Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction: Back Ramos to be Carded

 | February 24 | 

7 mins read

mack sochon la liga tips

Sergio Ramos is a Real Madrid legend but he's returning to the place he called home on Sunday evening, looking to get one over on his old side.

There is no surprise that he features in Mark Sochon's Best Bets for the match as he takes us through his Real Madrid vs Sevilla Predictions in his full match preview...

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Betting Tips:

  • Back Real Madrid to win & Under 3.5 Goals @ 23/20
  • Back Sergio Ramos to be Carded & Sevilla Over 29.5 Booking Points @ 6/4

It’s the return of Sergio Ramos to the Santiago Bernabéu this weekend as Real Madrid entertain an improving Sevilla side in La Liga.

Ramos is sure to get a warm reception as he returns to the Spanish capital, a month before his 38th birthday. The legendary defender won it all during a 16 year stay at Real Madrid and he’s proven quite a useful signing in what has been a difficult season for Sevilla.

If the reverse fixture is anything to go by, Real Madrid can expect few niceties from their former captain, who was as full-blooded and occasionally reckless as ever in the reverse fixture which ended 1-1 in October.

That was actually one of the few good results for Sevilla during an opening half of the season which saw them sink towards a relegation battle, crash out of Europe and make two managerial changes with Jose Luis Mendilibar and Diego Alonso both departing.

Even current boss Quique Sanchez Flores struggled to make much of an impact initially. Sevilla lost four of their opening five league games under the guidance of the former Watford boss, but have gone four without defeat since then.

Defensively, they’ve been much more assured and finally seem to have settled on a clear structure with a back three and wing backs that may well drop back and form a back five at times in this game.

Up front, they’ve found an unlikely solution to their problems in the shape of Isaac Romero. At 23, his career was hardly on track for the big time given he was playing fourth tier football for Sevilla’s B team until he was drafted into the first team set-up in January, partly as cover for Youssef En-Nesyri who was on AFCON duty.

Romero has been a surprise hit with five goals and he’s formed a good partnership with En-Nesyri which should keep the Real Madrid defence on its toes. Much will depend on how much service Sevilla can get to their front two though. Last weekend, the answer was not a lot as they had just one attempt on goal in a drab goalless draw at Valencia.

With home advantage, Real Madrid should of course be the dominant force in this game. They were outstanding in their last home game, outclassing title rivals Girona 4-0 but they’ve not played particularly well since then.

The absence of Jude Bellingham certainly hasn’t helped, but they’ll still be content enough with their results in the circumstances. A 1-0 win in Leipzig leaves them well on course for the Champions League Quarter-Finals while a 1-1 draw away to Rayo Vallecano hasn’t done a huge amount of damage to their title hopes.

In fact, they actually gained another point on Girona over the previous matchday with the Catalans losing again in Bilbao. Real Madrid are now six clear at the top with 13 games to go and they’ve still only lost once this season in La Liga with city rivals Atlético the only team to have beaten them in any competition this term.

Team News:

This game will come too soon for Jude Bellingham who is expected to make his return from injury in March. Long-term absentees Thibaut Courtois and Eder Militao should also step up their recoveries over the next month and it’s likely we’ll see both before the season is out.

Real Madrid do have some fresh issues this weekend though with Joselu ruled out through injury while Eduardo Camavinga and Dani Carvajal are suspended, which will force Carlo Ancelotti into a bit of a reshuffle in midfield and defence. Toni Kroos and Rodrygo should both return to the starting lineup having been rested at Rayo last time out.

As for Sevilla, injuries have certainly been a factor in their struggles this term, with the Europa League holders still in the bottom six despite a recent upturn in their fortunes.

They’ll be without the injured Dodi Lukebakio, Marcao, Marcos Acuña, Erik Lamela, Mariano and Lucien Agoume here while Nemanja Gudelj is a doubt. It’s likely to be a 3-5-2 again for Sevilla with Sergio Ramos at the heart of the defence.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla Odds:

Real Madrid come into the game as the 2/7 favourites, with the Draw at 5/1 and Sevilla available at 9/1 to record a very rare win at the Bernabeu.

The hosts are priced at 11/10 to win the game to nil, while you can back Real Madrid and Both Teams to Score at 7/4. If you see the visitors continuing their recent resurgence and getting a result, Draw or Sevilla Double Chance is available at 5/2.

The buildup to this game will be all about Sergio Ramos and if his colourful career is anything to go by, Ramos is unlikely to have a quiet evening on his return to Madrid. You can back Spain’s most capped player to score anytime at 10/1 while he’s 28/1 to score last. Ramos holds the record for the most red cards in La Liga history with 21 and he’s 14/1 to be sent off.

With no Bellingham, Carlo Ancelotti will be looking to his Brazilian forwards to fire his team to victory. Vinicius Junior is on offer at 19/20 to score anytime while Rodrygo is 6/5 to do likewise. Brahim Diaz is likely to operate in the Bellingham role behind the front two and he’s a 6/4 shot to score anytime.

Bet 1 - Real Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals @ 23/20

Sevilla are defending a lot better than they were even a couple of months ago with just three goals conceded in their last five matches in all competitions. They played Atlético Madrid twice over that period and this does not have the feel of the kind of game that Real Madrid are simply going to run away with.

30% of their league goals this season have been scored by Bellingham who is still La Liga’s top scorer so he’s obviously a big miss and they may need to be patient at times in this game as they bid to open up what’s likely to be a cautious Sevilla side.

The hosts should still have enough individual quality to win the game though and I’m backing Real Madrid and Under 3.5 Goals at 23/20.

Bet 2 - Sergio Ramos Carded & Sevilla Over 29.5 Booking Points @ 6/4

It’s hard to imagine a scenario where Sergio Ramos shows up at the Santiago Bernabéu and has a quiet evening, with drama tending to follow him around throughout his career. The reverse fixture was testament to that when he came close to scoring with two headers and was also booked in a competitive game that saw him clash with a number of Real Madrid players.

Sevilla received five yellow cards in total in that match and they may need to scrap and at times slow the game down if they’re going to stand a chance of a result here. With Vinicius running at their defence, the foul count may rise and I’m using the #PickYourPunt builder to back Sergio Ramos to be Carded and Sevilla Over 29.5 Booking Points at 6/4.

Mark Sochon covers Spanish Football for us at Betfred Insights and you can follow all of his La Liga Betting Tips along with those from the rest of the Betfred Insights Spanish Football writers on our La Liga home page...

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