Weekend Football Accumulator Tips: A La Liga 7/1 Treble

 | Friday 10th May 2024, 15:14pm

Friday 10th May 2024, 15:14pm

Mark Sochon's La Liga Tips

Our Spanish Football expert has looked up and down the markets for Matchday 35 and had put together a treble that would pay out just north of 7/1 as of the time of publication on Friday afternoon.

Check out his La Liga Weekend Football Accumulator Tips and see if you agree with his thoughts...

Weekend Football Accumulator Tips

  • Athletic Club vs Osasuna - Both teams to score @ 11/10
  • Cádiz vs Getafe - Both teams to score @ 11/10
  • Atlético Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Over 2.5 Goals & Both teams to score @ 5/6 via #PickYourPunt
  • Overall Odds - 7.08/1

Leg 1 - Athletic Club vs Osasuna - Both teams to score @ 11/10

I’m looking for value in the BTTS markets with this weekend’s La Liga acca and we kick things off at San Mamés where Athletic need all three points as they target Champions League qualification.

With six points to make up on Atlético Madrid, Europa League qualification is looking more likely for Ernesto Valverde’s side but they ought to throw the kitchen sink at an out-of-form Osasuna side in this game in pursuit of victory.

Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have kept clean sheets in Bilbao this season and there’s little chance of Jagoba Arrasate’s side becoming the third here, not least with their best centre back

David García expected to be missing through injury again.

However it’s the home team’s own central defensive issues that significantly raises the possibility of both teams scoring in this one. Athletic had both centre backs sent off at Getafe last weekend and it was an absolute miracle that they left with a victory and a clean sheet given their opponents had 34 shots, nine of which hit the target.

Aitor Paredes and Yeray Álvarez will both be suspended here as a result. Their other main centre back is Dani Vivian who has missed the last two through injury and may not be in the best condition for this one. Athletic are also missing two midfield regulars with Íñigo Ruiz de Galarreta and Oihan Sancet sidelined through injury, so there’s a bit more to this game than immediately meets the eye.

Osasuna are badly out of form and badly missing Ante Budimir with Arrasate’s brilliant reign drifting towards a slightly underwhelming conclusion. However they are never short on motivation when it comes to matches against local rivals Athletic and they’ll fancy they can nick a goal here given the home team’s extensive selection issues so I’m going with Both teams to score at 11/10, a winning bet in Athletic’s last two home games.

Leg 2 - Cádiz vs Getafe - Both teams to score @ 11/10

This is another game that on the surface seems an unlikely candidate for goals, but the circumstances are such that Cádiz have simply got to throw everything at it, which may in turn open up space and opportunities for Getafe to have some joy on the break.

Cádiz head into the weekend six points from safety and given 17th placed Mallorca have a very winnable home game against Las Palmas earlier in the day, this is a game they simply have to win as they try to take their survival bid to the final two matchdays when they have pretty favourable fixtures.

Mauricio Pellegrino unsurprisingly set his team up in quite a defensive fashion at Real Madrid last weekend with five across the midfield but he should return to his usual 4-4-2 here. They are

not short on options for the two forward roles with Chris Ramos, Juanmi, Roger Martí and Maxi Gómez all fit.

While none of the quartet are exactly firing on all cylinders, they are capable of asking different kinds of questions of the Getafe defence. Unpredictable winger Darwin Machís is another player who can make a difference on his day and may be useful to bring off the bench if Cádiz need to chase a goal and they have managed to score at least once in four of their last five home games, with Barcelona the only recent visitors to keep a clean sheet at the Nuevo Mirandilla.

Getafe failed to score last weekend despite creating 4.4 xG against Athletic in an extraordinarily wasteful display against nine men. Pepe Bordalás will at least take encouragement from an increase in their creativity in recent weeks with a 3-1 win at Almería in their last away match.

Mason Greenwood scored two and assisted the other in that game and the Manchester United loanee is likely to be the main threat for the visitors here and he’s very capable of exploiting space on the break so Getafe should carry a counter attacking threat throughout this game.

It may not develop into a classic, but I can see it being a bit more open than many are expecting and I’m going with Both teams to score at decent odds of 11/10.

Leg 3 - Atlético Madrid vs Celta Vigo - Over 2.5 Goals & Both teams to score @ 5/6 via #PickYourPunt

We round things off at the Estadio Metropolitano with Atlético Madrid who are closing in on Champions League qualification, up against Celta Vigo who are close to securing their safety after an improved run of form under new boss Claudio Giráldez.

This is certainly a game that has the potential to serve up goals. Atleti’s main vulnerability all season has been the defence. That’s not at all what you’d expect from a Diego Simeone team but statistically this has been as bad as it has been at the back during the Argentine’s long reign in the red and white half of Madrid.

Newly promoted Alavés have a better defensive record than Atlético Madrid in La Liga this term and even at home where they’ve an outstanding record of 15 wins from 17 games, they have looked vulnerable at times.

71% of Atleti’s home league fixtures have seen both teams score while 82% have served up over 2.5 goals in total. That should offer plenty of encouragement to Celta Vigo’s attacking players who look to be enjoying life more under Giráldez than they were under Rafa Benítez who was sacked in March.

It’s 10 goals and 10 points for the Galicians in their six matches since the change with a 3-4-2-1 formation helping get the best out of forwards Iago Aspas and Jørgen Strand Larsen who are capable of asking plenty of questions of the home defence in this game.

While under the old regime, Celta may have looked to park the bus in this fixture, we’re likely to see them be a bit more expansive on Sunday after a 3-2 win over Villarreal last weekend which moved them eight points clear of the relegation zone.

A good game is likely to develop and I’m backing Over 2.5 Goals and Both teams to score at 5/6.

You can check out Mark's La Liga Betting Tips along with those from the rest of the Betfred Insights Spanish Football writers on our La Liga home page...

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