Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction: Must win clash for Liverpool

Jurgen Klopp’s quest to win the title in his final season at Anfield continues as Liverpool host Burnley on Saturday 10 February, with kick-off at 15:00.

The Reds are top of the league at the time of writing, but that may not be the case by the time they kick-off, as Manchester City could leapfrog them with a win in the lunchtime game. The pressure may be on for the Reds to respond, and here is how we see this one panning out. 

Team News

Liverpool are sweating on the fitness of influential midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai after he missed the defeat to Arsenal with a thigh issue. Ibrahima Konate was sent off late at the Emirates and with Joel Matip out injured, Jarell Quansah could come back into the centre of defence. Kostas Tskimikas is close to a return, while Mohamed Salah is expected to miss this one but won’t be out for much longer.

Burnley are without Nathan Redmond for the rest of the season after his freak injury as is Luca Koleosho but Jordan Beyer could return for this one after a spell on the sidelines. Vincent Kompany could well start David Datro Fofana after he scored twice off the bench against Fulham. 

Match Odds

Liverpool are the heavy favourites for this one, priced at 1/7 to win, while Burnley are 16/1 to take all three points. A draw can be backed at 7/1, BTTS is 10/11 and over 2.5 goals is 1/3. 

BTTS Yes @ 10/11

Most people, the bookmakers included, clearly feel this will be an easy home win for Liverpool, but I’m not so sure. Burnley have drastically improved over the last month and although it may not be enough to keep them up, they are certainly competitive in every match they play now. 

Now, both teams have scored in five of their last seven away league matches, and with the addition of David Datro Fofana I believe they will be able to cause Liverpool problems. I’m not saying they are going to win this game, but they can certainly score a goal, especially with Konate out injured and Alisson and Virgil van Dijk both low on confidence after their horror show against Arsenal.

Liverpool are almost certain to find the net with all of their attacking talent, but I believe the odds of 10/11 for both teams to score is certainly worth a shot. The last away game Burnley failed to score in was against Wolves on the 5th December. Not an obvious pick perhaps, but one that offers good value in my eyes. 

Burnley +2 handicap @ 8/5

Here we go. If I believe both teams will score, I also like the look of Burnley to win with a +2 handicap added. Vincent Kompany has tightened up his team since they seemingly conceded five goals in every game towards the start of the season. In the last month they have drawn with Fulham and Luton, lost 3-1 to Man City and 2-0 to Liverpool. They aren’t getting hammered anymore and for this reason I think they can get a respectable result at Anfield. 

In the reverse fixture, it took until Diogo Jota’s goal in the 90th minute to put the game to bed, while the Clarets were reasonably organised against Man City in that defeat. I think they’ve been unfortunate in recent weeks not to gain better results, and even a Liverpool win by a one-goal margin would settle this bet as a winner. I think Burnley will give a good account of themselves at Anfield, and this is a smart pick. 

Check out our Football Betting Tips here.