Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Prediction: Visitors to make up for November draw

Union Berlin host Bayern Munich at Alsten Forsterei in the last 16 of the DFB-Pokal on Wednesday (19:45 GMT). The two sides met here in the Bundesliga on November 8 as they drew 2-2.
Union were the first team to take points from the league leaders this season. Below you will find my Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich predictions, along with team news and match odds.
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Betting Tips
- Match Result & Both Teams To Score - Bayern Munich & Yes @ 6/4
- Anytime Goalscorer - Luis Diaz @ 23/20
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Robert Skov, Union's versatile Dane, remains out of action with a muscle issue that he picked up at the end of September. Andrik Markgraf is still out with a leg injury that has seen him miss the opening months of the season.
Centre-back Leopold Querfeld has scored in both rounds of the cup this term and he will be hoping to continue this trend on Wednesday. His defensive partner Danilho Doekhi bagged a brace in the draw with Bayern in the league.
Vincent Kompany rotated his Bayern side in the weekend triumph over St. Pauli, so there might be some more changes in store here. Teenager Lennart Karl has been catching the eye in recent weeks, with the 17-year-old recording three goal involvements in his last three appearances for the club.
Jamal Musiala and Alohonso Davies will miss out again as the pair continue to build up their fitness following long-term injuries.
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups
- Union Berlin: Ronnow; Leite, Querfeld, Doekhi; Kohn, Kemlein, Khedira, Trimmel; Ansah, Jeong; Burke
- Bayern Munich: Urbig; Bischof, Tah, Kim, Laimer; Pavlovic, Kimmich; Diaz, Karl, Guerreiro; Kane
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Odds
Union are 9/1 to win this contest in regulation time, which they accomplished in the two previous rounds.
They held Bayern to a draw a few weeks ago in the Bundesliga and the stalemate is valued at 9/2.
Bayern are 1/4 to prevail in 90 minutes but both their cup appearances so far have seen both teams to score. Adding BTTS - Yes to the selection gets you a 6/4 price, which has an implied probability of 40%.
BTTS - Yes on its own is priced at 8/11.
Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Stats
- BTTS - Yes has landed in both of Bayern's two cup victories this season
- Luis Diaz (BAY) has 11 goals in all competitions in 2025/26
Match Result & Both Teams To Score - Bayern Munich & Yes @ 6/4
After dropping points here in the Bundesliga, Bayern will want to show that lessons have been learned from that 2-2 draw as they bid to reach the quarter-finals of the DFB-Pokal.
Even with rotation, Kompany still has an abundance of quality at his disposal and Die Bayern should have more than enough quality to navigate their way through this cup tie. The visitors have won 14 of the 15 domestic matches they have played across all competitions in 2025/26 so far.
They will be sensing an opportunity here because Union suffered a home defeat in the Bundesliga against Heidenheim last weekend, so the hosts may be feeling a little vulnerable.
Bayern have started this season brilliantly and I think they will have too much for the hosts to handle on this occasion, but I do think Union can get a consolation goal at least because there have been goals at both ends in both of Bayern's DFB-Pokal appearances this term.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Anytime Goalscorer - Luis Diaz @ 23/20
Luis Diaz has been enjoying life in Munich following his summer switch from Liverpool. The Colombian is already establishing himself as a key figure in Bayern's attack, with 11 goals already across all competitions.
He has one in this competition, which came in the second round in the 4-1 routing of Koln. Diaz was also on the scoresheet here just a few weeks ago in the 2-2 stalemate, so the hosts will be wary of the attacking threat he poses.
Diaz should head into this clash with confidence after scoring against St. Pauli at the weekend, and I think he is good value to get on the scoresheet inside this stadium for the second time this season.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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