Qarabag vs Ferencvaros Prediction: Home advantage to count

Qarabag welcome Ferencvaros to Baku on Wednesday (17:45 BST, live on TNT Sports 2) as the pair meet in the second leg of the final Champions League Qualification round.
Azerbaijani champions Qarabag have got through two rounds to get to this stage and head into the second leg with a 3-1 lead from their trip to Hungary last week. Below are Tom Clark’s Qarabag vs Ferencvaros predictions, supported by all the latest team news and match odds.
Qarabag vs Ferencvaros Betting Tips
Odds correct at the time of publication
Team News
Qarabag lost their first game of the season on Friday when they made 11 changes to the side that beat Ferencvaros 3-1 in the first leg of this tie.
Manager Qurban Qurbanov clearly had Champions League qualification on his mind when making wholesale changes to his squad and the Azerbaijanis are expected to switch back and field a similar line-up to the side that won comprehensively in Hungary.
Ferencvaros have not played since the first leg and have no new injuries or suspensions to worry about. Robbie Keane’s side have an uphill battle ahead of them, but with a week to prepare for the clash should head into it up for the fight.
Qarabag vs Ferencvaros Stats
- Qarabag have never lost to Ferencvaros, winning two and drawing one of their three previous clashes
- Qarabag have won five and lost one this season
- Ferencvaros’ last four matches this season have all featured over 2.5 goals
Qarabag are firm 1/16 favourites to progress from this tie and 6/5 to win this match within 90 minutes. Ferencvaros are priced at 7/4 for a surprise victory and 7/1 to get through the tie by any means, and the draw is available at 5/2.
Qarabag to win @ 6/5
After coming out 3-1 winners in Hungary last week, Qarabag are clear favourites to progress and to do so with another win within 90 minutes in Baku on Wednesday. On paper the game was more even than the scoreline suggests, though, with Ferencvaros opening the scoring and having 12 shots to Qarabag’s 11 throughout the match.
However, Qarabag created the better of the opportunities and were more ruthless in front of goal, scoring from three of their four attempts on target.
Backing the Azerbaijanis to seal progress from the tie with another win inside 90 minutes looks a shrewd move.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals @ 1/1
Over 2.5 goals would have been a winning bet in the last two meetings of these sides, with both matches finishing 3-1 to Qarabag.
Over the last nine Ferencvaros matches, three goals or more have been scored on seven occasions and in four of their five European matches. Both teams have scored in three of the Hungarians' last four fixtures.
Qarabag’s recent outings have seen over 2.5 goals scored in two of their last three, with both teams also scoring in those two matches.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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