Premier League Stats: Key Stats & Suggested Bet for Every Match in Gameweek 17

The final Premier League weekend before Christmas sees a number of tasty fixtures, including a Merseyside vs north London double header on Saturday evening and on-fire Aston Villa hosting Manchester United in the only Sunday game. 

Dan Thomas has all the latest stats and best betting angles as he brings you his Premier League stats preview for gameweek 17… 

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

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Premier League Stats & Best Bets for Week 17

• Newcastle United vs Chelsea 
• Saturday, 12:30 
• Live on TNT Sport 

Key stat: Newcastle have won eight of their last nine home matches in all competitions and have scored exactly two goals in each of their last five Premier League games at St James’ Park.   

Best bet: Newcastle went some way to shaking off last weekend’s derby disappointment by overcoming Fulham in midweek to reach the Carabao Cup semis and they’ve generally performed well in front of the home faithful this season. Chelsea ended a four-game winless run with a win over Everton and then beat Cardiff in midweek, but Enzo Maresca’s strange comments over a “lack of support” hint at some issues behind the scenes and we’ll back a Magpies win here. With Eddie Howe’s men conceding in their last nine top flight games, we’ll add BTTS to give us a nice price of 10/3.  

• Bournemouth vs Burnley 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Burnley have lost their last seven Premier League games, one short of the longest ever losing run in their league history, but Bournemouth have failed to score in their last two home league games. 

Best bet: As evidenced by the incredible 4-4 draw at Old Trafford on Monday, Bournemouth are the league’s great entertainers when they’re on the road - with 38 goals scored in eight matches - but it’s been far more sedate at the Vitality, with just 15 in their eight home encounters. The Cherries will surely have too much for struggling Burnley but we’ll add in under 3.5 goals and - to take the price over the 2/1 mark - throw in Kyle Walker to make a foul. The veteran full-back will be tasked with taking care of Antoine Semenyo, who looked back to his best in Manchester.  9/4 is the current price.

*To place this bet - you'll need to go to the Bet Builder tab on our Bournemouth vs Burnley Odds market page on betfred.com

• Brighton vs Sunderland 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Brighton have scored 18 goals (of 25) in the second half this season, while Sunderland have netted 14 of their 19 goals after the break.  

Best bet: Brighton are looking for their first win in four matches on Saturday but they are facing Sunderland at a good time, with the Black Cats losing no fewer than six players to AFCON this week. The visitors are having a fine season but they've only managed two wins on the road and we'll back the Seagulls to pick up three points here. With Fabian Hürzeler's men heavily favouring the second period - 11 of their 25 goals have been in the 76th minute or later - we'll take a chance on Draw/Brighton in the HT/FT market at a decent price.  

• Manchester City vs West Ham 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Man City have won their last five Premier League games against West Ham, scoring at least three goals each time. 

Best bet: This is one of the more one-sided Premier League match-ups, with City unbeaten in their last 19 top flight games against West Ham, 16 of them wins. The Hammers haven't won a game since early November, so our only task is working out how to get a decent price on a home win. Pep Guardiola's men have scored 13 in their last four, so we'll back them to clear the two-goal handicap at an odds-against quote.  

• Wolves vs Brentford 
• Saturday, 15:00 

Key stat: Since the start of last season, only Wolves (17) have lost more away Premier League matches than Brentford (15), with the Bees losing the last four in a row. 

Best bet: Wolves were minutes away from a fantastic point at the Emirates last weekend and they have definitely been showing signs of improvement under Rob Edwards. If they are to finally pick up their first win of the season, Brentford are probably the ideal opponents, with the Bees losing seven of their eight of the road this season, including a very meek defeat at struggling Spurs. We'll back the Old Gold to at last give their fans something to cheer about.  

• Tottenham vs Liverpool 
• Saturday, 17:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: There have been at least three goals in 14 of the last 16 Premier League meetings between Tottenham and Liverpool, but Spurs have failed to score in the first half in six of their last seven, while the Reds have been goalless at the break in three of their last four. 

Best bet: The two matches between the sides last season produced a total of 15 goals and it's a fixture that usually guarantees entertainment - it's the highest scoring match-up in Premier League history with 206 goals. With neither side looking solid defensively, we can expect more goalmouth action under lights on Saturday but it may be a slow-burner with both teams tending to do more of their work after the break. We'll back both teams to score in the second half at just shy of 2/1.  

• Everton vs Arsenal 
• Saturday, 20:00 

Key stat: Arsenal have conceded the first goal in five of their last seven Premier League away games, including each of the last three in a row. 

Best bet: Arsenal showed great spirit in scoring a vital late winner against Wolves last weekend but Mikel Arteta will be a little concerned about recent form, which has seen defeats at Villa Park and dropped points at Sunderland and Chelsea. Everton will be right up for the battle under the lights at the Hill Dickinson and I considered the 5/1 on a home win but, given Arsenal's propensity to start slowly, we'll back the Toffees to score the first goal at bigger than 2/1. 

• Leeds United vs Crystal Palace 
• Saturday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: No team has won more away Premier League points in 2025 than Crystal Palace (34), while the Eagles have won the most away games (10). 

Best bet: Leeds have been impressive since switching formation against Man City, with a fantastic win over Chelsea then good points against Liverpool and away at Brentford but they face a tough challenge against top travellers Crystal Palace. I’d usually be concerned about the Eagles’ Thursday/Sunday schedule so a Saturday night game is even tougher but Oliver Glasner changed all 11 players for their Conference League match in midweek and 15/8 on the best away side in the league is too big to turn down.  

• Aston Villa vs Manchester United 
• Sunday, 16:30 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Only Manchester City have won more home Premier League points in 2025 than Aston Villa, who have won their last nine games in a row in all competitions.  

Best bet: Manchester United are looking for their third away win on the bounce, having beaten both Wolves and Palace in recent weeks, but I was still surprised to see red-hot Villa at well over even money to secure their 10th victory in succession. United's game against Bournemouth was entertaining, but they were defensively all over the place at times and Unai Emery's men have been ruthless at home, with wins over Arsenal and Man City already. A Villa win it is.  

• Fulham vs Nottingham Forest 
• Monday, 20:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Fulham's Harry Wilson has been involved in six goals in his last four Premier League games (3 goals, 3 assists). Overall, he's been involved in eight goals this season (5 goals, 3 assists). 

Best bet: Harry Wilson probably wouldn't have expected to top finding the net against Spurs from the touchline this season, but the Welshman scored an even better goal in the Crystal Palace match before adding to his tally at Burnley last weekend. The former Liverpool man was often used as an impact sub last season but has become one of the first names on the teamsheet this campaign, adding goals and assists to his attacking flair. We'll back him to continue his scoring run at 12/5.  

Sports Welcome Offer

New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

Sports Welcome Offer

New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 160
• Returns: 117.06
• Profit: -42.94

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