The Evian Championship 2024 Tips: Linn can Grant us a win at 28/1

 | Tuesday 9th July 2024, 15:20pm

Tuesday 9th July 2024, 15:20pm

evian championship scaled

Women’s major season has certainly been an eventful one so far and now begins the European leg of that quintet of events. We finish off with the Women’s Open at the Old Course at the end of August, but first it’s to France for the 11th major championship staging of the Evian Championship at the Evian Resort.

Let's get started with star golf tipster Jamie Worsley's Evian Championship tips, which range from 28/1 to a massive 80/1...

The Evian Championship Betting Tips

  • 1.75 pts Linn Grant  each-way (1/4 - 5 places) - 28/1 
  • 1.5 pts Rose Zhang each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 33/1
  • 1.25 pts Haeran Ryu each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 40/1 
  • 1 pt Andrea Lee each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 60/1
  • 1 pt Hinako Shibuno each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 80/1

*Click on the linked odds to add the selections directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app)

TOURNAMENT HISTORY

Having been an event on the LET since 1994, and then becoming co-sanctioned with the LPGA in 2000, the Evian Championship was upgraded to a major championship in 2013. Which makes it the newest of the five majors in the women’s game.

Helen Alfredsson won the first staging of the event in 1994 and following further wins in 1998 and 2008, she is the only player to win the tournament on three occasions.

There are a further three players to have recorded multiple victories in this event. Laura Davies became the first and as yet only player to successfully defend the title, winning in 1995 and 1996, with Annika Sorenstam (2000, 2002) and Ai Miyazato (2009, 2011) both tying her on two wins apiece.

There have been no two-time winners of the Evian Championship in the major era. However, history was made in the 2015 edition, as an 18-year-old Lydia Ko recorded her first major victory and in doing so, became the youngest women’s major winner in history.

Last five winners:

  • 2023 – Winner: Celine Boutier (-14); runner-up: Brooke Henderson (-8)
  • 2022 – Winner: Brooke Henderson (-17); runner-up: Sophia Schubert (-16)
  • 2021 – Winner: Minjee Lee (-18, playoff); runner-up: Jeongeun Lee6 (-18)
  • 2019 – Winner: Jin Young Ko (-15); runners-up: Shanshan Feng, Hyo Joo Kim, Jennifer Kupcho (-13)
  • 2018 – Winner: Angela Stanford (-12); runners-up: Austin Ernst, Sei Young Kim, Mo Martin, Amy Olson (-11)

Celine Boutier dominated the field last year to win her first major championship, leaving 2022 winner, Brooke Henderson six shots adrift. She became the first Frenchwoman to win this home major title and only the fourth French player across both the women’s and men’s game to taste major success.

It was part of a stellar season for Boutier, and she’ll be desperate to become the first player to win the tournament twice in this major era, as she returns to defend this week.

THE COURSE

Will Park Jnr designed the first nine holes of the Evian Resort in 1904 and returned in 1922 to add another nine. The services of Cabell Robinson were then procured to amend the venue, readying it for the first staging of the Evian Masters in 1994 and it was a similar story in 2012, as Dave Sampson of Euro Golf Design made further adjustments prior to it making its major debut in 2013.

Not only does the course host this major championship, but since 2017, it has hosted the Jabra Ladies Open, an event that first appeared on the LET Access Series before becoming a fully-fledged LET event in 2018, with the likes of Linn Grant (2023) and Pia Babnik (2021) lifting the trophy.

The course ordinarily plays as a par 72, though the par 5 13th is converted to a par 4 for the event to make it a par 71, and it measures 6527 yards. There are 9x par 4s (331-437 yards), 5x par 3s (155-226 yards) and 4x par 5s (484-550 yards). However, those yardages tend to vary greatly throughout the week and the course can play to over 300 yards shorter.

Located to the south of Lake Geneva and set against the backdrop of the Alps, this hilly, undulating, tree-lined course is a strong all-round challenge. Not including the 2013 and 2017 editions that were shortened to 54 holes due to adverse weather, the event possesses an average winning score of -15.5 over the eight 72-hole major championship renewals.

The Evian Resort puts pressure on every area of your game, beginning with the ball-striking.

The sloping, often bottlenecking fairways start off very narrow on the front nine and though there’s a little more room on the back, they remain relatively tight. Strategic fairway bunkering pinches many of the landing areas and with 3.5-inch bluegrass/fescue rough, there’s plenty of punishment for wayward driving. They require players to be not just straight but smart off-the-tee, making sure to hit the correct side to achieve unobstructed approaches into the greens.

With uneven lies aplenty and constant, sometimes striking elevation changes, approaches into the average-to-large sized bentgrass/poa mixed greens are very demanding. It is made even more difficult by putting surfaces that are often at an angle to the fairway position and either shallow/narrow in shape; abound with run-offs/false-fronts and surrounded by bunkers, a lack of precision on approach will be harshly penalised.

Hit the green and the challenges don’t subside. These largely elevated greens are heavily contoured and weather permitting, could play to a speedy 12 on the stimp this week.

Water is only in-play on a few holes but is a prominent feature at the finish. At 155 yards, the 16th is the shortest par 3 on the course. However, with the shallow, angled green one of the smallest, and possessing water short and bunkers long for protection, it is also one of the most daunting.

Whilst the 331-yard 17th is the most diminutive of the par 4s, it’s one of the most thought-provoking. The hole doglegs from left-to-right and features bunkers left of the fairway and trees at the angle. The prudent play is to lay back into a generous portion of the fairway but the longer hitters may be tempted to take the angle of the dogleg on to get as close to this large, right-to-left sloping green as possible, which has a collection area to the left that will closely examine the chipping skills of the field.

The theme of “shortest” closing holes continues onto the par 5 18th, which comes in at 484 yards. Here, players will drive into one of the narrowest fairways on the course, that slopes from left-to-right. Find the short grass and it’s almost a necessity to attack this angled, multi-tiered green in two, which has a pond sitting just short and bunkers long.

This is a finish where anything can happen and ensures no lead is entirely safe, with nail-biting drama almost a given when we arrive at these final three holes on Sunday.

THE WEATHER

The Evian Championship can often be blighted by bad weather and this week’s forecast is a bit of a mixed bag.

There are storms predicted for Wednesday but they’re not scheduled to stick around for the tournament. Though there are heavy rains forecast for Friday.

The other three days look clear, with Thursday and Sunday predicting sunny and pleasant weather and with little in the way of wind, this rain-softened course could be there to be got at for most of the week.

KEY STATS

  • SG: Approach
  • Greens-in-Regulation

A bit of everything will be needed this week but I feel that with the likely receptive conditions, quality approach play will be the most important asset. It has indeed proved to be so in each of the last two editions, for which we have tournament-specific data.

Celine Boutier was strong across the board when winning last year, which included ranking 2nd in greens-in-regulation and 8th in approach. In fact, of the top seven finishers there, five ranked inside the top-25 in approach and all ranked inside the top-50 in GIR.

Brooke Henderson was rock-solid in both of these areas in 2022, ranking 7th in GIR and 14th in approach. Her nearest challenger, Sophia Schubert, ranked 8th in GIR and all of the top-7 ranked inside the top-25 in approach.

  • SG: Putting (bent/poa)

Having said that, there is perhaps no area that has held as much wide-spread importance as putting in the last two years.

Celine Boutier ranked 9th on the greens on her way to victory in 2023 and each of the top-7 ranked 16th or better; with Gaby Lopez and Celine Borge in 3rd ranking 1st and 3rd respectively.

Brooke Henderson was also 9th on the greens when taking the title the previous year. Sophia Schubert in 2nd ranked 5th and all players who finished inside the top-7 ranked top-25 in putting.

  • SG: Off-the-Tee and/or Driving Accuracy

Scrambling can often be important here but with benign and likely soft conditions forecast for most of the week, hitting greens shouldn’t be as tough as it can be.

It do think players will need to drive the ball well and though driving accuracy numbers haven’t been massively significant in the last two years, we also haven’t seen very wayward players contend.

Boutier was solid enough off-the-tee last year but the strongest drivers near the top of the leaderboard were Yuka Saso and A Lim Kim, who ranked 2nd and 10th respectively; both combining their power with decent accuracy.

Brooke Henderson ranked 8th off-the-tee when winning in 2022, showing a similarly balanced level of power/accuracy as Saso and Kim did last year. Sophia Schubert struck a comparable tone with the club and of the other players in the top-7, Carlota Ciganda and Mao Saigo both ranked top-20 off-the-tee.

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

Fir Hills Seri Pak Championship (Palos Verdes Golf Club)

Palos Verdes is a hilly, tree-lined course with frequent elevation changes, where players have to contend with many uneven lies in the fairway. Add in the elevated poa/bent mixed greens, which are very undulating, and we can see why it has developed strong form-ties with the Evian Championship.

Notable correlating form:

Jin Young Ko:

Evian (1st) / Palos Verdes (2nd)

Lydia Ko:

Evian (1st) / Palos Verdes (3rd)

Hyo Joo Kim:

Evian (1st, 2nd) / Palos Verdes (3rd)

Carlota Ciganda:

Evian (3rd) / Palos Verdes (5th)

Nasa Hataoka:

Evian (3rd) / Palos Verdes (7th)

Georgia Hall:

Evian (6th, 8th) / Palos Verdes (2nd)

Alison Lee:

Evian (6th) / Palos Verdes (3rd)

Megan Khang:

Evian (8th, 9th) / Palos Verdes (3rd)

Founders Cup (Upper Montclair Country Club)

Upper Montclair is another tight, tree-lined course with narrow fairways, which are protected by strategic bunkering and bluegrass/fescue rough. Possessing large and elevated poa/bent mixed greens, there are many aspects which can link these two courses.

Notable correlating form:

Jin Young Ko:

Evian (1st) / Founders (1st)

Minjee Lee:

Evian (1st) / Founders (1st)

Carlota Ciganda:

Evian (3rd) / Founders (5th)

Nasa Hataoka:

Evian (3rd) / Founders (6th, 8th)

Atthaya Thitikul:

Evian (5th, 8th, 9th) / Founders (5th, 8th)

Megan Khang:

Evian (8th, 9th) / Founders (6th)

Arkansas Championship (Pinnacle Country Club)

Pinnacle Country Club is another tree-lined course with lots of elevation changes and bentgrass greens. Though fairway landing areas are more generous there, they too tighten the further you go and require a level of strategy to navigate safely.

Notable correlating form:

Lydia Ko:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (1st)

Inbee Park:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (1st)

Ai Miyazato:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (1st)

Jiyai Shin:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (1st)

Anna Nordqvist:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (2nd, 3rd)

Minjee Lee:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (2nd, 3rd)

Celine Boutier:

Evian (1st) / Arkansas (5th)

Hyo Joo Kim:

Evian (1st, 2nd) / Arkansas (2nd)

Austin Ernst:

Evian (2nd) / Arkansas (1st)

Sung-hyun Park:

Evian (2nd) / Arkansas (1st)

So Yeon Ryu:

Evian (2nd) / Arkansas (1st)

Sei Young Kim:

Evian (2nd, 5th) / Arkansas (3rd, 5th)

Nasa Hataoka:

Evian (3rd) / Arkansas (1st, 1st)

Yuka Saso:

Evian (3rd) / Arkansas (4th)

Charley Hull:

Evian (3rd) / Arkansas (5th)

Atthaya Thitikul:

Evian (5th, 8th, 9th) / Arkansas (1st)

Meijer LPGA Classic (Blythefield Country Club)

Blythefield Country Club is a compact, tree-lined course with subtle elevation changes throughout. With elevated poa/bentgrass mixed greens and bluegrass rough, it has much in common with this week’s course.

Notable correlating form:

Brooke Henderson:

Evian (1st) / Meijer (1st, 1st)

Anna Nordqvist:

Evian (1st) / Meijer (4th, 5th)

Lydia Ko:

Evian (1st) / Meijer (3rd, 4th, 4th)

Hyo Joo Kim:

Evian (1st, 2nd) / Meijer (5th, 7th)

Jennifer Kupcho:

Evian (2nd) / Meijer (1st)

So Yeon Ryu:

Evian (2nd) / Meijer (1st)

Sei Young Kim:

Evian (2nd, 5th) / Meijer (1st)

Nasa Hataoka:

Evian (3rd) / Meijer (2nd, 5th)

Carlota Ciganda:

Evian (3rd) / Meijer (2nd, 5th)

Atthaya Thitikul:

Evian (5th, 8th, 9th) / Meijer (5th, 8th)

2024 US Women’s Open (Lancaster Country Club)

Finally, recent US Women’s Open host, Lancaster Country Club, looks an ideal comp. This hilly, tree-lined course has frequent elevation changes, narrow, sloping fairways and average-sized bentgrass greens, that are well-protected by steep false-fronts and run-offs.

Notable correlating form:

Ingee Chun:

Evian (1st) / Lancaster (1st)

Minjee Lee:

Evian (1st) / Lancaster (9th)

Yuka Saso:

Evian (3rd) / Lancaster (1st)

Atthaya Thitikul:

Evian (5th, 8th, 9th) / Lancaster (6th)

Ally Ewing:

Evian (11th) / Lancaster (3rd)

Andrea Lee:

Evian (15th) / Lancaster (3rd)

THE FIELD

World #1, Nelly Korda is back in action for our fourth major of the year after recovering from a dog bite. She’s joined by a further eight of the world’s top-10, excluding China’s Ruoning Yin, who has chosen to skip this week to nurse a wrist injury in preparation for next month’s Olympics.

Celine Boutier is our defending champion and one of eight former winners in attendance, alongside Brooke Henderson (2022), Minjee Lee (2021), Jin Young Ko (2019), Angela Stanford (2018), Anna Nordqvist (2017), Lydia Ko (2015) and Hyo Joo Kim (2014).

Current #1 amateur, Lottie Woad of England makes her Evian Championship debut, as does former #1 amateur Ingrid Lindblad, who turned pro a little over one month ago.

Morgane Metraux gets in the field after winning the recent Jabra Ladies Open at Evian; LET Order of Merit winner from 2023, Trichat Cheenglab will also tee it up; and we are joined by three of the best players from the JLPGA, in the shape of Miyu Yamashita, Akie Iwai and Rio Takeda.

The Evian Championship Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Evian Championship market on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this tournament.

SELECTIONS

Market leaders: Nelly Korda 17/2, Atthaya Thitikul 12/1, Lilia Vu 14/1, Jin Young Ko 20/1, Ayaka Furue 20/1

Nelly Korda returns as favourite this week and despite her heroics this season, she’s easy to oppose after three missed cuts in a row, coupled with her recent freak injury.

For all they possess obvious chances, there’s little that appeals price-wise at the top of the betting and I’m instead going to start just outside those main market leaders, with Linn Grant, who I’m taking to use her positive experience of this course to win a first major title this week.

1.75 pts Linn Grant  each-way (1/4 - 5 places) - 28/1 

Grant has been in ultra-consistent form this season, missing just one cut in 14 starts. Among those starts she’s recorded eight top-25s and gained another impressive victory in the Scandinavian Mixed. Whilst when we last saw her, she recorded just her second major top-10, finishing 9th in the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship.

That was a result engineered by Grant’s best ball-striking performance of the year, as she ranked 2nd in greens-in-regulation, 3rd off-the-tee and 6th in approach.

The driving was no surprise, as she ranks 4th on tour with the driver this season and whilst she’s hit plenty of greens, ranking 27th in GIR, it was hugely encouraging to see her produce her best approach performance of 2024. Something I’m hoping she can continues into this week and as a usually competent putter, she looks a good fit for this course.

Grant’s suitability to the Evian Resort has been evident since she made her debut here in 2022, as she finished 13th in the Jabra Ladies Open, before then winning that event last year. She’s transferred that level of play to the course in this tournament, finishing 8th and 16th in her two Evian Championship starts to date and I see no more likely place for this huge talent to make her major breakthrough.

1.5 pts Rose Zhang each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 33/1

Rose Zhang hasn’t quite fired in this year’s major so far but after finishing 9th in the Evian last year, I’m taking her to make up for those underwhelming displays this week.

Zhang has played a light schedule in 2024 so far and results have been mixed. She recorded a victory in the Founders Cup and has two further top-10s, but they are accompanied by three missed cuts and a withdrawal.

The withdrawal came in the Mizuho Americas Open three starts ago due to illness and her two starts following that have been in majors, missing the cut in the US Women’s Open and finishing 35th in the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship.

As with last year, she is excelling with her irons, ranking 2nd in approach. She’s driving the ball solidly too, and pretty straight, ranking 29th in driving accuracy and whilst the putter has been hit-and-miss, she has recorded two of her three best performances of the season with the club on a similar poa/bent mix. Including ranking 2nd in that victory at the Founders Cup.

Zhang played twice here as an amateur and made the cut on both occasions, finishing 58th in 2021 and 65th in 2022. She upgraded those efforts dramatically last year on her first pro start, finishing 9th and with that win at the Founders Cup this year boding well, this generational talent can join the list of major champions in France.

1.25 pts Haeran Ryu each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 40/1 

Haeran Ryu is one of the best ball-strikers on tour and though not quite getting the hang of Evian on her two starts to date, I’m confident she has the game to conquer this quirky setup in these conditions this week.

Ryu is enjoying a strong second season on tour, missing just one cut in 13 starts. She’s turned five of those into top-10s, including in two of the three majors so far, finishing 5th in the Chevron Championship and 9th in the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship on her latest start.

There is nobody hitting the ball better than the Korean this season, as she ranks 1st in GIR, 5th in approach and 7th OTT, possessing an appealing balance of power and accuracy.

The putter is her weakness but she has putted well on similar surfaces before, most notably in comp events; ranking 14th on the greens when winning last year’s Arkansas Championship and she was 5th in putting when finishing 4th in the Founders Cup the same year.

Ryu’s debut missed cut at the Evian Championship in 2018 is of little interest to me as she was still an amateur at the time. She unsurprisingly improved on her next start last year, finishing 42nd and with those two aforementioned efforts in Arkansas and the Founders Cup suggesting she’s capable of better, I think she’ll find further improvement this week.

1 pt Andrea Lee each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 60/1

Andrea Lee recorded the best major finish of her career two starts ago in the US Women’s Open and with the Evian looking a good fit, she can gain recompense for her final-round struggles there at Lancaster Country Club by winning in France.

Lee has had a great year so far, recording eight top-25s in 13 starts and four top-10s, though the undoubted standout performance came at Lancaster CC two starts ago. Following rounds of 69-69-67, she entered the round four in a share of the lead but succumbed to final-round nerves, shooting a 5-over 75 to slip to 3rd place. However, as her first major in contention, that is perfectly understandable and it should serve her well the next time she finds herself in the mix. Which is hopefully this week.

Her game is about precise ball-striking, matched with solid putting. She ranks 11th on tour in driving accuracy this season and is 24th in approach, whilst a ranking of 57th in putting is perfectly respectable.

Lee has putted well both times here, which helped her to a 15th-place finish on debut in 2022 and though narrowly missing the cut last year, she wasn’t in great form. That 3rd at Lancaster, along with two 5th-place finishes at Palos Verdes, show how well she handles these hilly, tree-lined courses and I’m expecting her to show this again this week.

1 pt Hinako Shibuno each way (1/4 - 5 places) - 80/1

Hinako Shibuno has been in electric form in recent starts and I’m taking the 2019 Women’s Open winner to capitalise on that to become a two-time major winner this week.

Shibuno missed six of her first nine cuts this season and failed to finish any higher than 50th. However, she suddenly burst into life four starts ago in the US Women’s Open.

The Japanese star finished 2nd there at Lancaster CC and has maintained a good level of form since. She followed with finishes of 21st in the Shoprite Classic, 41st in the Meijer LPGA Classic and on her last start she recorded her second major top-10 in a row, finishing 7th in the KPMG Women’s PGA Championship.

She ranks 14th in putting this season but the reason for her upturn in form has been the gains she’s made with her ball-striking. She’s ranked top-15 in GIR in each of those recent top-25s and has recorded her three best approach displays of the season; looking especially impressive last time out, ranking 4th in approach and 9th off-the-tee in the Women’s PGA.

As a proven major winner, who excels on the greens and has recently been hitting the ball strongly, Shibuno looks a great price to go well this week. With that runner-up finish at Lancaster CC looking like a significant guide, she can enhance her underwhelming record at the Evian this week.

You can find all Jamie's latest Golf Betting Tips over on our dedicated golf Insights hub.

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