Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction: Both teams to score in Saturday evening encounter

 | 26th April | 

6 mins read

Daniele Fisichella Serie A Tips

The title has gone but whenever Juventus and AC Milan meet, it is a game with plenty of pride on the line and with both teams on their way back to the Champions League next season, we should see the shackles come off and the two sets of players play with a sense of freedom.

Our Serie A expert Daniele Fisichella has the assignment for this one, so check out his preview below along with his two Best Bets as part of his Juventus vs AC Milan predictions for us at Betfred Insights...

Juventus vs AC Milan Betting Tips

  • Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/5
  • First Goal Time - 31-60 @ 9/5

*Click on the odds to add the selections directly to your betslip on betfred.com (or app).

On Monday the Rossoneri were defeated for the sixth consecutive time by their city rivals and had to watch them celebrating the Scudetto right in their faces.

Twenty-four hours later Juventus were inches away from going to extra-time against Lazio in Coppa Italia semi-final before Arek Milik scored the decisive goal. A sweet defeat for the Bianconeri, after a poor performance, that gives them a chance to achieve silverware after three trophyless seasons.

AC Milan don’t even have a cup competition to give sense to the last month of their see-sawing campaign.

With three defeats and a draw in the space of eleven days Stefano Pioli’s men lost first the opportunity to play in the Europa League semi-final then the pride in front of their fans.

Not being able to match Inter’s strength and consistency has been a common factor for both Juventus and AC Milan.

But these clubs share also the uncertainty that looms over their respective managers, as rumours intensify about who could replace Massimiliano Allegri and Pioli this summer.

Finishing runners-up or third in Serie A won’t matter too much, given Italy has now added a fifth team to next year’s Champions League contingent.

AC Milan would need to be strengthened in all positions if they want to remain competitive, whereas Juve, almost extraordinarily, haven’t yet found their own identity and too often seem to play with the handbrake on.

Given the quality of the players on both sides and the fact there’s almost nothing at stake, this game on Saturday could end being quite spectacular.

Unless, as it is often the case in Serie A’s clash of giants, the fear of losing and adding more misery to an already turbulent season will prevail. In which case we might witness a repeat of the cagey 1-0 win Juve achieved in the reverse fixture.

Team News

In the Bianconeri’s camp, Allegri is monitoring the conditions of his players after Tuesday's efforts in Coppa Italia. Vlahovic and Chiesa should play up front, but Yildiz is also in contention for a start.

Locatelli will be assisted by Rabiot and McKennie. Cambiaso is ahead of Weah to play as right wing-back whereas on the opposite flank Iling Junior might be preferred to Kostic. Gatti returns from suspension.

The Rossoneri are without three important players, Theo Hernandez, Calabria and Tomori who are all suspended. Pioli will rely on Thiaw in the centre and Florenzi on the left, Musah or Terracciano will play as left-back. Bennacer will replace Adli and up front Giroud will play from the first minute.

Juventus vs AC Milan Odds

*Please click on the link above to be taken to the main Juventus vs AC Milan page on betfred.com (or app) for all the live betting prices on this match.

Despite being five points behind their rivals, Juventus are favourite (even odds) to win on Saturday evening.

The hosts have only won two of the last nine games in all competitions and haven’t beaten AC Milan at home since 2019. That season, with Massimiliano Allegri as manager, the Bianconeri did the double over the Rossoneri who have won two of the last three games at the ‘Allianz Stadium’.

Juve have only lost one home game this season (1-0 against Udinese), but AC Milan are the only side in Serie A, alongside Inter, that have always scored on the road.

Yet the draw (12/5) pays more than a win for the visitors (11/4). Juventus have shared the points in six out of 15 occasions in 2024, only Genoa and Torino have drawn more matches this year.

AC Milan have lost the last two games in all competitions and could record three defeats on the bounce for the first time since May 2023.

Both teams to Score Yes (odds 4/5) would have been a winning bet in just one (1-1 in September 2021) of the last six head-to-head. Since then AC Milan have kept four clean sheets and Juventus two.

Juve have only kept four clean sheets since the end of January (14 games in total) and 21 out of 33 (64%) of AC Milan games have produced at least three goals.

The odds Under 2.5 Goals are 8/11 and Over 2.5 is priced at 1/1.

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 4/5

AC Milan’s perennial defensive problems emerged in their two, recent, big matches as they conceded early, and cheap, goals against both Roma and Inter.

The visitors are missing three important players in their back four and their defensive record on the road is poor: 29 goals conceded in Serie A (only Frosinone, Salernitana and Sassuolo have a worst tally) and only five away clean sheets in all competitions.

Juventus have only Italy’s eight best attack at home but have failed to score in only two occasions this season in front of their crowd.

Dusan Vlahovic has been involved in 12 Serie A goals (two assists, 10 goals) in 2024, more than anybody else, and might profit from the Rossoneri’s wobbles.

First Goal Time - 31-60 @ 9/5

But the Serbian striker is also top for big chances missed (16) in Serie A this season.

The data suggest the Bianconeri should have scored more, especially at home, where their xG differential is +5.26, but equally their opportunistic approach has often made them incapable of establishing early leads.

In fact Allegri’s men have failed to score in 20 league games before the break and at home they’ve only found the net on five occasions in the first half, for a total of just eight goals.

Considering only the first half's standings Juventus would be 11th, which speaks volume of their approach to matches this season.

On the other hand, AC Milan is the team has scored most away goals (17) in the first half, but their average first goal time, on the road, is 37 minutes and 53 seconds.

You can check out all of Daniele's Serie A Betting Tips here each week along with those of our other Italian Football writers...

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