Weekend Football Betting Tips: Best Bets from Serie A for Matchday 28

It was a profitable week for our Italian Football expert Daniele Fisichella in his Best Bets column from Serie A in Matchday 27, as two of his three selections came in as winners.

For Matchday 28, he's back looking for another good payday as he rounds up his Best Weekend Football Betting Tips from Serie A with selections from the three 19:45 games on Saturday, Sunday and Monday...

Can Serie A live up to the Thursday’s European goal fest (17 goals in the three games AC Milan, Roma and Fiorentina were involved)? Fixtures come thick and fast with the first game on Friday evening between Napoli and Torino.

Let’s take you through some of the best games of match day 28 that will conclude next Monday at the Stadio Olimpico.

• Two young and exciting managers
• Expect goals in Firenze
• Sarri-ball has gone missing this season

Genoa vs Monza (Saturday, time: 19:45)

Both teams are virtually safe which could make their results slightly trickier to predict from now on.

However, their respective managers, Alberto Gilardino and Raffaele Palladino, are admirers of attacking and enterprising football and have received many plaudits for the way the squared up to Italy’s big teams.

Genoa don’t score many goals at Marassi (only 17 so far) but have lost only one of their last nine games (4-1 vs Atalanta) at home. The return to top-flight has been very positive for Il Grifone, who achieved more than 30 points after 27 games for the first time since 2014/2015.

Last Monday they deserved more against Inter and they’ve only lost back-to-back games once so far (against AC Milan at home and Atalanta away).

Monza have recorded only one defeat in the last six and have recently started scoring more goals: they found the net in the last three after drawing a blank in three of their previous four games.

Five of Genoa's last seven Serie A home games have seen both teams score and at EVENS this look the most appealing choice.

Fiorentina vs Roma (Sunday, time: 19:45)

Daniele De Rossi’s magic spell at Roma continued in mid-week as the Giallorossi recorded their eight success in the last ten games. Great numbers that testify the extraordinary job the former Roma’s captain has so far done to restore players’ confidence.

In the passage from Mourinho to De Rossi it almost feels like Roma have been liberated, transformed and are close to fulfil their potential.

Of course the run of fixtures has been kind with the new man (Roma have lost the only big-match they played so far, against Inter), but the Giallorossi have Italy’s second-best attack (52 goals) and have won 3 in a row in Serie A for the second time this campaign.

Five of the last seven Fiorentina matches in all competitions have produced more than two goals with both teams on the scoresheet. La Viola are always playing on the attack but often take risks at the back, in fact only three teams in Serie A’s top half of the table have conceded more goals than them.

You’d expect goals in a clash between Vincezo Italiano and De Rossi and the Over 2.5 pays 10/11.

Lazio vs Udinese (Monday, time: 19:45)

The hosts have only scored once in the last three games as Ciro Immobile’s big miss in Munich, when the game was still 0-0, probably cost Maurizio Sarri’s men the qualification to the Champions League quarter-finals.

The Biancocelesti have lost the last six European knockout outs since 2019 but realistically this elimination means they can now focus on more achievable targets such as the Coppa Italia and finishing in the top six domestically.

Lazio have the second worse attack at home (only 13 goals) and have won seven games at Olimpico by 1-0.

The visitors have recorded the worse points tally since 1979/1980 (23 back then as they finished second from bottom) and have only won three games so far, all to nil (against AC Milan, Bologna and Udinese).

The Friulani have the joint-second worse away attack in the league (only 9 goals), and have already been defeated at the Olimpico this season, 3-1 by Roma.

Lazio have won the last two Serie A head-to-heads by a single goal and it’s unlikely we’ll see a goal fest.

The odds for a win for Lazio and Under 3.5 Goals are 7/5 via the #PickYourPunt tool.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...