Premier League Stats: Arsenal vs Aston Villa headlines five Saturday fixtures

We’ve got five Premier League fixtures coming our way on Saturday afternoon with Arsenal vs Aston Villa the headline act at 17:30. To provide you with some tips for your betting, I’ve taken a look at each match and picked out some key Premier League stats for you to consider. 

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth 

Having demolished Wolves in midweek, Newcastle are at home again this Saturday lunchtime (12:30, TNT Sports 1), as they host Bournemouth. Alexander Isak is the man everybody is talking about and he has now scored in eight consecutive Premier League matches, as he closes in on Jamie Vardy’s record of 11. 

His brace against Wolves took his total to 15 for the season, while 11 of those have come in his last eight league matches. Unsurprisingly, he is just 4/5 to score anytime v Bournemouth, and 5/2 to open the scoring. 

Only Erling Haaland and Mo Salah have had more shots than Bournemouth’s Antoine Semenyo (79) this season while he also ranks fifth for fouls with 39, so adding him to your bet builder may be a smart idea. 

Newcastle have won their last nine games in a row in all competitions and are priced at 4/6 to make it 10 on the spin, while Bournemouth haven’t lost in 10, and can be backed at 4/1 to take all three points. 

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Odds

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace

After three defeats in a row to Liverpool, Manchester City and Aston Villa in the cup, West Ham got back on track with a thrilling 3-2 win over Fulham on Tuesday night. They are priced at 8/5 to win this game, while Crystal Palace are 7/4 to secure their fourth away win of the campaign. 

Will Hughes has picked up seven yellow cards this season, a total only Sasa Lukic and Boubakary Soumare can beat, with the Palace midfielder having committed an average of two fouls per 90 minutes this season. He is priced at 5/2 to pick up another yellow which looks to offer value in that particular market.

Tomas Soucek and Lucas Paqueta lead the running for West Ham in terms of yellow cards with six apiece, and they are priced at 7/2 and 13/8 to pick up bookings in what should be a tight encounter. 

Over 2.5 goals has only come in during 43 per cent of Crystal Palace’s matches this season, which only puts them above Everton for that particular statistic. West Ham sit marginally above the average at 60 per cent, so the 1/1 on offer for under 2.5 goals is worth thinking about. Palace have kept two clean sheets on the bounce and conceded just two goals in their last five, so they are 11/4 to keep West Ham at bay in this one. 

West Ham United vs Crystal Palace Odds

Brentford vs Liverpool 

Let’s start with this incredible Liverpool team who have slightly taken their foot off the gas in recent weeks. They earned a draw against Champions League contenders Nottingham Forest last time out, which now means they have won just once in their last four outings in all competitions. That victory came against Accrington Stanley in the FA Cup, so they will hope to get back to winning ways in the league here.

They are 1/2 to get the victory, while Brentford shouldn’t be ruled out at 5/1. They have the third-best home record in the league this season having won seven of their 11 matches at the Gtech Community Stadium, amassing 23 points on home soil.

Their home matches have been bonkers quite frankly as they have scored 29 and conceded 21 in those 11 fixtures. No Premier League ground has seen more goals and with the attacking quality on show, over 2.5 goals is just 4/11 while BTTS is 4/9. 

Of course we have to talk about Mo Salah as well. He’s the top scorer with 18 league goals so far, and they have come from 41 shots on target, and 81 shots in total. He’s 4/5 to score anytime and 100/30 to score before anybody else, which would assist him in his race with Erling Haaland and Isak for the Golden Boot. 

Brentford vs Liverpool Odds

Leicester City vs Fulham

Both teams tasted defeat in midweek and Ruud van Nistelrooy’s honeymoon period is over at Leicester as they have now lost their last six in the Premier League. The Foxes are priced at 11/4 to get back to winning ways, while Fulham are the favourites at 19/20 to win their fourth away game of the campaign. 

I think there is decent value in backing Fulham to get amongst the goals here. Marco Silva’s men have scored at least two goals in each of their last five fixtures, while they also found the net twice at Anfield at the start of December. They are 4/5 to score over 1.5 goals against a Leicester outfit that has conceded 19 home goals in 11 league matches. 

I also think cards are worth considering, given the two most ill-disciplined players in the league meet at the King Power. Fulham’s Lukic picked up another yellow card in midweek, taking his total for the season to eight. No player in the league can beat that total, but it can be matched by Leicester’s Soumare, while he has also committed 38 fouls in 16 appearances. 

The combative midfielders could both be in line to pick up yellows, with Soumare priced at 21/10 and Lukic available at 7/4. The double comes in at around 15/2, which feels like good value in what could be a scrappy fixture. 

Leicester City vs Fulham Odds

Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Arsenal came from behind to beat rivals Tottenham Hotspur in midweek, and they are 1/2 to follow it up with another success against Aston Villa. They are still unbeaten at home this season in the league having won seven and drawn three at the Emirates so far. Villa’s record on the road is middling as they have won four and lost five of their 10 matches away from Villa Park, but they can be backed at 6/1 to take maximum points. 

Ollie Watkins is the top scorer from either side with nine goals to his name so far and those goals have come from 26 shots on target and 54 shots in total. He’s 5/2 to score at anytime and 7/1 to open the scoring while Arsenal’s leading marksman Kai Havertz is 13/8 to add to his seven league goals so far. 

Arsenal are usually fairly frugal when it comes to corners. Only Manchester United’s matches have seen fewer flag-kicks than the nine they have averaged this term while Villa are also in the bottom half for this statistics, averaging a total of 10.2 in each of their matches. It means under 10.5 corners at 4/6 is worth considering from a statistical point of view.

I’ll also throw Morgan Rogers into the mix for a yellow card. He, along with Matty Cash and Jurrien Timber, have picked up five yellow cards this season, with the attacking midfielder making 26 fouls, which is far more than either defender (20 and 16 respectively). As a result, the 16/5 on him to pick up a yellow card in this tricky away game. 

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Odds

Offers

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Acca Flex: Place a pre-match 5+ leg Football accumulator and get a CASH bonus up to 100% if all of your selections win or your money back as CASH if one leg lets you down.

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