RBC Canadian Open 2026 Betting Tips: Rose to bloom in Toronto?

After J.T. Poston secured the fourth and biggest PGA Tour title of his career in a thrilling finish at the Memorial Tournament, the PGA Tour makes its final stop before next week's U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills.

The action now shifts north of the border to TPC Toronto's North Course for the Canadian Open, where players will look to build momentum ahead of the year's third major.

Our golf tipster Jamie Worsley is back with five more each-way picks this week, so let's check out his RBC Canadian Open 2026 Betting Tips here at Betfred Insights...

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TOURNAMENT HISTORY

Having first been held in 1904, the Canadian Open is the longest-running regular event on the PGA Tour and one of the oldest tournaments in the world.

Many of the game’s biggest stars have won this title, including Walter Hagen (1931), Byron Nelson (1945), Arnold Palmer (1955) and Tiger Woods (2000). However, it is one championship that evaded the great Jack Nicklaus, who finished runner-up on seven occasions.

Leo Diegel is the only player to win this event four times, recording back-to-back victories in 1924/25 and 1928/29. There has also been a trio of three-time winners: Tommy Armour (1927, 1930, 1934), Sam Snead (1938, 1940, 1941) and Lee Trevino (1971, 1977, 1979).

Last five winners:

• 2025 (TPC Toronto)

Winner: Ryan Fox (-18, playoff)

Runner-up: Sam Burns (-18)

• 2024 (Hamilton Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Robert MacIntyre (-16)

Runner-up: Ben Griffin (-15)

• 2023 (Oakdale Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Nick Taylor (-17, playoff)

Runner-up: Tommy Fleetwood (-17)

• 2022 (St George’s Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Rory McIlroy (-19)

Runner-up: Tony Finau (-17)

• 2019 (Hamilton Golf & Country Club)

Winner: Rory McIlroy (-22)

Runners-up: Shane Lowry, Webb Simpson (-15)

Last year’s edition of the Canadian Open went to a playoff, as Ryan Fox birdied his final hole in regulation to tie Sam Burns at the top. He then birdied the fourth extra hole to walk away with his second PGA Tour title in just four starts.

THE COURSE

TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley – North Course

• Original architect / Year opened: Doug Carrick / 2001
• Latest renovation: Ian Andrew completed a renovation at the course in 2023 – described as more of a refresh than a rebuild – to prepare it for PGA Tour action
• Par / Yardage: Par 70 / 7,389 yards
• Hole breakdown:
  • 4x par 3s (144-237 yards)
  • 12x par 4s (350-530 yards)
  • 2x par 5s (542-581 yards)
• Course style: A moderately-rolling parkland course that is tree-lined yet spacious
• Fairways:
  • The sloping bentgrass/poa fairways are wide
  • Deep fescue-lined bunkers provide some protection alongside 3.75 inch-thick bluegrass rough
  • Despite that, the course ranked as the third-easiest driving test on the PGA Tour in 2025
• Greens:
  • Elevated bentgrass/poa greens are large (6,500 sq. ft.) and subtly undulating
  • Steep run-offs can lead to tricky up-and-downs from rough, bunkers and tightly-mown chipping areas
  • They ranked around average in both putting and around-the-greens difficulty 12 months ago
• Defences:
  • Lengthy collection of par 4s (five over 490 yards)
  • Some thick patches of rough aside the fairways
  • Tricky putting surfaces and greenside surrounds

TPC Toronto is not without its challenges, but the test here is reasonably straightforward. The par 5s are gettable, there are several shorter par 4s to offset those longer ones, whilst the par 3s were among the simplest on tour in 2025.

Alongside soft and calm conditions, this resulted in a low-scoring affair last year – won with a score of 18-under-par – and unless we get some severe weather, I expect little change.

THE WEATHER

The players are in for a stormy week in Canada, with thunderstorms arriving on Tuesday and persisting well into the tournament itself on Friday, bringing 10mm of rain.

Whilst gusting winds of up to 25mph could cause some problems, it’s forecast to be predominantly gentle at 5-7mph. When combined with the likely receptive conditions, a score in the high teens looks to again be on the cards.

KEY STATS

SG: Approach / Greens-in-Regulation (GIR)

With large, soft greens that are relatively penal should you miss, it’s the irons that look most important at TPC Toronto. Indeed, it was with these clubs that the top two separated themselves from their nearest challengers in 2025.

• 2025
  • Ryan Fox (Winner): 6^th in SG: Approach / 6^th in GIR
  • Sam Burns (2^nd): 12^th in SG: Approach / 16^th in GIR

SG: Off-the-Tee (SG: OTT) / Driving Distance

That said, as a somewhat lengthy par-70 course with wide fairways, it was no surprise to see strong, powerful drivers litter the top of the leaderboard last year.

• 2025
  • Ryan Fox (Winner): 10^th in driving distance
  • Sam Burns (2^nd): 18^th in SG: OTT
  • Kevin Yu (3^rd): 1^st in SG: OTT / 7^th in driving distance
  • Cameron Young (4^th): 3^rd in SG: OTT / 3^rd in driving distance

SG: Putting (bentgrass/poa)

Par 4 Scoring

As the toughest aspect of playing here, proven bentgrass/poa putters are of interest. Meanwhile, that high volume of par 4s requires the utmost attention.

• 2025
  • Ryan Fox (Winner): 16^th in SG: Putting
  • Sam Burns (2^nd): 9^th in SG: Putting
  • Kevin Yu (3^rd): 6^th in SG: Putting
  • Matt McCarty (4^th): 1^st in SG: Putting
  • Cameron Young (4^th): 7^th in SG: Putting

CORRELATING EVENTS (COURSES)

3M Open (TPC Twin Cities)

Part of that same network of courses as TPC Toronto, TPC Twin Cities has much in common with this week’s host. It ranks similarly in tee-to-green difficulty, has wide, rolling fairways, thick bluegrass rough and bentgrass greens that are almost identical in size.

Notable correlating form:

• Sam Burns: TPC Toronto (2^nd) / 3M Open (7^th)
• Lee Hodges: TPC Toronto (9^th) / 3M Open (1^st)
• Cameron Champ: TPC Toronto (9^th) / 3M Open (1^st)

John Deere Classic (TPC Deere Run)

Also rating among the easiest driving challenges on tour, TPC Deere Run is another strong fit. Tree-lined but with plenty of room off the tee, this undulating venue has that same lush bluegrass rough and bentgrass greens.

Notable correlating form:

• Kevin Yu: TPC Toronto (3^rd) / John Deere (6^th)
• Cameron Young: TPC Toronto (4^th) / John Deere (6^th)

CJ CUP Byron Nelson (TPC Craig Ranch)

TPC Craig Ranch is a course that lacks real strategy, making it susceptible to low scoring. It has bentgrass greens and possesses comparable averages in tee-to-green difficulty as TPC Toronto.

Notable correlating form:

• Sam Burns: TPC Toronto (2^nd) / Byron Nelson (2^nd, 5^th)
• Byeong Hun An: TPC Toronto (6^th) / Byron Nelson (4^th)

Rocket Classic (Detroit Golf Club)

Detroit Golf Club is potentially the closest all-round statistical match for TPC Toronto. With its generous fairways, bluegrass rough and bentgrass/poa putting surfaces, there is plenty to tie these two layouts together.

Notable correlating form:

• Cameron Young: TPC Toronto (4^th) / Rocket Classic (2^nd, 6^th)
• Andrew Putnam: TPC Toronto (6^th) / Rocket Classic (8^th)

Bank of Utah Championship (Black Desert Resort)

Despite being a more exposed setup, Black Desert’s wide fairways and large bentgrass greens provide similar ball-striking demands to what players will face this week.

Notable correlating form:

• Matt McCarty: TPC Toronto (4^th) / Bank of Utah (1^st, 3^rd)
• Lee Hodges: TPC Toronto (9^th) / Bank of Utah (8^th)

THE FIELD

There are eight of the world’s top 25 players teeing it up in Canada, but it’s a trio of Englishmen that headline the field, with world No. 4 Matt Fitzpatrick joined by Justin Rose (No. 6) and Tommy Fleetwood (No. 7).

Collin Morikawa (No. 10) is the only other top-10 player in attendance, and the European flavour continues thereafter, with England’s most recent major winner Aaron Rai (No. 13) accompanied by Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre (No. 17), Sweden’s Alex Noren (No. 20), and Norway’s Kristoffer Reitan (No. 24).

Ryan Fox returns to defend his title and is one of five former winners in action, alongside the aforementioned MacIntyre (2024), Nick Taylor (2023), Jhonattan Vegas (2017, 2016), and Sean O’Hair (2011).

In addition, world No. 2 amateur Ben James makes his first start as a PGA Tour player after earning his card through the PGA Tour University Accelerated program, having topped the 2026 standings.

SELECTIONS

Market leaders (1/4, 5 places): Matt Fitzpatrick 12/1, Tommy Fleetwood 12/1, Sam Burns 14/1, Wyndham Clark 22/1, Justin Rose 22/1, Collin Morikawa 22/1

Check out the full RBC Canadian Open Odds here

2.25 pts Justin Rose each-way (1/5 - 6 places) @ 22/1

If it wasn’t for the putter, Justin Rose would’ve surely contended at the Memorial Tournament, such was the quality of his tee-to-green display. Although he missed the cut at TPC Toronto in 2025, he wasn’t in the same ball-striking form as he is now, and there’s every chance he makes up for that in a big way this week.

Rose began the season by securing a second victory at the Farmers Insurance Open in incredibly impressive fashion, running out a dominant seven-shot winner. After suffering a mini-slump in form, things picked up again at THE PLAYERS Championship, where he was 13^th, and he’s since hit the top 10 at the first two majors of the season, finishing 3^rd at The Masters and 10^th at the PGA Championship.

He heads to Canada after finishing 12^th at Muirfield Village, aided by ranking 2^nd in SG: Tee-to-Green. I was especially encouraged by his driving in Ohio, as he ranked 3^rd in SG: OTT, maintaining power whilst finding more fairways than recent starts.

His already strong iron play has improved, ranking 12^th in GIR and 16^th in SG: Approach this year. Currently sitting 17^th in par-4 scoring and gaining strokes on the greens more often than not, his game looks perfectly poised to challenge.

Rose’s missed cut at TPC Toronto 12 months ago was his first in the Canadian Open. He’s finished inside the top 20 in four of his five other appearances, recording bests of 4^th in 2004 and 2022.

Playing as strongly in 2026 as he has for several years overall, there’s no doubt that the world No. 6 still has the class to add another prestigious title to his trophy cabinet.

1 pt Max Greyserman each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 66/1

Max Greyserman has some eye-catching comp form relating to this test, which I’m hoping can help him to a PGA Tour breakthrough this week. He’d been playing well prior to missing the cut at Colonial, and with each part of his game showing promise, he’s primed to contend.

A slow start to the season for Greyserman was turned around with consecutive top-25s in Signature Events, finishing 24^th at the Genesis Invitational and 18^th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Missing his next four cuts on the spin, he failed to immediately build on that, but he has made four of his last five, including finishes of 14^th at the PGA Championship and 9^th at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson in consecutive weeks.

His long game was excellent at TPC Craig Ranch two starts ago, ranking 1^st in SG: Ball Striking, 1^st in SG: Approach and 2^nd in GIR. The putter stopped him truly contending there, though as he usually thrives with this club, it’s surely only a matter of time before this big hitter bounces back on the greens.

Greyserman’s only previous appearance at the Canadian Open resulted in a missed cut in 2024. That said, having finished 2^nd at the Rocket Classic and 2^nd at the 3M Open, I’m confident he’ll handle the examination of TPC Toronto.

1 pt Steven Fisk each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 70/1

Playing some of his most encouraging golf of the season during the last two months, I’m going to take a chance on Steven Fisk becoming a two-time PGA Tour winner in Canada. He’s improved considerably on the greens in 2026 and, now driving it closer to the high level he produced last year, this course sets up well for him.

Fisk won the Sanderson Farms Championship in style at the end of the previous season but failed to carry that momentum into this campaign, missing four of his first nine cuts and recording zero top-30s. He found form when 12^th at the RBC Heritage and has hit the top-20 on his last two appearances, finishing 19^th at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and 10^th at the Charles Schwab Challenge.

It was from tee-to-green that he thrived in 2025, particularly with the driver, ranking 21^st in SG: OTT. He lost ground on the greens, ranking 168^th, though that has been completely flipped this season, as he ranks 24^th in SG: Putting. The driver looks under better control than it did earlier in the year, ranking 7^th last time out and, sitting 6^th in par-4 scoring, his profile stands up to this test.

There were definite signs of this 12 months ago, as Fisk fired three rounds in the 60s to finish 43^rd, ranking 5^th in GIR and 11^th in SG: OTT in the process. Now rolling it smoother on the greens, he’s well equipped to put four rounds together and mount a serious challenge this week.

1 pt Jackson Suber each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 110/1

Jackson Suber arrives in Canada after a recent career-high result on the PGA Tour, finishing 4^th at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson. He’s a strong iron player who has found form on the greens and, having offered promise when 18^th here in 2025, he appears suitably placed to contend for a breakthrough victory.

Barring a 4^th-place finish in Colombia when stepping down a level to the Korn Ferry Tour, Suber did little of note at the beginning of 2026. He secured a first PGA Tour top-20 of the year at the Myrtle Beach Classic three starts ago and immediately built on that to finish 4^th at TPC Craig Ranch.

While he was less impressive when 67^th at the Charles Schwab Challenge on his latest appearance, I was encouraged by how he continued to hit the ball, following on from ranking 2^nd in SG: Ball Striking at the Byron Nelson. It’s again with the irons that he has shone most in 2026, ranking 19^th in GIR and 20^th in SG: Approach.

Suber’s iron play served him brilliantly here last year, as he ranked 8^th in SG: Approach on his way to an 18^th-place finish, firing four under-par rounds. With that 4^th at the Byron Nelson complemented by a 6^th at the Rocket Classic in 2025, his comp form suggests that he’s capable of an even better finish this time around.

0.75 pts Erik Van Rooyen each-way (1/5 - 8 places) @ 300/1

I’m going to take a punt on Erik Van Rooyen at huge odds as my final selection. He hasn’t missed a cut since March following a poor start to the season and, despite failing to make the weekend at TPC Toronto in 2025, there’s plenty to suggest he can be a feature around here.

Since missing his first eight cuts in 2026, Van Rooyen has made each of his last six. He was the star performer as he and Christiaan Bezuidenhout finished 17^th at the Zurich Classic and, just two starts ago, the South African was 19^th at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson.

The putter has been his biggest weapon this campaign, ranking 26^th in SG: Putting, while he also sits above average in par-4 scoring. He’s a long hitter who has been largely straight of late, and whilst his irons have regressed in 2026, he did hit them well enough when finishing 38^th at the Myrtle Beach Classic, ranking 22^nd.

Although Van Rooyen may have missed the cut here last year, I am optimistic about the three-under 67 he shot in round one. He was a distant 2^nd to Scottie Scheffler at the Byron Nelson earlier in 2025 and, with a 6^th-place finish at the Rocket Classic another plus, this two-time PGA Tour winner is worth the risk at this massive price.