The Evian Championship 2024 FRL Tips: Jamie’s four to consider backing

 | Wednesday 10th July 2024, 16:19pm

Wednesday 10th July 2024, 16:19pm

jamie LPGA

The Women's Majors are coming around thick and fast on the LPGA Tour and our golf tipster Jamie Worsley has put together his thoughts ahead of the action this week.

He has picked out four players to consider backing as part of his Evian Championship FRL Tips for us here at Betfred Insights...

The Evian Championship 2024 FRL Tips

  • Ayaka Furue – 1/4 5 places – 1.25 pts ew @ 35/1
  • Hyo Joo Kim – 1/4  5 places – 1 pt ew @ 40/1
  • Mao Saigo – 1/4 5 places – 0.75 pts ew @ 60/1
  • Esther Henseleit – 1/4 5 places – 0.5 pts ew @ 90/1

*Please click on the linked odds above to add this selection directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).

The Evian Championship begins tomorrow and I’ve taken a look at who is likely to get off to a fast start in France.

There does look to be some advantage for players teeing off early on Thursday. Conditions are benign early doors, with gusts only reaching around 5mph. Combine that with rain on Wednesday likely softening the course up, it should mean that the very earliest tee-times will encounter a receptive, scoreable course.

Gustier winds are forecast to arrive at around 10am, increasing throughout the rest of the day and whilst wind speeds of 16mph wouldn’t appear the most brutal, they are still significantly up on those morning speeds.

Therefore, I’m going to focus most of my attention on the early starters here, with three of my four selections teeing off at/before 8am.

*If you missed Jamie's full Evian Championship 2024 Preview, you can check it out behind the link.

Ayaka Furue 35/1 – 1/4 5 places – 1.25 pts ew

Start time: 08:00

My first pick is Japan’s Ayaka Furue. She’s developed a good record at Evian on her three starts so far and as one of the best round one scorers on tour, she looks to have a great chance of a first-round lead this week.

Furue has been ultra-consistent since making her LPGA debut and 2024 has been no different. She’s missed just one cut in 17 starts and recorded eight top-10s, the best of which was a 2nd-place finish in the Shoprite Classic, and she comes into this week finishing no worse than 19th in her last five starts.

She’s a precision-based ball-striker, ranking 3rd in driving accuracy, 10th in approach and 12th in GIR; complimenting this with an excellent short game, ranking 3rd in scrambling and 17th on the greens. These qualities have been on show in round one more than any other, with her ranking 2nd in round one scoring this season. She has opened with an under-par round in 12 of her 15 LPGA starts and recorded 11 first-round top-20s.

Furue made her debut here in 2021, opening with a 5-under 66 to sit 3rd after round one. She went two better than that in 2022, firing a 63 in the first round to take the lead after 18 holes and with another under-par round to open last year, I’m taking her to keep that run going this week.

Hyo Joo Kim 40/1 – 1/4  5 places – 1 pt ew

Start time: 08:00

Next up is 2014 Evian winner, Hyo Joo Kim. She started that renewal by shooting a 61 in round one to take the first-round lead and continuing to produce countless low rounds in the years since, I fancy her to take advantage of her early start tomorrow.

Kim recorded her first win of 2024 in the Aramco Series – Korea event five starts ago and has continued to perform well since, recording finishes of 12th and 16th in our two most recent majors, the US Women’s Open and KPMG Women’s PGA Championship.

She has been typically accurate off-the-tee and strong with the short game, though has struggled in approach, an area that is usually an asset. However, she did record her best approach performance of the season in the PGA and I’m hoping she can keep that going here.

The Korean has had a mixed year in round one, though did record first-round top-5s in the Honda LPGA Thailand and HSBC Women’s World Championship. Also, sitting 15th after round one of the Women’s PGA, she made her best start to a major this season.

I’m hoping Kim can carry that day-one positivity over to the Evian. An event in which she’s shot further rounds of 64, 65, 66, as well as three 67s since that opening 61 in 2014, helping her on her way to two additional top-3 finishes.

The Evian Championship Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Evian Championship market on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this tournament.

Mao Saigo 60/1 – 1/4 5 places – 0.75 pts ew

Start time: 13:36

My one dip into the afternoon starters takes me back to Japan and with the strong ball-striking Mao Saigo. She was an excellent 3rd here on debut in 2022, displaying an ability to go low at this hilly course.

This is Saigo’s rookie season on the LPGA and she’s performed with plenty of credit so far, making nine of her 12 cuts and recording five top-25s. Including a best effort of the season when 7th in the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship on her latest start.

She’s a superb ball-striker, ranking 5th in greens-in-regulation, 21st in approach and 23rd off-the-tee, possessing both power and accuracy with driver. She compliments this ball-striking with a nice touch on the greens, ranking 24th in putting.

Saigo started a little slowly here in 2022, but firing rounds of 65 and 64 over the weekend she catapulted herself into a 3rd-place finish. Ranking 21st in round one scoring this year, and coming into this week after recording her two best starts of the year over her last five attempts – shooting -4 to sit 2nd in the Mizuho Americas Open and -2 to sit 4th in that latest start in the Women’s PGA – she looks a lively contender to be among the leaders tomorrow if no serious bias develop.

Esther Henseleit 90/1 – 1/4 5 places – 0.5 pts ew

Start time: 07:36

Esther Henseleit has had some good performances at the Evian Resort and with a beneficial early tee-time, expect her to start with promise on Thursday.

Henseleit is having a decent year so far, missing just two cuts in 14 starts and recording three top-10 finishes. The best of these came when 2nd in the Aramco Ladies International on the LET and of her two top-10s on the LPGA, the first came in our first major of the year, the Chevron Championship, where she finished 7th.

She went into last month’s KPMG Women’s PGA Championship after three missed cuts in a row but showed a return to form there, finishing 14th and I’m hoping she can carry that momentum into tomorrow’s opening round.

The German has been at her best with driver this season, ranking 32nd. Though her 14th-place finish last time out was the result of her best putting display of the year and her third-best approach performance.

Henseleit made her debut here in the 2019 Jabra Ladies Open, finishing 12th, but missed the cut on her Evian debut later that year. However, she has made the cut on her last three attempts and got better each time, finishing 60th in 2021, 27th in 2022 and 14th last year.

That finish in 2023 was aided by a 4-under-par 67 in round one, which saw her sit 6th after 18 holes, and with another 67 recorded in the final round there, as well as a 66 in the 2022 final round, we have enough evidence that she has the game to go low on Thursday morning.

You can find all Jamie's latest Golf Betting Tips over on our dedicated golf Insights hub and for all our Golf Betting Odds from betfred.com, check out the main site.

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