Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction: Magpies to profit against faltering Villans

Newcastle United welcome Aston Villa to St. James' Park on Sunday (14:00 GMT, Sky Sports Main Event) in the Premier League. The Magpies have won three of their last four matches in the top flight, while Villa are winless in their previous two.
Below you will find my Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction, featuring the latest match odds and team news.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
*Odds correct as of the time of publication
Team News
Bruno Guimaraes picked up an ankle injury in the 3-0 win over PSV Eindhoven in the Uefa Champions League on Wednesday but Eddie Howe thinks that there is a chance the club captain could feature on Sunday.
Dan Burn (rib) and Will Osula (ankle) are reportedly in contention to be available, but Jacob Murphy, Tino Livramento (both hamstring), Emil Krafth (knee) and Fabian Schar (ankle) remain confined to the treatment room.
Villa midfielder John McGinn is set for a spell on the sidelines with a knee problem, while goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez is suffering with a calf issue.
Boubacar Kamara and Ross Barkley (both knee) are also ruled out, with the former set for months out of action.
Amadou Onana is available again after his own injury absence.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
- Newcastle: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Hall; Miley, Tonali, Joelinton; Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon
- Aston Villa: Bizot; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Maatsen; Tielemans, Onana; Sancho, Rogers, Buendia; Watkins
Newcastle have won seven of their 11 home matches in the Premier League this season and they are 1/1 (implied probability of 50%) to emerge victorious here.
The two teams played out a goalless draw in the reverse fixture at Villa Park back in August, and the stalemate on this occasion is priced at 11/4.
Villa are 13/5 to collect the three points, and they have won four of their previous six away trips in the top flight.
Newcastle forward Nick Woltemade is the 13/10 favourite to score anytime, having scored seven goals in the Premier League this term.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Stats
- Newcastle have won 7 of their 11 home league games this season
- BTTS - Yes has landed in 5 of Villa's past 6 away games in the PL
Match Result - Newcastle @ 1/1
Following last week's defeat at home to Everton, Villa boss Unai Emery alluded to his frustrations with where his squad is right now as he tries to navigate the Villans in a potential title race as well as a European campaign.
Two games without a win leaves the club in a position they haven't been in for months and after a victory at Fenerbahce in the Uefa Europa League on Thursday, Villa will look to get back to winning ways in the Premier League.
I struggle to see this happening on Tyneside because Newcastle tend to deliver their best stuff on home soil. Seven wins from 11 matches is not to be ignored and the Magpies might be slightly more refreshed than their opponents after an extra day of rest and recovery.
The hosts have won three of their past four games in the top flight and they have a lot more momentum than Villa right now, and this might be the difference on Sunday.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/7
Villa have not scored in their last two league games, so there will be an onus to be more clinical in the final third against Newcastle. With the quality that they possess in attack, they can certainly ask questions of the home defence.
I like the look of BTTS - Yes as it has been a winning selection in five of the visitors' previous six road trips in the league. As well as this, there have been goals at both ends in six of Newcastle's past seven home appearances in the Premier League.
So the recent form for both sides points to them both getting on the scoresheet here.
Odds correct at time of publishing.
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