Friday Lucky 15 Tips: ‘Twist’ imminent? Hope so

 | January 19 | 

3 mins read

Lucky 15

Welcome to Friday Jan 19th, dear reader. The weather has us by the delicate bits at the moment, but thankfully we have some excellent all-weather action from Dundalk over in County Louth, Ireland, together with Wolverhampton and Newcastle in the UK.

A few respectable efforts but no cigar yesterday, and for today's selections we're heading to Wolves. The brilliant Hollie Doyle has a good-looking book of rides and another gifted lady jockey has just the one - Hayley Turner rides an unraced 3-yr-old filly of Andrew Balding's, sporting the legendary Juddmonte silks.

This is an example of how to put together a Lucky 15 - if you can improve upon my selections (of course you can), then go for it!

The odds can fluctuate between publishing our pieces and race-time. As a guide, a £0.50p win Lucky 15 on today's selections, at the prices, and assuming all four won, would return around £533 for your total £7.50 stake.

Popular legend confirms that Fred, 'The Bonus King,' invented the 'Lucky' series of bets and their bonuses. Want the lowdown - all the ins and outs? My colleague Adam has set out all you need to know with this handy guide - take a look by clicking here.

Lucky 15 tips Friday

Wolverhampton

  • 13.05 - Carey Street @ 3/1
  • 14.15 - Al Farabi @ 11/4
  • 14.50 - Sea The Buckthorn @ 11/2
  • 16.25 - Twistaline @ 4/1

13.05 - Carey Street @ 3/1

An experienced course-and-distance scorer with the inestimable benefit of Hollie on board.

He's been dropping steadily in the handicap and revived to an extent a few days ago here, over a furlong further. Only fading late in the piece, he steps down 220 yards which looks sure to suit.

Ms Doyle/Mrs Marquand won on him in March '22 at this track off a mark of 70, and he's down to 55 right now. Four days ago I glimpsed definite signs of a revival, and though in the autumn of his career can make the most of the Hollie reunion and pounce in the opener.

14.15 - Al Farabi @ 11/4

Kingman gelding out of a Kyllachy mare. We tipped him up previously and he ran extremely well, going down narrowly three weeks ago. Since joining the top yard of Roger Varian from Andre Fabre no less his form figures are 122, and I expect Jack Mitchell to come with a late, withering run.

The trip is again 7f which seems ideal, though a mile could unlock even greater potential. Very lightly-raced and has more to come, I'm sure.

14.50 - Sea The Buckthorn @ 11/2

Trainer Mark Usher's horses are running extremely competitively right now and his Sea The Buckthorn can confirm all that this afternoon.

Beaten just a length at Kempton last time, after a similarly encouraging outcome here in December. Becoming dangerously well-handicapped in my book, and this 4-yr-old gelding can strike for Danny Muscutt.

Nicely drawn in the four box, and tends to be held up for a late run. Yet to win a race but today might just be the day.

16.25 - Twistaline @ 4/1

Has earned topweight of 10st after several consistent displays in the grade.

Mick Appleby trains, Ali Rawlinson rides. The 5-yr-old mare beat Big Narstie at Southwell ten days ago, and that rival has since gone in on this very course (tipped up). The third home that day, Inexplicable, has also struck since (tipped up once again), and the form looks rock-solid.

Twistaline ran six days ago too, finishing close-up in third at Chelmsford after a tardy start. Connections evidently feel she's in great heart and bid to grab another prize while she's flying.

NB - The sole Hayley Turner ride is 3-yr-old filly Kalpana, by a French Derby winner out of a Dansili mare, in the 15.55.

Fits nicely into the 'could be anything' category, and we could learn a good deal from the contest as Simon and Ed Crisford saddle a promising-looking, similarly unraced colt in Hissyaan.

Cracking little heat.

Lucky 15 tips, from Betfred Insights.

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