Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction: Farke’s side to get back on track in style

 | April 08 | 

4 mins read

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Leeds United's 15-game unbeaten streak in the Championship finally came to an end on Saturday as the Whites went down 2-1 at Coventry City. There's an early opportunity to get back on track though, as they host Sunderland at Elland Road on Tuesday evening (KO, 19:45).

Below we have previewed the clash, detailing all the latest team news and match odds, and offered our Leeds vs Sunderland prediction for this Sky Sports Main Event pick.

Leeds vs Sunderland Betting Tips

  • Leeds -2 handicap @ 21/10
  • Leeds half-time/full-time @ 9/10

Leeds head into midweek's match in third, two points behind leaders Leicester City - who have played a game fewer - and one point behind Ipswich Town. Time is of the essence though, with less than a month left of the 2023/24 campaign.

Sunderland will probably be glad to see the back of this season after their play-off charged fizzled out a long time ago. April hasn't been kind to them either, with a 5-1 home defeat to Blackburn Rovers at the start of the month followed by a goalless draw with Bristol City on Saturday.

The Black Cats did win their last away game 2-0 at Cardiff City, however.

Team News

Whites head coach Daniel Farke could make changes to his side after a first league defeat of 2024 on Saturday. Joel Piroe scored 10 minutes after his introduction against Coventry and will be pushing for a start ahead of Patrick Bamford at the point of attack, while Wilfried Gnonto could replace Dan James after making his return from injury on the weekend.

Glen Kamara was hooked at half-time of that defeat and could be replaced in the engine room by teenage sensation Archie Gray, with Conor Roberts deployed at right-back.

Ukrainian striker Nazariy Rusyn has missed Sunderland's last four matches with a calf issue and will likely have to settle for a place on the bench - even if he is passed fit - which should mean Jobe Bellingham continues in attack.

Dennis Cirkin and Jenson Seelt are among those still out injured for the North East side.

Match Odds

34 point separate these sides in the table, and Leeds' superiority over Tuesday's visitors is reflected in their odds of 2/7, which imply they have have a 77.8% chance of claiming all three points at Elland Road. Sunderland's odds of victory are 15/2, which gives them an 11.2% chance under the same parameters, while the draw can be backed at 4/1.

The Black Cats won the reverse fixture 1-0 at the Stadium of Light in December - it's 4/5 for a repeat of both teams to score - No, and 10/11 if you fancy at least a goal on either side this time around.

Leeds -2 handicap @ 21/10

Sunderland emerged victorious the last time these teams met, courtesy of a second-half strike from Bellingham. Mike Dodds was interim manager for that match, just as he is now, but it's fair to say the mood around the club now has sunk even lower. There's very little for them to play for except pride in their remaining five games, something that has been very evident in their last two outings.

Leeds, meanwhile, will be hurting after their title - and automatic promotion - tilt took a hit on Saturday. Ipswich did lose earlier in the day which means they haven't lost ground on the Tractor Boys, but Leicester's late win over Birmingham City has pushed the West Yorkshire club out of the top two.

With so much on the line, and with games fast running out, I expect the Whites to respond emphatically on Tuesday. The -2 handicap selection requires Farke's side to win by at least three goals, something they have done eight times in the Championship this season.

Sunderland have lost by a margin of three goals on three occasions this term, including earlier this month against Blackburn.

Leeds have scored at least three goals in three of their last five matches at Elland Road, while Sunderland have shipped five (v Blackburn) and four (v Southampton) in their last five, and failed to score in two of them.

Leeds half-time/full-time @ 9/10

Leeds have been in front at half-time in 18 of their 41 league matches this season, and in 11 of their 20 at home. The latter statistic ranks them first in the Championship, and they have a flawless record when taking the lead at half-time, winning all 18.

Sunderland aren't particularly fast starters away from home, taking the lead at half-time in just four of their 20 games on the road and going behind in six of them.

If Leeds are in front at the end of the first 45 minutes, it's very hard to imagine them throwing it away for the first time this season, particularly at such a crucial time of the campaign.

Check out the rest of our Football Betting Tips here.

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