Brighton vs Leeds Prediction: Seagulls to continue winning run against Whites

Brighton’s form has been patchy this season with the Seagulls winning three, losing three and drawing three in the Premier League so far. Fabian Hurzeler’s side need to pick up a victory against Leeds after losing on the road against Manchester United and Arsenal. The Seagulls take on the Whites at the Amex Stadium on Saturday with kick-off set for 15:00.

Leeds are a point behind Brighton in the table and so the incentive is there to claim three points away from home and leapfrog their opponents. However, the Whites have not even scored on their last seven trips to the Amex Stadium and they could be in for another difficult trip to the South Coast. Below you can find my Brighton vs Leeds predictions. 

Team News

Kaoru Mitoma has not played for Brighton since September due to an ankle injury but is edging closer to a return. Joel Veltman, who has been out with a calf issue, and Brajan Gruda, sidelined with a knee problem, have both stepped up their recoveries and could be ready to feature.

However, James Milner picked up a muscle injury in the defeat at Manchester United and is likely to miss the clash against boyhood club Leeds. The Seagulls will also be without long-term absentees Adam Webster, Solly March and Jack Hinshelwood.

Premier League Odds

Leeds, meanwhile, should have Gabriel Gudmundsson available after the defender was forced off in the first half against West Ham when falling awkwardly. Manager Daniel Farke said afterwards that he hoped it was just a bruise so the Sweden international will have been assessed this week.

Whites winger Willy Gnonto could feature having been sidelined for over six weeks following hernia surgery and calf problems.

Today's Football Fixtures

Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea Odds

Tottenham are priced at 7/4 to win this game, giving them an implied win probability of 36%. Chelsea are 8/5 to find the three points and a draw is 5/2, showing just how evenly-contested the odds makers believe this game will be.

Over 2.5 goals is 8/11, BTTS is 4/7 and Richarlison is the favourite to score first at 5/1.

Brighton to win @ 9/10

The Seagulls are yet to lose at home this season and have enjoyed two eye-catching victories, claiming a 2-1 win over Manchester City in August before another 2-1 triumph over Newcastle in October. Brighton have also drawn with Tottenham and Fulham at the Amex Stadium this campaign.

When it comes to Leeds, the Seagulls have a superior record over the Whites in the Premier League era, having never lost in their six meetings while Leeds have failed to win in any of their previous nine trips to the Amex Stadium, last winning down at Brighton in League One 16 years ago.

Both Teams to score @ 8/11

It may seem odd to back Leeds to score when looking at the Whites’ previous trips to Brighton. That’s because the Seagulls have kept a clean sheet in their last seven home matches against Leeds, which is their longest run without conceding against an opponent in club history. In those games, 30 different players have hit a shot without success.

However, Leeds have never gone eight away league games without a goal against another side and so will be hoping to end the record on Saturday. What lands in the Whites’ favour is that each of Brighton’s home matches this season have seen both teams score. While the Seagulls have found the net, their defence has also been breached.

Leeds have scored in four of their last five Premier League matches and so will have confidence they can finally end their barren run in Sussex.

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