Premier League Stats: Key Stats from every match on Gameweek 28

| Friday 27th February 2026, 10:16am

Friday 27th February 2026, 10:16am

Arsenal are five points clear of Man City having played a game more than their title rivals and both sides have tough looking fixtures this weekend, taking on Leeds and Chelsea respectively.

Dan Thomas is here with all the key stats and best betting angles for those two matches and every other game in gameweek 28…

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Premier League Stats & Best Bets for Week 28

Wolves vs Aston Villa
Friday, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: Three of Aston Villa’s last four Premier League goals have been scored in the last five minutes of normal time, while they have netted nearly two thirds of their goals in the second half of games (24/38).

Best bet: We had a nice 13/5 winner when backing Leeds to draw with Villa last week and while it’s probably too much to expect basement boys Wolves to pull off a result in the Friday-night derby clash, there’s every chance Rob Edwards’ men can hold the hosts until half-time. Unai Emery’s troops have hit a bit of a wall in recent weeks, winning one of the last five in all competitions, and have been doing their best work late in games. We’ll back the Villans to edge the match in the second half.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa - Half-Time/Full-Time

Draw/Aston Villa

4/1

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland
Saturday, 12:30
Live on TNT Sports

Key stat: Only Manchester United are on a longer run of unbeaten Premier League matches than Bournemouth, while six of Sunderland last’s seven games have seen three goals or more.

Best bet: Whatever happens from here, Sunderland will have had a positive season but they appear to have hit the buffers with three league defeats on the bounce, including a disappointing 3-1 home reverse to Fulham last time out. Bournemouth could only manage a goalless draw at West Ham last weekend but it was very much in ‘point gained’ territory as it extended their unbeaten run to seven. We’ll back the Cherries here with a few goals added - they’ve breached the Over 2.5 line in 15 of their last 23.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland - Match Result And Total Goals Over/Under 2.5

Bournemouth Win & Over 2.5 Goals

8/5

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Burnley vs Brentford
Saturday, 15:00

Key stat: Brentford have won four of their last five Premier League away games, while seven of their last eight matches have seen fewer than three goals.

Best bet: Brentford suffered a surprise home defeat to Brighton last time out but their previous three matches featured away wins at Newcastle and Villa and a battling draw with Arsenal. They’ll fancy their chances of another road maximum at a Burnley side who’ve lost to Mansfield and West Ham in their last two at Turf Moor but Scott Parker’s men did get an excellent point at Chelsea last weekend. With that in mind, we’ll play it safe and back Brentford/Draw in a double with under 2.5 goals; the latter has landed in nine of Burnley’s 13 at home.

Burnley vs Brentford - Double Chance & Over/Under +2.5

Draw or Brentford and Under 2.5 goals

13/10

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Liverpool vs West Ham
Saturday, 15:00

Key stat: Liverpool have lost just one of their last 19 Premier League games against West Ham (W15 D3), winning seven of the last eight since a 3-2 away loss in November 2021.

Best bet: Liverpool were far from their best at Forest last weekend but Alexis Mac Allister’s 97th minute winner made it four wins in the last five for Arne Slot’s men and they are well and truly in the race for the Champions League spots. West Ham are in decent nick themselves, having only lost twice since the turn of the year, but they have a dreadful record against the Reds, who should have enough to pick up the three points. We can boost the win price from 1/3 to 8/5 by adding Under 3.5 Goals; this has landed in over 70% of two sides’ respective matches this season.

Liverpool vs West Ham - Match Result And Total Goals Over/Under 3.5

Liverpool Win & Under 3.5 Goals

8/5

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Newcastle vs Everton
Saturday, 15:00

Key stat: Everton have won the second most away points in the Premier League since David Moyes returned last January, while Newcastle are averaging just 1.33 points per game in the league this season, their lowest ratio in a season under Eddie Howe.

Best bet: This one promises to be an attritional battle, with Newcastle having lost four of their last five and Everton seeking to avoid a third consecutive defeat. Eddie Howe’s men succumbed to Aston Villa and Brentford in their last two at St James Park and face a Toffees side who seem far more comfortable on the road, having not lost in five away from the Hill Dickinson. The Everton/Draw double chance appeals at 21/20 but we’ll push the boat out and back the draw at 3/1; both sides would probably be happy with a point here.

Newcastle United vs Everton - Match Result

Draw

3/1

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Leeds United vs Manchester City
Saturday, 17:30
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: No team in the Premier League has seen both teams score in a higher percentage of their home games (69%) than Leeds, while the net has bulged at both ends in four of Man City’s last six.

Best bet: Manchester City get the chance to reduce the deficit to Arsenal to two points again as they take on Leeds a day before the Gunners are in action. Daniel Farke’s men will be tough opponents - they’ve only lost two of the last 16 - but Pep Guardiola’s troops have won seven of their last eight, scoring 18, and should have enough to pick up maximum points at Elland Road. We can boost the win price from 3/5 to 2/1 by adding both teams to score; this has landed in five of Leeds’ last six encounters.

Leeds United vs Manchester City - Match Result & Both Teams to Score

Manchester City & Yes

2/1

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: Only bottom side Wolves (15) have failed to score in more Premier League games this season than Nottingham Forest (13).

Best bet: Brighton stopped the losing rot with an excellent win at Brentford but goals remain at a premium for the Seagulls; they’ve scored five in the last seven in all competitions. They face a Forest outfit who’ve only netted twice in their last four in the Premier League and suffered defeat to Fenerbahce on Thursday night, although they went through on aggregate. The match odds looks too hard to call with both sides in scratchy form, but under 2.5 goals is an even money chance and that is the approach.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest - Total Goals

Under 2.5

1/1

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Fulham vs Tottenham
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: Since Christmas, 12 of Fulham’s 14 Premier League goals have been scored in the second half of matches.

Best bet: Fulham used to be one of Tottenham’s favourite away trips, but after winning seven consecutive league games at Craven Cottage between 2010 and 2023, Spurs have now lost their last two by an aggregate score of 5-0 and few would bet against another home win given the north Londoners’ woeful form. Marco Silva’s men are backable but at 11/10, we can back more goals in the second half at the same price and that’s the play here given the Cottagers have been slow starters this year.

Fulham vs Tottenham Hotspur - Highest Scoring Half

2nd Half

11/10

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace
Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: Benjamin Sesko has netted five goals in six league games for Manchester United since the departure of Ruben Amorim, averaging a goal every 37 minutes in this run.

Best bet: The Michael Carrick juggernaut powered on with victory at Everton on Monday night, thanks to yet another goal from flop-turned-hero Benjamin Sesko. The Slovenian’s striker’s fine finish made it four wins in five under the interim boss and they’ll fancy their chances against a Palace side in the midst of a civil war, with fans having fallen out with the ownership and manager Oliver Glasner. We’ll back a Red Devils win and another Sesko strike here.

Bet Builder: Manchester United to win and Benjamin Sesko to score anytime @ 13/8

Arsenal vs Chelsea
Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports

Key stat: Chelsea have received six Premier League red cards this season, more than any other club and their joint-most ever in a single season.

Best bet: The shock home draw with Burnley last weekend has left Chelsea in the middle of a bun fight for the Champions League places and with Liverpool and Manchester United in good form they will be desperate for a result at the Emirates on Sunday. Arsenal brushed off their own surprise draw against Wolves with a comprehensive win in the north London derby and will likely dominate possession here. Given the Blues saw Moisés Caicedo sent off against Mikel Arteta’s men earlier this season and have only received more reds against Liverpool (8) than the Gunners (7), the 4/1 on another sending off looks worth a dart.

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Away Team Red Card Yes/No

Yes

4/1

Bet Here

Odds correct at time of publishing.

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