Jack Richards Novices’ Handicap Chase Trends: O’Brien can break Cheltenham duck

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National Hunt Novices' Handicap Chase Key Historical Trends

*note that stats include those formed when this was a Grade 1 contest

Age

• Since it was inaugurated in 2011, 11 of the 12 winners have been aged six or seven

Runners that match this trend: Gold Dancer, Sixmilebridge, Regent's Stroll, Ol Man Dingle, Kiss Will, Moon Rocket, Jordans Cross, Meetmebythesea, Intense Approach, Western Knight, Old Cowboy, The Bluesman, Where's My Jet, Kdeux Saint Fray, Ben Solo

Official Rating (OR)

• Eleven of the 12 previous winners of this contest have been rated 146+

Runners that match this trend: Gold Dancer, Sixmilebridge, Slade Steel

Cheltenham Form

• Each of the 12 winners previously had run at least once at Cheltenham
• All bar four had won at the course previously

Runners that match this trend: Sixmilebridge, Slade Steel, Regent's Stroll, King Alexander, Wingmen, Kiss Will, Jordans Cross, Intense Approach, Stencil, Western Knight, Kdeux Saint Fray

Jack Richards Novices' Handicap Chase Odds

Last Run

• Nine of the previous 12 winners were last-time-out winners
• Ten of them had had run within 61 days

Runners that match this trend: Sixmilebridge, King Alexander, Jordans Cross, Stencil, The Bluesman

Prep Race

• Four of the last nine winners contested the January Timeform Novice Handicap Chase at Cheltenham

Runners that match this trend: Jordans Cross, Kdeux Saint Fray

Trainer Trends

• Willie Mullins has won the race four times, from 2012 to 2017

Runners that match this trend: Gold Dancer, King Alexander, Kiss Will, Where's My Jet, Dr Eggman

Market Trends

• Eleven of the 12 winners in this race were from the top three in the betting
• Five favourites have prevailed in 12 years

Runners that match this trend: Regent's Stroll, Meetmebythesea, Slade Steel

Final Shortlist

1. Sixmilebridge
2. Regent's Stroll
3. Jordans Cross