Football Bet of the Day: Burgos to make it four league wins on the spin

It's good news and bad news heading into this new week. The bad news is that it's another international break, but the good news is that it will be the last one until March.

But we still have some domestic action coming our way on Monday, and I have turned to the Segunda Division for my latest Football Bet of the Day, which you will find below. The game in question is Burgos vs Castellon (19:30 GMT).

Burgos vs Castellon Odds

These two teams have drawn three games apiece in the league this season and the stalemate on Monday night is priced at 21/10. Castellon have won two of their last five league fixtures and have beaten the hosts on the past two occasions. The visitors are 9/5 to come away with the victory here.

Six of Burgos' previous eight appearances in the second tier have seen both teams get on the scoresheet, and BTTS - Yes is marketed at 5/6.

But the real value for me lies in Burgos winning, which is priced at 6/4 with an implied probability of 40%.

The home team have won three on the spin in the league and they should fancy themselves against the visitors, who are struggling to build any consistency. However, they do hold the psychological advantage, having beaten Burgos in the last two meetings between the two clubs.

But to counteract that, the hosts have momentum of three consecutive victories and their confidence should be sky-high right now, and this can help them arrest their recent form against these particular opponents.

Burgos have a decent home record this season so far. In six matches at El Plantio they have won three times, losing just once.

Castellon, on the other hand, do not have a great away record. The visitors have been beaten in three of their six road trips to date but they have been victorious twice. That being said, I do think they will be in for some more disappointment on their travels because so far this season, Burgos have proven to be a tough nut to crack on home soil.

They have won four matches on the bounce in all competitions and the mood around the club at the moment is very positive and I just can't see Castellon in their current form disrupting that.

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