Premier League Stats: Key Stats from every match in Week 38

Arsenal have wrapped up the title but Champions League places, European qualification and top flight survival remain on the line. 

For the final time this season, Dan Thomas picks out the key Premier League Stats and best bets for all 10 games on Sunday afternoon...

*You can check out all of our Premier League Odds & Betting Markets over on betfred.com

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New customers only. Deposit via Debit Card & place first bet £10+ (1/1+) on Sports in 7 days. £30 Sports & £20 Acca Free Bets within 10 hrs of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility, payment excl. & T&Cs Apply.

Premier League Stats & Best Bets for Week 38's Matches.

• Brighton vs Manchester United 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Bruno Fernandes has provided 20 assists for Manchester United this season and needs just one more to break the Premier League record held by Thierry Henry and Kevin de Bruyne 

Best bet: Roy Keane wasn't very happy, describing Manchester United players celebrating last week's assist with Bruno Fernandes as a "circus" but the show will surely continue at the Amex with the Portuguese looking to break the record. The Red Devils have secured Champions League football but Michael Carrick won't want them to take their foot off the gas and they tend to finish the season in style; only Arsenal have won on the final day more times.  

• Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Burnley have lost just one of their last 10 matches against Wolves, who have not won a single away game all season 

Best bet: Both of these sides are guaranteed to finish in the bottom two, but the battle for the wooden spoon remains alive even though basement boys Wolves have won three games all season. Given their wretched away form and Burnley putting up a very creditable fight at the Emirates in midweek, we'll side with the Clarets here in what is likely to be a fairly turgid finale.  

• Crystal Palace vs Arsenal 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: As a top flight side, Crystal Palace have never lost when playing their final game of the season at home (W8, D4)  

Best bet: There will be a party atmosphere at Selhurst Park on Sunday with the home fans sending their team off to the Conference League final and the away support celebrating their first title win in 22 years. Both sides are likely to rotate heavily here with the European finals in mind which could make it a more open game than it would ordinarily be. With nothing on the line for Arsenal we'll back the Eagles to avoid defeat in a high-scoring encounter.   

• Fulham vs Newcastle United 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: No side has drawn fewer home matches than Fulham this season (2), while none of Newcastle's 17 top flight trips to Craven Cottage have ended all square 

Best bet: After an alarming slump in early spring, Newcastle are finishing the season in decent fashion, with two wins and a draw in their last three, in contrast to Fulham who've only picked up a solitary point in the same timeframe. But Eddie Howe's men look too short to get behind at 13/10 given their poor away form across the season, so we'll back the incredible draw-less run in this fixture to continue. 

• Liverpool vs Brentford 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Only Manchester City have scored more first half goals at home than Liverpool this season (19), while three of the last four Reds games have broached the over 3.5 goals line 

Best bet: An Anfield finale for two club stalwarts in Mo Salah and Andy Robertson should have been a day for celebration for Liverpool but with doubts swirling around about Arne Slot's future it could make for a strange atmosphere. Brentford still have a chance of European football and should come out of the blocks strongly here, while the hosts are usually good for an early goal in front of the home support. We'll back both teams to score before the break. 

• Manchester City vs Aston Villa 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Ollie Watkins has been involved in eight goals in his last nine Premier League appearances (6G, 2A), just one fewer than his first 29 this season 

Best bet: I was originally looking at going low on the bookings for this one given neither team has anything to play for but with 0-15 points priced up at 6/4, we'll head instead to the goalscorer markets and Ollie Watkins. It's not been confirmed at the time of writing, but all the indications are that the 30-year-old will be in the England World Cup squad after he timed his return to form perfectly. And what better way to celebrate a call-up than scoring at the Etihad? We'll back Villa's number 11 to find the net at bigger than 2/1. 

• Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Nottingham Forest are winless in all seven of their Premier League matches against Bournemouth, who are unbeaten in 17 top flight games 

Best bet: It's safe to say Andoni Iraola is leaving Bournemouth on a high, with the Cherries still in with a chance of making a Champions League spot if results go their way. The south coast outfit were unlucky not to beat Man City on Tuesday and should have enough in the tank to beat a Forest side who are safe and still licking their wounds from the Europa League hammering at Villa. With Bournemouth just 11/10 in the match odds we'll boost it to 23/10 by backing both teams to score; the Tricky Trees showed plenty of attacking intent at Old Trafford last time out.  

• Sunderland vs Chelsea 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Sunderland have recovered a league-high 22 points from losing positions this season, the second highest ever from a newly promoted side 

Best bet: Sunderland's excellent 3-1 at Everton last weekend means they are still in with a shout of a European spot, while Chelsea need a win to secure Europa League entry. This should make for an open game, with more action likely in the second half given Sunderland's propensity for a slow start (only 18 of their 46 goals have been scored before the break). We'll back both teams to find the net in the second half. 

• Tottenham vs Everton 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Richarlison has been involved in 15 goals this season (11G, 4A) and has five goal involvements in his last five matches against Everton (4G, 1A) 

Best bet: Despite winning only two matches at home all season, Spurs have been chalked up as odds-on favourites here, but the motivation factor is doing some heavy lifting with those prices and we will leave that well alone. Instead, we'll head to the goalscorer markets and back Richarlison to notch against his former side, where he still has hero status after helping the Toffees in their own relegation battle in 2022. The Brazilian is by no means a technician but he has a knack of being in the right place at the right time and is always up for the battle.  

• West Ham United vs Leeds United 
• Sunday, 16:00 
• Live on Sky Sports 

Key stat: Leeds are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games and have won seven of their away matches against West Ham - against no side have they won more on the road 

Best bet: Much like Tottenham, West Ham are odds-on in the match odds here thanks to their greater need than Leeds, but the Whites have shown no sign of downing tools since securing safety and they won't roll over for the Hammers. Only three points will do for the hosts so they'll likely adopt a more attacking style than usual but this will mean Daniel Farke's men can pick them off on the break. We'll back a draw with both teams scoring.  

Dan Thomas Premier League Stats P&L 2025/26:

• Stakes: 355
• Returns: 270.83
• Profit: -84.17