Real Madrid vs Cadiz Prediction: Hosts to win by more than a goal

 | 3rd May | 

7 mins read

Mark Sochon's La Liga Tips

It could be a pretty big few days for the hosts here as La Liga glory awaits and a cracking second-leg of their Champions League tussle with Bayern Munich awaits in the week.

For Saturday though in this 15:15 kick-off, available to watch on Premier Sports Player, it is the league that is their focus and our Spanish football expert Mark Sochon thinks they'll win with more than a goal to spare. Check out his thoughts as to why as part of his Real Madrid vs Cadiz predictions here at Betfred Insights...

Real Madrid vs Cadiz Betting Tips

  • Real Madrid -1.00 Handicap @ 19/20
  • Arda Güler to score anytime @ 7/4

*Click on the linked odds to add the selections directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app)

Real Madrid can win La Liga on Saturday, but only if they beat Cádiz and Barcelona then drop points at Girona in a fixture that kicks off shortly after this one.

That scenario is entirely plausible. Carlo Ancelotti’s side are strong favourites to triumph over their struggling opponents in this game, despite the expectation that the Italian will field what is effectively a second string line-up.

Ancelotti did just that in a much tougher game last Friday, but Los Blancos still ran out 1-0 winners away to Real Sociedad. Their match winner was Turkish teenager Arda Güler who has endured a frustrating first season in Spain due to injuries, but has generally caught the eye on the race occasions he has been afforded game time.

That victory removed any lingering doubt about the destination of the Spanish title and it’s now just a question of when and not if Real Madrid get their hands on the trophy.

Only two players who started at the Reale Arena, also started in Munich on Tuesday night as Real Madrid drew 2-2 against Bayern in the 1st Leg of their UEFA Champions League Semi-Final.

It was typical Real Madrid in the knockout stage of the Champions League to a large extent. They were second best for long periods of the game but were still able to count upon the odd moment of pure, individual quality to ensure they left Germany with a good result.

It was a brilliant through ball from Toni Kroos to set up Vinícius Júnior that saw the Spanish side break the deadlock against the run of play and despite a strong Bayern rally, the Brazilian converted a Second Half penalty to ensure Real Madrid remain well-placed to progress when the sides reconvene next Wednesday at the Santiago Bernabéu.

This game is an irrelevance by comparison, but for the likes of Güler and one or two other fringe players, motivation shouldn’t be an issue and they’ll be hungry to stake their claim for more regular minutes.

As for Cádiz, this game most certainly does matter. The Andalusians are in deep trouble as they head into the weekend five points from safety and with only five games to go.

They let a golden opportunity to close that gap slip last weekend when they could only draw their home game against fellow strugglers Mallorca. Striker Roger Martí missed a great chance to win it in the dying moments. Had he converted the opportunity, the whole relegation picture would have looked different, but as it is, things are looking pretty bleak for Cádiz.

Their shocking away record this season suggests there is little prospect of an upset here, even if Ancelotti does give most of his stars the afternoon off. Cádiz have won none of their 16 road games in La Liga 2023/24 with only Granada picking up fewer than their tally of six away points.

There have been tentative improvements at home since Mauricio Pellegrino took over in January, but they were beaten 4-1 at Girona in their most recent away game and the visitors will travel more in hope than expectation on Saturday.

Team News:

Real Madrid are expected to name a similar eleven to the one that won at Real Sociedad just over a week ago. Joselu, Brahim Díaz and Arda Güler are likely to be their most advanced players with the likes of Rodrygo, Vinícius and Jude Bellingham among those to be rested.

One significant change to that eleven will see Thibaut Courtois come in for his first start of the season following an ACL injury. David Alaba is still sidelined with the same issue but Los Blancos have no other notable injuries right now.

That’s not the case for Cádiz who could be without six players here. Aiham Ousou, Fede San Emeterio, Luis Hernández, Rominigue Kouamé, Jorge Meré and José Mari are all carrying injuries which is really limiting the options for Mauricio Pellegrino in defence and midfield.

He has a bit more choice in attack where Juanmi has offered a goal threat since his January arrival. He’s likely to partner one of Chris Ramos, Maxi Gómez or Roger Martí up top in a 4-4-2 system.

Real Madrid vs Cadiz Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Real Madrid page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

Despite the expectation that Los Blancos will rest most of their stars, Real Madrid are still clear 1/3 favourites for this game with the Draw on offer at 4/1 while Cádiz are priced 17/2.

Punters will need to decide just how much of a disadvantage Real Madrid will be at given all the changes. They’ve tended to still do the business whenever they’ve rotated this season and you can back Real Madrid to win to nil at 11/10 here while Real Madrid and Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 10/11.

Alternatively, you can back what will be a highly motivated visiting side to get a result by backing Draw or Cádiz in the Double Chance market at 21/10. You can also get Cádiz +2.00 Handicap at 4/5.

In the goalscorer markets, Joselu leads the way at 100/30 to score first and Evens to score anytime. Brahim Díaz is available at 7/4 to score anytime while Juanmi is the shortest priced visiting player at 16/5 to score anytime.

Bet 1 - Real Madrid -1.00 Handicap @ 19/20

One of the keys to Real Madrid’s success this season has been the strength of their squad. They’ve still only lost one match inside the regular 90 minutes in all competitions and that’s very much a product of having back-up players who would start for almost any other team in La Liga.

There should be a nice blend of youth and experience in the eleven that takes to the field on Saturday, with Luka Modrić and Dani Ceballos capable of providing control in midfield while the likes of Joselu and Brahim Díaz will ensure they carry a goal threat.

With the title so close, motivation shouldn’t be an issue and I’m going with Real Madrid -1.00 Handicap at 19/20, as I see the hosts winning by at least two goals against an injury-ravaged Cádiz.

Bet 2 - Arda Güler to score anytime @ 7/4

The Bernabéu faithful will be looking forward to getting a closer look at youngster Arda Güler who should start again after netting the only goal at Real Sociedad. He has only been afforded 99 minutes of league action but has scored twice and looks like a player with a real eye for goal.

He has only recently turned 19 but has already played and scored for Turkey and we may well have seen more of him in Real Madrid colours had it not been for injury. The youngster looks eager to make up for lost time and he should get more opportunities in this game against a Cádiz defence that shipped four in their last away fixture and I’m backing Arda Güler to score anytime at 7/4.

You can check out Mark's La Liga Betting Tips along with those from the rest of the Betfred Insights Spanish Football writers on our La Liga home page...

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