NAP of the Day: 11/8 about Haggas filly could prove a Gift

 | Thursday 27th June 2024, 18:39pm

Thursday 27th June 2024, 18:39pm

Owen McMahon's NAP of the Day

We were narrowly denied three winners on the trot as Thursday's well-backed selection could only manage a strong-finishing second at Newcastle.

Hopefully we can get back to winning ways on Friday courtesy of the NAP of the Day.

NAP of the Day

  • 19:35 Newmarket - Lou Lou's Gift @ 11/8

The fifth of seven races at Newmarket on Friday evening is a 0-85 handicap, strictly for three-year-olds, over seven furlongs on the July Course.

At time of publication, it's William Haggas' LOU LOU'S GIFT who heads the betting and it's not hard to see why.

The daughter of Lope De Vega is a half-sister to former John & Thady Gosden inmate Mighty Ulysees, who was rated 113 at his peak, and she dons the famous black, white and red Oppenheimer colours, so straight away she ticks a couple of boxes.

There's a lot to like about her form, too. She ran three times as a juvenile, culminating in a duck-breaking success on the all-weather at Newcastle back in November.

That form looks decent, if not spectacular. The runner-up boasts a lofty rating of 87 and subsequently held his form well, for all he was giving the selection plenty of weight in the north east.

Looking at her previous effort, over the same course and distance, paints an even better picture. Off level weights, she was only narrowly touched off by a nice type for Jack Channon, with the 85-rated Rosa Applause, who won her next two starts, in behind.

I suppose it's her sole appearance this term that matters most. Off an opening mark of 81, on her first try at Friday's trip, she was a staying-on third on the all-weather at Kempton.

That's another good piece of form in the context of this race and given the circumstances there's good reason to expect a fair bit of improvement and therefore a bold bid off an unchanged mark.

Her main rivals according to the 19:35 Newmarket Odds are Aquacell and Bulldog Drummond. The latter is dangerous, but this is a quick turnaround (six days) from his first run following wind surgery which is enough to put me off.

Jane Chapple-Hyam's runner, meanwhile, doesn't appear to be particularly well-handicapped and she might want further and/or a softer surface.

It would be unwise to completely rule out the other three, but for me there's a clear standout. Hopefully I'm right.

Lou Lou's Gift to win the 19.35 Newmarket at 11-8

Tune into Betfred Insights regularly to find our NAP of the Day

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