Plymouth vs Leeds Prediction: Home Park to play its part

Plymouth Argyle welcome Leeds United to Home Park on Tuesday evening (19:45) for their FA Cup fourth-round replay.

The hosts will be in high spirits after they picked up their first away win of the season in the Championship as they defeated Swansea City 1-0 over the weekend. 

Leeds were also 1-0 winners at Bristol City which saw them briefly move up to second in the table.

Match Odds

Plymouth are 10/3 to win this replay in 90 minutes. A draw can be backed at the same odds, while Leeds are 7/10 to progress to the fifth round.

Over 2.5 goals is valued at 1/2 and both teams to score is on offer at 8/15.

Team News

Plymouth's January additions Lino Sousa, Alfie Devine and Darko Gyabi are unable to feature in this clash. Sousa was not registered for the original tie, Devine is cup-tied, and Gyabi cannot face his parent club. 

There are no fresh injury concerns for Ian Foster to deal with heading into Tuesday.

Stuart Dallas, Pascal Struijk and Karl Darlow are all in the treatment room for Leeds.

Plymouth to win in 90 minutes @ 10/3

After picking up their first league away win of the season, the Pilgrims will be full of confidence heading into this replay against high-flying Leeds. The majority (30) of their 36 points collated this season have come at Home Park, where they have been a very tough nut to crack for most opponents.

Leeds have beaten them this term at Elland Road in what was a close 2-1 contest, but the stats would show that this game will be much tougher for Daniel Farke's men.

After losing Steven Schumacher to Stoke City just before Christmas, you thought that Plymouth's momentum would take a huge hit but it hasn't. They have lost just once since he left the building and Foster has just secured the Greens their first back-to-back victories of the season.

This, coupled with their strength on home soil, should get them through this replay on Tuesday.

Morgan Whittaker to score anytime @ 21/10

Much of Plymouth's joy this season has been caused by Morgan Whittaker. The young winger has arguably been the best signing of the season in the second tier pound-for-pound.

Argyle spent a club-record £1 million on him in the summer from Swansea, whom he scored against at the weekend. The Derby County academy graduate is the joint-top scorer in the Championship with 16 goals in 29 appearances - he has simply been outstanding this year.

So much so that Argyle turned down a bid from Italian giants Lazio in January. They are all set for a club-record sale when the time does come for Whittaker to depart Devon.

He has been one of the most dangerous players in the division this season and Leeds will know all about him ahead of Tuesday's meeting. They will think that they know what to expect, but given Whittaker's devastating form, it's fair to say they have about as much knowledge as the rest of the teams that have faced him and failed to contain.

Whittaker has found the back of the net in five of his last six matches in all competitions, so we think that 21/10 offers excellent value for him to do so in this fixture.