Japan vs Indonesia Prediction: Samurai Blue bound to bounce back

 | January 23 | 

3 mins read

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Pre-tournament favourites Japan suffered a shock defeat in their last Asian Cup game, losing 2-1 to Iraq who confirmed their place in the knockout round with that victory.

The Samurai Blue will be confident of bouncing back, however, facing a far less talented Indonesia side in their final game in Group D, with the motivation of knowing a win would see them qualify for the knockout stage.

With so much quality in Japan’s squad and the desire to respond immediately, Hajimi Moriyasu’s side could land a big victory in Doha on Wednesday.

Japan vs Indonesia Prediction

  • Japan to win and over 3.5 goals @ 4/5
  • #PickYourPunt - Ayase Ueda and Takumi Minamino to score anytime @ 9/4

Team News

Brighton star Kaoru Mitoma looks set to miss out for Japan for the third consecutive game, although it is hoped he will recover in time for the knockout stage.

Former Swansea defender Jordi Amat suffered a knock in his last match and could miss this tie, with Indonesia’s vice-captain likely to be replaced by either Rizky Ridho or Ipswich youngster Elkan Baggott.

Match Odds

Japan are unsurprisingly strong favourites for this tie, priced up at 1/25 to take the points, with Indonesia 22/1 and the draw available at 9/1.

Both teams finding the net is not outside the realm of possibility given Japan’s defensive woes of late and that outcome can be backed at 7/4.

Keita Nakamura is the favourite to net first at 10/3 but Takumi Minamino, who opened the scoring against Vietnam, makes more appeal at a slightly greater price of 9/2.

Japan to win and over 3.5 goals @ 4/5

Japan had won their last 11 matches prior to their shock loss to Iraq and they should still be confident of getting three points against relative minnows Indonesia, who have never made the knockout stage of an Asian Cup and who had failed to win any of their six games prior to their victory over Vietnam last week.

The Samurai Blue’s 11-game winning streak included convincing victories over the likes of Germany and Turkey, highlighting the strength they possess, and they should be far too strong for their opponents on Wednesday.

Japan have scored 50 goals in their last 12 matches - an average of over four goals per game - and could put plenty past Indonesia, who have conceded 20 times in their last seven outings.

However, the Samurai Blue shipped two in their victory over Vietnam, suggesting that Indonesia - who beat the same opponents 1-0 last time out - could also add to a high goals total on Wednesday.

Japan to win and over 3.5 goals at 4-5

#PickYourPunt - Ayase Ueda and Takumi Minamino to score anytime @ 9/4

With key man Mitoma still out it remains down to Japan’s other attackers to step up and there are two who could oblige.

The first is Ayase Ueda, who has been limited to substitute appearances at the Asian Cup so far, but could be given a bigger chance in this fixture.

The Feyenoord forward netted off the bench in Japan’s opening game and, having bagged five goals in his previous two competitive games for the Samurai Blue, should be backed to score again.

Former Liverpool man Takumi Minamino is another player who could shine against a leaky Indonesia defence.

Minamino netted twice in his country’s 4-2 win over Vietnam and could thrive against another weak backline, with his five goals from 16 Ligue 1 games for Monaco this season a respectable return from the winger.

Both should get plenty of chances against a frail rearguard and they could each find themselves on the scoresheet on Wednesday.

PickYourPunt at 9-4

Check out the rest of our Football Betting Tips here.

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