Swansea vs Cardiff Prediction: 150/1 derby day long-shot

A South Wales derby for the third game of the season? Go on then. Swansea host Cardiff at the Swansea.com Stadium on Sunday (15:00, Sky Sports Football), looking to pile the misery onto their fiercest rivals after the Bluebirds were hammered 5-0 by Burnley last time out. 

Below you can find my Swansea vs Cardiff prediction, featuring betting tips, team news and more. I also caught up with Lee Trundle this week, and that interview has been included for you to watch, as the Swans legend gives his prediction for this massive Championship game.

Team News

Swasea boss Luke Williams will welcome Joe Allen back into the mix this weekend, after confirming he was fit for selection having rejoined training. However, Andy Fisher, Aimar Govea, Sam Parker and Josh Ginnelly will miss out for the Swans as they continue their rehabilitation.

Anwar El Ghazi is ready to make debut for Cardiff after joining this summer, while Aaron Ramsey is fully fit and ready to play in this one. Meanwhile, Callum O'Dowda and Calum Chambers are also both fit according to their manager Erol Bulut, but Joe Ralls faces a late fitness test. Jesper Daland is raring to go having joined from Cercle Brugge, and could come into the defence. 

Swansea vs Cardiff Odds

Swansea are priced at 19/20 to win this game, with Cardiff the outsiders at 3/1. A draw can be backed at 5/2, over 2.5 goals is 5/6 and BTTS is 8/11. 

Draw @ 5/2

Although the odds and recent form would point towards a home win, I would be wary of jumping to that conclusion. Swansea battered Preston North End 3-0 last time out, while Cardiff were beaten 5-0 by Burnley. However, there were a number of factors that led to those results, which means this derby should be a close-run thing. 

Preston were a mess when Swansea played them, having sacked Ryan Lowe after the first game of the season, before then dismissing Mike Marsh following the defeat in Wales. Swansea did well in that game, but PNE were not offering much in the way of organisation, as they conceded three. 

Meanwhile, Cardiff were hammered 5-0 by Burnley, but in a strange quirk, had the same number of shots on target (four) and more possesion than their recently-relegated hosts. It was a terrible result, but a good performance, and it leads me to believe they will get something against Swansea. I’ve picked out a draw, as I think these two are well-matched this term. 

Football Odds

Aaron Ramsey to score first and Swansea 2-2 Cardiff @ 150/1

Fancy a long-shot? So do I. I think both of these teams will be aggressive and front-footed, and so goals are on the cards. There hasn’t been a draw in any of the last eight meetings, so I think we are due one, while I also think both of these teams have shown their attacking prowess this season, even if Cardiff haven’t got the goals to show for it yet. 

Meanwhile, I think we can add to this 2-2 prediction with a first goalscorer, and why not back the man for whom it means so much. Ramsey is a Cardiff lad, and has the quality to tear apart plenty of back lines at this level. He also can thrive in that number 10 role and may just score the opener in Swansea. 

Acca Flex: Place a pre-match 5+ leg Football accumulator and get a CASH bonus up to 100% if all of your selections win or your money back as CASH if one leg lets you down.

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