RBC Heritage 2026 Betting Tips: Aberg to win at Harbour Town?

There’s no rest for the wicked, and many of Augusta’s main protagonists will be back in PGA Tour action this week as we head to Harbour Town Golf Links for the RBC Heritage – the fourth Signature Event of the season.

Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is back with five more each-way picks this week, so let's check out his RBC Heritage 2026 Betting Tips here at Betfred Insights...

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The 90^th edition of the Masters Tournament had absolutely everything. Rory McIlroy, who ended a 16-year wait for his first Green Jacket in 2025, returned to Augusta National and, at the end of another thrilling week, became just the fourth player to successfully defend the title – following in the footsteps of Jack Nicklaus (1965, 1966), Nick Faldo (1989, 1990) and Tiger Woods (2001, 2002).

Scottie Scheffler produced a sensational weekend charge, firing rounds of 65 and 68 to finish just one shot adrift, having trailed by 12 through 36 holes. Elsewhere, contenders came and went during an exhilarating, back-and-forth final round.

Justin Rose briefly held the lead as he looked to avenge last year's narrow runner-up finish to McIlroy – his third such result at Augusta – but some costly mistakes on the back nine ultimately denied him. It was a heartbreaking outcome for a classy player who may not get many more chances to contend for a Green Jacket.

Cameron Young, who had surged into the final group with a superb seven-under 65 on Saturday, never quite got going on Sunday, while charges from Tyrrell Hatton and Russell Henley arrived just too late to truly threaten.

McIlroy, who had led by six at the halfway stage before being reeled in during round three, showed immense grit and determination to get the job done despite not having his A-game. He three-putted the 4^th for a double bogey and dropped another shot at the 6^th but responded superbly, picking up four shots between the 7^th and 13^th.

The standout moment came at the par-3 12^th, where McIlroy produced a nerveless approach to set up a crucial birdie on a hole that has undone so many over the years. That burst gave him enough of a cushion heading to the 18^th, allowing him the luxury of a closing bogey to secure victory.

This triumph carried a different feel to the tension-filled drama of 2025. On that occasion, the pressure was almost suffocating; here, even after a wayward drive on the 18^th, there was a sense of calm. With a healthy advantage, both McIlroy and his fans were able to savour the closing moments.

Now up to six major titles and sitting 12^th on the all-time list, there is a compelling case to be made that McIlroy is the greatest European golfer of all time. Still only 36, he now has time – playing with a newfound freedom – to at least match Harry Vardon's tally of seven majors and perhaps even move beyond it, into the very top tier of the game's all-time greats.

Now, on to Harbour Town...

*You can bet on the tournament and check out the latest RBC Heritage Odds over on betfred.com

TOURNAMENT HISTORY 

The RBC Heritage debuted on the PGA Tour in 1969 and has been exclusively played at Harbour Town Golf Links. It has occupied this position on the schedule as the immediate post-Masters event since 1994 and became one of the tour's Signature Events in 2024.

Arnold Palmer was the first champion of a tournament that boasts an elite list of former winners, with the likes of Jack Nicklaus (1975), Nick Faldo (1984), and Bernhard Langer (1985) all having their names scribed on the trophy.

Davis Love III is the most successful player in the event's history with five wins, coming in 1987, 1991, 1992, 1998 and 2003. Only two others have recorded three victories here: Hale Irwin (1971, 1973, 1994) and Stewart Cink (2000, 2004, 2021).

Last five winners:

• 2025

Winner: Justin Thomas (-17, playoff)

Runner-up: Andrew Novak (-17)

• 2024

Winner: Scottie Scheffler (-19)

Runner-up: Sahith Theegala (-16)

• 2023

Winner: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17, playoff)

Runner-up: Jordan Spieth (-17)

• 2022

Winner: Jordan Spieth (-13, playoff)

Runner-up: Patrick Cantlay (-13)

• 2021

Winner: Stewart Cink (-19)

Runners-up: Harold Varner III, Emiliano Grillo (-15)

After tying the course record with a sensational 10-under 61 in round one, Justin Thomas eventually went on to lift the trophy for the first time in 2025, beating Andrew Novak in a playoff. He returns to defend this week.

THE COURSE

Harbour Town Golf Links

• Original architect / Year opened: Pete Dye (with Jack Nicklaus acting as a consultant) / 1967
• Latest renovation: Greens and bunkers were rebuilt following last year's event, whilst trees have been strategically added aside the landing areas on the 10^th and 16^th fairways
• Par / Yardage: Par 71 / 7,243 yards
• Hole breakdown:
  • 4x par 3s (192-217 yards)
  • 11x par 4s (332-478 yards)
  • 3x par 5s (550-589 yards)
• Course style: Flat and coastal with towering pine trees framing most holes, creating a claustrophobic feel. It is a difficult but fair test, requiring strategy and shot-making instead of brute force
• Fairways:
  • The doglegging fairways are reasonably narrow, though driving accuracy percentages are usually above average due to players clubbing down for position
  • With trees blocking out angles of attack, it's not just imperative to find the short grass, but you need to position it on the correct side
  • As the rough is not a factor, protection largely comes from limited but penal links-style pot bunkers
  • It ranks as the seventh-toughest driving challenge on the PGA Tour
• Greens:
  • Tiny (3,700 sq. ft.) bermudagrass-based putting surfaces overseeded with poa trivialis
  • These subtly contoured, upturned-saucer greens (a Pete Dye trademark) are designed to repel balls at their edges, making them hard to hit
  • That said, with a lack of elevation or undulation around them, it rates as the easiest scrambling test on tour
• Defences:
  • Water is a feature around the layout, coming into play on 11 holes, including each of the relatively lengthy par 3s
  • Located close to the Atlantic coast, wind is a recurring problem
  • Those small greens and tight corridors punish the most wayward ball strikers
• Average winning score: -15.3 (last 10 editions)

With more than 50 years of history, Harbour Town is one of the most recognisable and well-loved venues on the PGA Tour. There are scoring chances throughout, but most come loaded with danger. It will take a well-rounded performance to lift the trophy and wear the Plaid Jacket in the shadow of the famous Harbour Town Lighthouse at the end of the week.

THE WEATHER

The conditions are predicted to be sunny and warm all week, with temperatures reaching highs of 28-31°C each day. Accompanied by a mild 8-9mph breeze, gusting at up to 21mph, it's an ideal seaside forecast for Hilton Head Island.

KEY STATS

SG: Approach / Greens-in-Regulation (GIR) / Proximity from 125-200 yards

As a course with small, resistant greens, iron play is typically crucial. It particularly suits players who excel with their mid-to-long irons, with approaches from 125-200 yards commonplace.

• 2025
  • Justin Thomas (Winner): 5^th in SG: Approach / 8^th in GIR
  • Andrew Novak (2^nd): 9^th in SG: Approach
  • Daniel Berger (3^rd): 4^th in SG: Approach / 6^th in GIR
• 2024
  • Scottie Scheffler (Winner): 1^st in SG: Approach / 2^nd in GIR
  • Sahith Theegala (2^nd): 3^rd in SG: Approach / 2^nd in GIR
  • Wyndham Clark (3^rd): 4^th in GIR
  • Patrick Cantlay (3^rd): 5^th in SG: Approach
• 2023
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (Winner): 7^th in SG: Approach
  • Jordan Spieth (2^nd): 4^th in SG: Approach / 11^th in GIR
  • Xander Schauffele (4^th): 2^nd in SG: Approach / 7^th in GIR
  • Hayden Buckley (5^th): 6^th in SG: Approach / 4^th in GIR
• 2022
  • Jordan Spieth (Winner): 10^th in SG: Approach / 13^th in GIR
  • Patrick Cantlay (2^nd): 1^st in SG: Approach / 1^st in GIR
  • Shane Lowry (3^rd): 2^nd in SG: Approach
  • Harold Varner III (3^rd): 3^rd in SG: Approach / 3^rd in GIR
• 2021
  • Stewart Cink (Winner): 2^nd in SG: Approach / 1^st in GIR
  • Harold Varner III (2^nd): 10^th in SG: Approach / 13^th in GIR
  • Emiliano Grillo (2^nd): 4^th in SG: Approach / 6^th in GIR
  • Corey Conners (4^th): 3^rd in GIR

SG: Around-the-Greens (SG: ATG) / Scrambling

With those tiny putting surfaces comes low GIR percentages, which means the main contenders must be adept at getting it up and down.

• 2025
  • Justin Thomas (Winner): 15^th in SG: ATG / 2^nd in scrambling
  • Andrew Novak (2^nd): 4^th in SG: ATG / 13^th in scrambling
  • Brian Harman (3^rd): 2^nd in SG: ATG / 1^st in scrambling
  • Daniel Berger (3^rd): 3^rd in scrambling
  • Mackenzie Hughes (3^rd): 6^th in SG: ATG
• 2024
  • Scottie Scheffler (Winner): 7^th in scrambling
  • Sahith Theegala (2^nd): 8^th in scrambling
  • Patrick Cantlay (3^rd): 5^th in SG: ATG / 12^th in scrambling
  • Wyndham Clark (3^rd): 8^th in SG: ATG / 6^th in scrambling
  • Justin Thomas (5^th): 2^nd in scrambling
  • T. Poston (5^th): 2^nd in SG: ATG / 9^th in scrambling
• 2023
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (Winner): 10^th in SG: ATG / 1^st in scrambling
  • Sahith Theegala (5^th): 2^nd in SG: ATG / 11^th in scrambling
• 2022
  • Jordan Spieth (Winner): 5^th in SG: ATG
  • Sepp Straka (3^rd): 2^nd in SG: ATG
  • Cam Davis (3^rd): 4^th in SG: ATG / 2^nd in scrambling
  • Cameron Young (3^rd): 9^th in SG: ATG / 8^th in scrambling
• 2021
  • Stewart Cink (Winner): 5^th in SG: ATG / 6^th in scrambling
  • Emiliano Grillo (2^nd): 1^st in scrambling
  • Harold Varner III (2^nd): 9^th in SG: ATG
  • Maverick McNealy (4^th): 7^th in SG: ATG / 7^th in scrambling

SG: Off-the-Tee (SG: OTT) and/or Driving Accuracy

You don't have to be a superb driver to challenge at Harbour Town but as a venue that requires intelligent positional play, high-quality, accurate driving is an obvious positive.

• 2025
  • Andrew Novak (2^nd): 11^th in SG: OTT
  • Daniel Berger (3^rd): 5^th in SG: OTT / 4^th in driving accuracy
  • Brian Harman (3^rd): 11^th in SG: OTT
  • Maverick McNealy (3^rd): 15^th in SG: OTT
• 2024
  • Scottie Scheffler (Winner): 1^st in SG: OTT / 2^nd in driving accuracy
  • Wyndham Clark (3^rd): 15^th in SG: OTT / 16^th in driving accuracy
  • Sepp Straka (5^th): 10^th in SG: OTT / 2^nd in driving accuracy
  • Patrick Rodgers (5^th): 9^th in SG: OTT
• 2023
  • Patrick Cantlay (3^rd): 3^rd in SG: OTT
  • Xander Schauffele (4^th): 14^th in SG: OTT
  • Hayden Buckley (5^th): 8^th in SG: OTT / 11^th in driving accuracy
• 2022
  • Jordan Spieth (Winner): 4^th in SG: OTT
  • Cameron Young (3^rd): 2^nd in SG: OTT / 11^th in driving accuracy
  • T. Poston (3^rd): 5^th in SG: OTT / 1^st in driving accuracy
• 2021
  • Emiliano Grillo (2^nd): 7^th in SG: OTT / 4^th in driving accuracy
  • Matt Fitzpatrick (4^th): 3^rd in SG: OTT / 7^th in driving accuracy
  • Corey Conners (4^th): 9^th in SG: OTT

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

THE PLAYERS Championship (TPC Sawgrass)

The first of this week's comp courses is fellow Pete Dye design TPC Sawgrass. This strategic, tree-lined course is similarly demanding off the tee, whilst the small greens – bermudagrass overseeded with poa trivialis – are closely matched in difficulty and most often require approaches from 125-175 yards.

Notable correlating form:

• Scottie Scheffler: Heritage (1^st) / PLAYERS (1^st, 1^st)
• Justin Thomas: Heritage (1^st) / PLAYERS (1^st)
• Webb Simpson: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / PLAYERS (1^st)
• Matt Kuchar: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / PLAYERS (1^st, 3^rd)
• Matt Fitzpatrick: Heritage (1^st) / PLAYERS (2^nd, 5^th)
• Si Woo Kim: Heritage (2^nd) / PLAYERS (1^st)
• Kevin Kisner: Heritage (2^nd) / PLAYERS (2^nd, 4^th)
• Harold Varner III: Heritage (2^nd, 3^rd) / PLAYERS (6^th, 7^th)
• Cameron Young: Heritage (3^rd) / PLAYERS (1^st)
• Brian Harman: Heritage (3^rd) / PLAYERS (2^nd, 3^rd)
• Wyndham Clark: Heritage (3^rd) / PLAYERS (2^nd)
• Kevin Streelman: Heritage (3^rd, 6^th, 7^th) / PLAYERS (2^nd)
• Cam Davis: Heritage (3^rd) / PLAYERS (6^th)
• Sepp Straka: Heritage (3^rd, 5^th) / PLAYERS (8^th, 9^th)
• Kevin Na: Heritage (4^th, 4^th) / PLAYERS (3^rd, 6^th, 7^th)
• Corey Conners: Heritage (4^th) / PLAYERS (6^th, 7^th)

Valspar Championship (Innisbrook Resort – Copperhead Course)

The Copperhead course is another flat, strategic course with doglegging, tree-lined fairways. It ranks comparably to Harbour Town in most areas, with the small, overseeded greens tough to hit but not too taxing to scramble around. In addition, approaches from 150-200 yards outweigh other ranges in quantity.

Notable correlating form:

• Jordan Spieth: Heritage (1^st) / Valspar (1^st)
• Matt Fitzpatrick: Heritage (1^st) / Valspar (1^st)
• Justin Thomas: Heritage (1^st) / Valspar (2^nd, 3^rd)
• Webb Simpson: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / Valspar (2^nd)
• Patrick Cantlay: Heritage (2^nd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd) / Valspar (2^nd)
• Abraham Ancer: Heritage (2^nd) / Valspar (5^th)
• Kevin Streelman: Heritage (3^rd, 6^th, 7^th) / Valspar (1^st)
• Cameron Young: Heritage (3^rd) / Valspar (2^nd)
• Mackenzie Hughes: Heritage (3^rd) / Valspar (3^rd)
• Wyndham Clark: Heritage (3^rd) / Valspar (5^th)
• Troy Merritt: Heritage (3^rd) / Valspar (6^th, 8^th)
• Kevin Na: Heritage (4^th, 4^th) / Valspar (2^nd)

Charles Schwab Challenge (Colonial Country Club)

With its tight, twisting fairways and small greens, Colonial Country Club provides a tactical tee-to-green challenge, akin to what players will find this week. Alongside the need to be strong in approaches from 125-200 yards, it's no surprise to see these two events share plenty of crossover form.

Notable correlating form:

• Jordan Spieth: Heritage (1^st) / Charles Schwab (1^st)
• Scottie Scheffler: Heritage (1^st) / Charles Schwab (2^nd, 2^nd, 3^rd)
• Matt Kuchar: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / Charles Schwab (2^nd)
• Brandt Snedeker: Heritage (1^st) / Charles Schwab (2^nd)
• T. Pan: Heritage (1^st) / Charles Schwab (3^rd)
• Webb Simpson: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / Charles Schwab (3^rd, 5^th)
• Emiliano Grillo: Heritage (2^nd) / Charles Schwab (1^st, 3^rd)
• Kevin Kisner: Heritage (2^nd) / Charles Schwab (1^st)
• Daniel Berger: Heritage (3^rd, 3^rd) / Charles Schwab (1^st)
• Sepp Straka: Heritage (3^rd, 5^th) / Charles Schwab (5^th)
• Kevin Na: Heritage (4^th, 4^th) / Charles Schwab (1^st)
• Brendon Todd: Heritage (4^th) / Charles Schwab (3^rd, 5^th)
• Hayden Buckley: Heritage (5^th) / Charles Schwab (5^th)
• Bryce Molder: Heritage (6^th) / Charles Schwab (5^th)

St Jude Championship (TPC Southwind)

TPC Southwind ticks many of the same boxes already mentioned above. It's another strategic, winding, tree-lined course, featuring small greens that pose similar questions in approach and around the greens. Furthermore, that 125-200-yard range carries significant importance.

Notable correlating form:

• Justin Thomas: Heritage (1^st) / St Jude (1^st)
• Matt Fitzpatrick: Heritage (1^st) / St Jude (4^th, 5^th, 6^th)
• Webb Simpson: Heritage (1^st, 2^nd) / St Jude (2^nd, 3^rd)
• Scottie Scheffler: Heritage (1^st) / St Jude (3^rd, 4^th)
• Abraham Ancer: Heritage (2^nd) / St Jude (1^st)
• Patrick Cantlay: Heritage (2^nd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd) / St Jude (2^nd)
• Andrew Novak: Heritage (2^nd) / St Jude (6^th)
• Daniel Berger: Heritage (3^rd, 3^rd) / St Jude (1^st, 1^st)
• Troy Merritt: Heritage (3^rd) / St Jude (2^nd)
• Sepp Straka: Heritage (3^rd, 5^th) / St Jude (2^nd)
• Brian Harman: Heritage (3^rd) / St Jude (3^rd, 6^th)
• Cameron Young: Heritage (3^rd) / St Jude (5^th)
• Cam Davis: Heritage (3^rd) / St Jude (6^th)

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Pebble Beach Golf Links)

Although Pebble Beach is more dramatically undulating than this week's host, these coastal layouts still have much in common. Short with tiny putting surfaces, the tee-to-green demands are well matched and place an emphasis on quality iron play.

Notable correlating form:

• Brandt Snedeker: Heritage (1^st) / Pebble Beach (1^st, 1^st)
• Patrick Cantlay: Heritage (2^nd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd) / Pebble Beach (3^rd, 4^th)
• Si Woo Kim: Heritage (2^nd) / Pebble Beach (4^th)
• Daniel Berger: Heritage (3^rd, 3^rd) / Pebble Beach (1^st)
• Wyndham Clark: Heritage (3^rd) / Pebble Beach (1^st)
• Shane Lowry: Heritage (3^rd, 3^rd) / Pebble Beach (2^nd)
• Maverick McNealy: Heritage (3^rd, 4^th) / Pebble Beach (2^nd, 5^th)
• Kevin Streelman: Heritage (3^rd, 6^th, 7^th) / Pebble Beach (2^nd)
• Troy Merritt: Heritage (3^rd) / Pebble Beach (4^th)
• Cam Davis: Heritage (3^rd) / Pebble Beach (5^th)
• Sepp Straka: Heritage (3^rd, 5^th) / Pebble Beach (2^nd)
• Brendon Todd: Heritage (4^th) / Pebble Beach (2^nd)
• Kevin Na: Heritage (4^th, 4^th) / Pebble Beach (4^th, 5^th)

Travelers Championship (TPC River Highlands)

I'm going to bookend this section with a second Pete Dye original, TPC River Highlands. This watery course has largely doglegging, tree-lined fairways, into which players often club down for position. With quality mid-iron play vital to access these small greens, it can act as a helpful guide.

Notable correlating form:

• Scottie Scheffler: Heritage (1^st) / Travelers (1^st)
• Justin Thomas: Heritage (1^st) / Travelers (3^rd, 5^th)
• Russell Knox: Heritage (2^nd) / Travelers (1^st)
• Sahith Theegala: Heritage (2^nd, 5^th) / Travelers (2^nd)
• Patrick Cantlay: Heritage (2^nd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd, 3^rd) / Travelers (4^th, 5^th)
• Abraham Ancer: Heritage (2^nd) / Travelers (4^th)
• Kevin Kisner: Heritage (2^nd) / Travelers (5^th, 6^th)
• Kevin Streelman: Heritage (3^rd, 6^th, 7^th) / Travelers (1^st, 2^nd)
• Daniel Berger: Heritage (3^rd, 3^rd) / Travelers (2^nd)
• T. Poston: Heritage (3^rd, 5^th) / Travelers (2^nd)
• Brian Harman: Heritage (3^rd) / Travelers (2^nd, 3^rd)
• Mackenzie Hughes: Heritage (3^rd) / Travelers (3^rd)
• Patrick Rodgers: Heritage (5^th) / Travelers (3^rd)

THE FIELD

The field for the fourth Signature Event of the season includes eight of the world's top 10 and 19 of the top 25. Scottie Scheffler remains on top after his superb weekend display earned him a runner-up finish at Augusta, though Masters winner Rory McIlroy and long-time challenger Justin Rose, No. 2 and No. 4 respectively, have elected to skip the event.

Justin Thomas returns to defend and alongside 2024 winner Scheffler, there are just two further former champions in attendance: Matt Fitzpatrick (2023) and Jordan Spieth (2022).

Cameron Young and Russell Henley are in action after finishing 3^rd last week. Additionally, we also have a whole host of Harbour Town debutants teeing it up, including two-time winner on tour this year, Chris Gotterup.

SELECTIONS 

Market leaders (1/4 5 places): Scottie Scheffler 4/1, Xander Schauffele 12/1, Matt Fitzpatrick 14/1, Russell Henley 14/1, Cameron Young 16/1

2.5 pts Ludvig Aberg each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 20/1

Ludvig Aberg started last week as a 14/1 shot at The Masters and finished a solid 21^st, hitting the ball strongly but stumbling with the short game. Despite that, he's 20/1 at Harbour Town in a field that doesn't include two of the world's top four players – Rory McIlroy and Justin Rose. This is a place where he finished 10^th on debut in 2024 and, with his game in a great place, he looks terrific value for success this week.

The Swede lacked sharpness at the beginning of the season but has soon found his stride. Following a 37^th-place finish at Pebble Beach, he hasn't finished outside the top 25 in five subsequent appearances, recording results of 3^rd at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, 5^th at THE PLAYERS Championship, and 5^th at the Texas Open before that 21^st-place finish at Augusta.

Ranking 6^th in SG: Approach, 7^th in GIR, 8^th in SG: Ball Striking and 16^th in SG: OTT, his long game was excellent last week. He's been the second-best tee-to-green performer in attendance over the last two months and, with the short-game woes less likely to reappear around these more forgiving greens, he looks well placed to challenge.

Having sat 4^th entering the final round of his Harbour Town debut two years ago, Aberg eventually settled for a promising 10^th-place finish. He was only 54^th in 2025, but he wasn't playing to the same standard that he is recently. A runner-up finish at Pebble Beach, along with two top-10s at THE PLAYERS Championship, strengthens his case, giving him every chance of securing his first title of 2026 on Hilton Head Island.

1 pt Jacob Bridgeman each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 45/1

There was a lot to like about Jacob Bridgeman’s Masters debut, and I’m hoping he can carry those positives along to his home state of South Carolina. He wasn’t especially impressive on debut here in 2025, but he’s a different prospect this year and with some handy comp form on offer, he’s well placed to contend this week.

Bridgeman has been the breakout star in this early part of 2026. He finished inside the top 20 in each of his first eight outings, earning a hugely impressive first PGA Tour victory at the Genesis Invitational – another Signature Event – and he was 5^th at THE PLAYERS Championship just two starts ago.

He was strong from tee-to-green last week, which helped him into 29^th place entering Sunday. A final-round 76 saw him slip to 41^st, but when you consider he hit this position despite struggling with the putter – which usually rates as his biggest weapon – it’s an effort we can upgrade.

The American leads the tour in SG: Putting and is also inside the top 25 in both SG: Approach and GIR. Ranking 17^th from 125-150 and 150-175 yards, he’s excelling with his mid irons and, with his driving both longer and more accurate in 2026, his game is in ideal shape.

Bridgeman finished down in 61^st place at Harbour Town in 2025, but having finished 3^rd at the Valspar, 5^th at THE PLAYERS Championship and 8^th at Pebble Beach, I’m confident he’s capable of improving that performance significantly.

1 pt Daniel Berger each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 55/1

Daniel Berger has won at several of these types of courses and has twice finished 3^rd at Harbour Town. Though missing the cut at Augusta, he’s often performed well at the RBC Heritage after a disappointing Masters effort, and with his mid-to-long irons as strong as anyone on tour, he can bounce back this week.

Beginning the year with a 6^th-place finish at the Sony Open, Berger followed with another top 20 when 16^th at the Phoenix Open. However, he blew those displays out of the water three starts ago, as he led through three rounds of the Arnold Palmer Invitational before agonisingly losing out in a playoff to Akshay Bhatia.

He’s driving it solidly and is certainly a decent enough scrambler around here, but it’s his elite iron play that really appeals in this event. Alongside sitting 6^th in SG: Approach and 10^th in GIR, he is particularly dangerous in that 125-200-yard range, ranking inside the top 25 from 125-150, 150-175 and 175-200 yards.

As recently as 2021, he failed to make the weekend at Augusta but followed with a 13^th-place finish at Harbour Town. He hasn’t missed a cut in six visits here and his finish of 3^rd in 2025 matched his previous best from 2020.

Owning two victories at TPC Southwind, one win at Colonial Country Club and a most-recent PGA Tour triumph at Pebble Beach in 2021, Berger’s comp form is another major plus. He can lean on those experiences to end his five-year wait for a title in South Carolina.

1 pt Ben Griffin each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 66/1

Winning three times and contending on several other occasions in 2025, it was always going to be tricky for Ben Griffin to reach those same heights this year. That said, there have been signs of late that he is close to finding form, and as a winner at Colonial, he no doubt possesses the game to build on his 31^st-place finish at Harbour Town on debut in 2023.

Griffin earned his first PGA Tour victory alongside Andrew Novak at the Zurich Classic almost 12 months ago. He then went on to claim two solo titles, ending the year with a victory at the World Wide Technology Championship after his earlier win at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Major top-10s at the U.S. Open and PGA Championship enhance his 2025 record, and if it wasn’t for Scottie Scheffler he may well have been a five-time winner last season, as he finished 2^nd to the world No. 1 at the Memorial Tournament and Procore Championship.

Two top-25s to begin this year offered promise but he hasn’t had another since. He missed all three cuts in the Florida swing but there have been flickers of life in the last few weeks, as he’s improved his ball striking to finish 28^th at the Houston Open and 33^rd on his Masters debut.

He hit his irons well in Houston and they were again encouraging over the first three rounds of last week, before he endured a difficult final round. Ranking 22^nd in SG: Approach and 32^nd in GIR, this is an area in which he excelled in 2025, and as a top-25 scrambler in the previous two seasons, his game is a sound match for Harbour Town.

Hailing from neighbouring North Carolina, Griffin put his familiarity with this part of the U.S. to use in the 2023 RBC Heritage during his rookie campaign, opening with rounds of 70-65 to sit 10^th at the halfway point before eventually finishing 31^st. He’s become a more accomplished player since, and with that victory at Colonial typically an excellent guide, he can get in the mix at Harbour Town.

0.75 pts Billy Horschel each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 200/1

I’m going to take a punt on Billy Horschel at a huge price as my final selection. He is still searching for his best after returning from hip surgery late last year, but I have been encouraged by his approach play over the previous month. With some tidy efforts at Harbour Town as well as several of the comp courses, I’m happy to chance this proven winner finding further improvement at this number.

Missing just three cuts in 10 appearances, Horschel has been reasonably consistent in 2026 without threatening the top of the leaderboard. His standout result came when 13^th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and we last saw him in Texas, where he was a perfectly solid 36^th at TPC San Antonio.

Although the driver continues to be a real concern, he has shown promise throughout the rest of his game. He’s stepped it up significantly with the putter, ranking 14^th over the last two months. Meanwhile, he arrives after three positive SG: Approach displays in a row, looking particularly good when ranking 20^th at both the Valspar Championship and Texas Open.

Horschel has made nine of 12 cuts at the RBC Heritage, recording four top-25s, including a best of 5^th in 2018. He finished 4^th at the Valspar last year, has several top-10s at TPC Southwind, and with his two victories at Wentworth in the BMW PGA Championship proving his suitability to similarly strategic, tree-lined tests, he can outperform his odds at Harbour Town.