Ipswich Town are looking to get back to winning ways as they travel to Millwall in the Championship on Wednesday night (20:00). Kieran McKenna’s side are now without a win in their last four games, a run that has seen them knocked out of the FA Cup by Maidstone United and fall down to fourth in the Championship table. Meanwhile Millwall’s battle against relegation is becoming more and more serious as they struggle to find form under Joe Edwards.
Below I’ve assessed this second-tier clash which will have a big impact on both ends of the table.
Kevin Nisbet is on his way back from injury but this one is likely to come too soon while Ryan Longman is out until March. Brooke Norton-Cuffy was absent for the game against Coventry but he could return if Edwards deems him fit to start. Meanwhile, teenage sensation Romain Esse scored on his first start under the new boss and is likely to remain in the team after a good performance.
George Hirst is still out for Ipswich Town and January arrival Kieffer Moore is expected to lead the line once again. Cameron Burgess has returned from the Asian Cup and could come in to solidify a backline that has been leaking goals of late. Brandon Williams could also return after a spell on the sidelines.
Millwall may be at home but they aren’t the favourites to win, as Ipswich are priced at 21/20 to take all three points. If you fancy the hosts, they are available at 5/2, while a draw is priced at 9/4. BTTS is 4/5, and over 2.5 goals is EVS.
Ipswich Town to win @ 21/20
Over the course of the season, Ipswich Town have been very good, and Millwall have been very bad. Despite the slight dip in form from the visitors, they are still a clear class above Millwall and I’m always happy to back them at any price over EVS. McKenna’s men are still working out how to cope without Hirst but Moore is a strong replacement and they should be able to deal with Millwall’s physicality.
The Lions went 1-0 up at Coventry in midweek, but wilted in the second half, eventually losing 2-1. Worryingly, they didn’t even have a shot on target after they scored in the 15th minute and were clearly second-best after taking the lead early on. They now haven’t won since New Year’s Day, and have lost five of their last six. Just four points above the drop they need to pick up points here, but I just don’t see it happening.
Ipswich Town to win and over 2.5 goals @ 12/5
This feels like a huge price for what it offers. I’ve already given my reasoning for why Ipswich should win this game, but the over 2.5 goals shout boosts our odds massively. After two 0-0 draws at the turn of the new year, normal service has resumed at Portman Road and five of their last six games in all competitions have finished with more than 2.5 goals.
The one outlier there was the 1-1 draw with Leicester in which they rescued a point late on against the best side in the division. Against weaker opposition, they can find the net with ease but they are also susceptible to conceding goals, with their last clean sheet coming on the 1st January.
Millwall meanwhile are not as goal-happy but their last outing did end with over 2.5 goals. They also haven’t failed to score at home since the 25th November, when they lost 3-0 to Coventry in Edwards’ first game at the Den. Since then, they’ve notched against the likes of Leicester City and Sunderland. The reverse fixture ended 3-1 to McKenna’s men and I’m expecting a similar scoreline here.
Check out our other Football Betting Tips here.