Mares’ Novice Hurdle Trends: Stats hold the key for these three

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Mares' Novices' Hurdle Odds

Mares' Novices' Hurdle Key Historical Trends

Age

• All 10 winners have been aged five or six

Runners that match this trend: Al Fonce, Amen Kate, Bambino Fever, Blue Velvet, Carrigmoornaspruce, Chosen Comrade, Diamond Du Berlais, Echoing Silence, Future Prospect, Jackie Hobbs, Kingston Queen, Louve D'irlande, Oldschool Outlaw, Place De La Nation, Scavengers Reign, St Irene, White Noise

Official Rating (OR)

• Seven of the last 10 winners rated 135+

Runners that match this trend: Bambino Fever, Carrigmoornaspruce, Oldschool Outlaw, Place De La Nation, Mille Et Une Vies

Bumper winners

• The last four winners had won a bumper in their careers

Runners that match this trend: Amen Kate, Bambino Fever, Blue Velvet, Carrigmoornaspruce, Chosen Comrade, Echoing Silence, Future Prospect, Jackie Hobbs, Kingston Queen, Oldschool Outlaw, St Irene.

Last Run

• All 10 winners finished in the first three on their previous start

Runners that match this trend: Al Fonce, Amen Kate, Bambino Fever, Blue Velvet, Carrigmoornaspruce, Diamond Du Berlais, Echoing Silence, Full Of Life, Future Prospect, Jackie Hobbs, Kingston Queen, La Conquiere, Louve D'irlande, Oldschool Outlaw, Place De La Nation, Scavengers Reign, St Irene, White Noise, Charme De Faust, Manganese, Mille Et Une Vies

Prep Race

• All 10 winners had either already run against geldings or won a Graded Mares Hurdle last time out.

Runners that match this trend: Carrigmoornaspruce, Full Of Life, Future Prospect, Kingston Queen, Oldschool Outlaw, Charme De Faust.

Trainer Trends

• In the last five years, Willie Mullins has run 22 horses with one third his best result (he had won the five years before that)

Runners that match this trend: Bambino Fever, Blue Velvet, Diamond Du Berlais, Future Prospect, Place De La Nation, Charme De Faust

Market Trends

• The last seven favourites were beaten, six of them at odds under 3/1.

Runners that match this trend: Bambino Fever

Final Shortlist

1. Carrigmoornaspruce

2. Bambino Fever

3. Oldschool Outlaw