stakes next month, which only further supports the idea that it was an above-average contest.

For me, the selection meets nothing of that calibre here. According to the 16:30 Naas Odds it's Swagman - another Ballydoyle inmate - who is his main rival, but I struggle to believe he's held in the same regard as the aforementioned The Parthenon.

The son of Wootton Bassett did cost a pretty penny and ought to improve a good amount for his initial effort at the Curragh last month, but he goes from having the best jockey in the world in Ryan Moore on his back to a claiming apprentice who's clearly in the early stages of his career, with just two winners to his name this season.

Also, Mano Chicago is open to just as much improvement. He likely ran to a mark in the low 80s the last day and there's every reason to believe he could push the 90 mark.

I certainly can't see the reopposing Nyman turning that form around. He was over three lengths behind the selection and like Swagman, he loses the assistance of a brilliant horseman in Billy Lee.

South Shore Island is feared. Don't be at all surprised to see him outrun his generous odds while a market check is advised on Dermot Weld's newcomer, but truth be told I expect Mano Chicago to get off the mark here.

Mano Chicago to win the 16.30 Naas at 11-4

Click the link to see all Today's Horse Races

Tune into Betfred Insights regularly to find my NAP of the Day

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